tsptalk's Market Talk

Looks like the dollar (UUP) is trying to hang onto that 200-day EMA. It will have to hang on if it plans to fill that open gap any time soon.

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We get an update on GDP this week and that could determine which way it breaks - and of course the stock indices are likely to break in the opposite direction.
 
The dollar (UUP) couldn't hold onto the 200-day EMA this morning and that may explain why stocks have remained buoyant. It's heading in the wrong direction if it wants to close that open gap. Let's see where it closes.

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If it moves - buy it. Buy on the lows because this economy is going to let loose in a matter of months.

I agree, but for TSP fund purposes (mostly C/S funds), this article basically says the transportation index isn't an indicator or where things are going. Wondering if it was even worth charting since if it's no better than 50/50, it'd be just as effective as calling heads or tails :)
 
I agree, but for TSP fund purposes (mostly C/S funds), this article basically says the transportation index isn't an indicator or where things are going. Wondering if it was even worth charting since if it's no better than 50/50, it'd be just as effective as calling heads or tails :)
It's the Dow theory that talks about transports. I don't rely on it for my trades but just another indicator. Theoretically if economy accelerating it should show up in transports eventually.
 
Interesting day with the S&P closing well off its lows, while the economically sensitive Dow Transportation and oil indices were pummeled.

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I believe the majority of the Transports loss was due to Norfolk Southern which was down over 6 points. Trains are seeing less movement of coal.
 
Yes. It's scaring me a bit. I am thinking with QE 3 we should be getting postive reaction, but it's dead as a doornail, and that's not good.

What to do...what to do....
 
On the bright side, those are small bear flags and the downside targets wouldn't be very harsh and we could be much higher in a few weeks. With 2 IFT's we have to think about that early in the month. :notrust:
 
QE 3 was a self-serving action. The world is not happy. Earnings down for 80% of companies announced for third quarter. I'm not scared, just concerned.
 
already in G fund so I'm taking a wait and see approach. if it can break the 20day and hold, i'm in again. if not, then I'm staying put. for the 4th day in a row, it has tested the lower resistance and held, but also failed to break the 20day sma. Something's gotta give.
 
Really. I heard the $650 area is the drop dead support level but a move to $630 would be about a 10% fall from the highs. Sounds healthy to me and I'd be a buyer there. But I agree, as goes Apple, so goes the Nasdaq.
 
Really. I heard the $650 area is the drop dead support level but a move to $630 would be about a 10% fall from the highs. Sounds healthy to me and I'd be a buyer there. But I agree, as goes Apple, so goes the Nasdaq.
Took the plunge and bought AAPL at $632 today. The stop area would be a close or two, below the trendline.

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all the major indexes are fighting with the 50-day SMA today, will be interesting. S&P / DOW are at the 50day level, Russell 2000 is getting smashed and doesn't look like it will hold barring a strong intraday reversal
 
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