Valkyrie's Account Talk

wow...your first post in a long time was a whopper! Now you have me re-thinking my percentages (TSP vs private investments). I always have been worried about the G.
 
Growth Stock Wire | Stock Market Analysis, Market News & Stock Picks

The stock market should be falling.

Last week, many technical indicators were showing negative divergence. We also had an early warning sign that the Volatility Index (the "VIX") was about to reverse. And the McClellan Oscillator showed that stocks were overbought.
The market is "wrong." But as traders, we can't get caught up with that. It doesn't matter what should have happened. And we can't worry about whether or not the market may still decline. The bottom line is, for the moment, the momentum train is running higher. You can either hop on board, get out of the way, or get run over. (sounds like Birch)
 
Growth Stock Wire | Stock Market Analysis, Market News & Stock Picks
"Don't believe the skeptics. When the ban is lifted, oil companies' share prices will soar... And gasoline prices will fall. And that's good for America."

And I believe this will be great for the stock market, cheaper engergy costs = more profit for companies, allowing expansion etc., etc., - Valk

[h=2]"Why You're Wrong About Oil Exports and Rising Gas Prices[/h][FONT=Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif]By Matt Badiali, editor, S&A Resource Report [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif]Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Lifting the ban would be great for U.S. oil companies. U.S. crude-oil exports would rocket higher – along with oil companies' share prices."

And despite what many Americans believe, Yergin says an increase in U.S. oil exports will also cause gasoline prices to fall.

You see, the world's energy demand is growing. But as we've told you in these pages before, international oil companies are having trouble finding economical oil outside the U.S.

When the U.S. is allowed to export oil, U.S. oil companies will do everything they can to take advantage of cheaper domestic crude-oil prices and high crude oil demand elsewhere in the world.

That's why Yergin believes U.S. oil production will soar to as much as 14 million barrels of oil per day after the ban is lifted. The U.S. produced just 7.4 million barrels of oil per day in 2013. This will greatly increase the supply of oil in the world market. And more oil in the world market will reduce oil prices globally... leading to a decrease in gasoline prices at home.

Don't believe the skeptics. When the ban is lifted, oil companies' share prices will soar... And gasoline prices will fall. And that's good for America."

[/FONT]
 
Time to sell...

Growth Stock Wire | Stock Market Analysis, Market News & Stock Picks

By Jeff Clark
[FONT=Verdana, Geneva, sans-serif]Thursday, August 21, 2014 [/FONT]

Two weeks ago, I told you I was buying stocks.

The market was selling off hard. The S&P 500 fell 4% in seven trading days. Financial network talking heads were warning that the long-awaited correction had begun. Most traders were looking to short the market.

But the NYSE McClellan Oscillator (NYMO) – a measure of overbought and oversold conditions in the market – was saying stocks were primed for a bounce. I said it was a good time to make quick profits from the upside.

Today, the stock market has recovered. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 closed at 1,982 – an outstanding 4% gain in just two weeks – and is within spitting distance of a new all-time high. Television talking heads are bullish again. Traders are rushing to get exposure on the long side of the market.

But now, the NYMO is saying stocks are ripe for a pullback. And that's why I'm selling...


Take a look at this updated chart of the NYMO...
 
[h=1]Charting a strong bull trend with room to run[/h]http://www.marketwatch.com/story/charting-a-strong-bull-trend-with-room-to-run-2014-11-11-12103813?page=2
So collectively, the broad-market technicals remain firmly bullish. The prevailing sentiment backdrop is constructive, the sub-sector landscape supports the bull case, and a seasonal tailwind is just underway.
 
5-7% rally in the next few wks

Growth Stock Wire | Stock Market Analysis, Market News & Stock Picks

"The bottom line is: The short-term decline in the stock market has played out.
And now, two of my favorite indicators have reached oversold levels... which is
a good sign a rally is headed our way. It may only last a couple weeks. But it
could be worth a quick 5% or more move higher."


went in yesterday with last move for month 20 F 50 C 30 S will 1% balance as needed
 
Strong dollar is a signal of a major market event rate hike - Business Insider

When markets expect that US interest rates will be hiked, it typically strengthens the dollar. That's because people rush to change other currencies into dollars — they can make more money in dollar-denominated investments. The higher demand for the US currency drives its value up.
In the past, significant dollar gains against other currencies have pretty much happened only during periods of extreme financial or geopolitical distress.
The last four large dollar shocks in the past 45 years have been symptoms of huge financial events: the collapse of Lehman, Britain's panicky ejection from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in 1992, the first Gulf War, and Paul Volcker's shock rate hikes in the early 1980s.
 
Strong dollar is a signal of a major market event rate hike - Business Insider

When markets expect that US interest rates will be hiked, it typically strengthens the dollar. That's because people rush to change other currencies into dollars — they can make more money in dollar-denominated investments. The higher demand for the US currency drives its value up.
In the past, significant dollar gains against other currencies have pretty much happened only during periods of extreme financial or geopolitical distress.
The last four large dollar shocks in the past 45 years have been symptoms of huge financial events: the collapse of Lehman, Britain's panicky ejection from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in 1992, the first Gulf War, and Paul Volcker's shock rate hikes in the early 1980s.

Valkyrie, Welcome back. Good post. Thanks.
 
Time to buy. 100% S

Why I'm Buying Stocks Right Now... And You Should, Too
Take a look at this updated chart of the S&P 500 plotted along with its
Bollinger Bands...

vP-73526020_XB9XE56DX1.png

The S&P 500 closed Tuesday right on the support line of the
rising-channel pattern. So this is a logical area at which to expect some sort
of bounce to develop.

Notice also, though, that the index closed below its lower Bollinger
Band.
Bollinger Bands measure the most likely trading range for a stock or an
index. Any time an index moves outside of its Bollinger Bands, it indicates an
extreme move – one that is likely to reverse.

The last time the S&P closed below its lower Bollinger Band was in
mid-December – right before the start of the "Santa Claus" rally.

Now, take a look at this chart of the NYSE McClellan Oscillator (the
"NYMO") – a measure of overbought and oversold conditions...

yf-87607031_LK4IULG8BP.png

A reading of more than 60 on the NYMO points to overbought conditions and
often marks the end of a rally in the market. A reading of less than -60 points
to oversold conditions and often marks the end of a downtrend in the
market.

The NYMO closed at -60 on Tuesday.

That's not as oversold as conditions were in December. But it's oversold
enough to look for the end of the current decline phase and anticipate a new
rally phase.
http://www.growthstockwire.com/4008/why-i-m-buying-stocks-right-now-and-you-should-too
 
Your offering here comes as welcome news. I agree that we are in a good position right now to be in the market.

Frank

Time to buy. 100% S

Why I'm Buying Stocks Right Now... And You Should, Too
Take a look at this updated chart of the S&P 500 plotted along with its
Bollinger Bands...

vP-73526020_XB9XE56DX1.png

The S&P 500 closed Tuesday right on the support line of the
rising-channel pattern. So this is a logical area at which to expect some sort
of bounce to develop.

Notice also, though, that the index closed below its lower Bollinger
Band.
Bollinger Bands measure the most likely trading range for a stock or an
index. Any time an index moves outside of its Bollinger Bands, it indicates an
extreme move – one that is likely to reverse.

The last time the S&P closed below its lower Bollinger Band was in
mid-December – right before the start of the "Santa Claus" rally.

Now, take a look at this chart of the NYSE McClellan Oscillator (the
"NYMO") – a measure of overbought and oversold conditions...

yf-87607031_LK4IULG8BP.png

A reading of more than 60 on the NYMO points to overbought conditions and
often marks the end of a rally in the market. A reading of less than -60 points
to oversold conditions and often marks the end of a downtrend in the
market.

The NYMO closed at -60 on Tuesday.

That's not as oversold as conditions were in December. But it's oversold
enough to look for the end of the current decline phase and anticipate a new
rally phase.
Why I'm Buying Stocks Right Now... And You Should, Too
 
TZA is below $10, time to really buy or add more before the downturn.
FAZ is below $12

I'm starting to think next wk is going to be bad. Thinking, take my profits and sit and watch from the G and F porch and then back in 4/1.
 
A Greek exit could unravel a cascade of debt

The actions of Greece, it turns out, could set off a chain reaction that leads directly to a Wall Street panic and the "bail-in" seizure of your savings accounts at your favorite hometown bank. It could also radically destabilize Eastern Europe, heightening the risk for conflict between Russia and Western European nations (including NATO members like the United States).

Learn more: Why Greece is the lynchpin that could unleash economic collapse, domestic martial law and global war - NaturalNews.com
 

Good article. Thanks for sharing.

Here's the key take away clip from the article IMO:

"Okay, so the markets are rigged. Basically everyone now agrees on that. But should we care? America was built on capitalism and free and fair markets. Today’s markets aren’t fair. In fact, they are unfair because they are putting lots of money into the pockets of a small number of Americans.
The bigger problem is this: If stock prices are artificially inflated, nobody can tell what a company is really worth. And banks are going to be hesitant to lend money to companies with fuzzy valuations."
 

My take is that the title etc. is misleading and sensationalistic (surprise, surprise): That there are folks willing to sell someone stocks (and cars, and houses, etc.) at inflated values; That these someones will be left holding the bag if they do buy all willy-nilly and don't exercise due diligence (e.g. P/E ratios, etc.) and research what they are actually getting for their money.

Most times, I suspect, these 'victims' are hoping to eventually sell their over-priced purchases to the next guy at an even higher cost; but that part of the conspiracy wasn't mentioned in the parts of the article I actually read.:blink:
 
decided to go 100% I. looks like dollar has peaked and will have short term downturn plus the overseas stimulus that is on going.
 
Dollar weakens against yen, euro - MarketWatch

Aluminum giant Alcoa Inc. AA, +1.86% is expected to release first-quarter earnings after the closing bell, marking the unofficial start to an earnings-reporting season that is expected to be the weakest overall in at least 2 1/2 years.
Adam Cole, global FX strategist at RBC Capital Markets, said poor U.S. earnings could weigh on the dollar.
“Any suggestions that earnings were pressured by weaker export margins or volumes will be potentially [dollar] negative,” Cole said in a note to clients.
Read: What to expect from Alcoa’s earnings
Speaking to the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, Powell said he expects economic conditions would justify a rate increase later this year. The dollar inched lower as he spoke.

100% I Fund
 
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