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rangerray said:
I think the turn around will come much sooner. We are an impatient population these days. As soon as the first virus vaccine hits the market, we'll be putting this in the rearview mirror. My guess is the turn around will start by the end of April.
Click to expand...

Seriously some "Alternative facts" on an ed of April vaccine. The NIH Head says 18 months- before a vaccine can even be put into commercial distribution, and that's if everything goes right.

We MAY get a turnaround, but it won't be a vaccine that sparks it. And I'm thinking April will be a down month. We'll just have to wait and see.
 
rangerray said:
No, I think that hope begins to creep in by the last of April. Human trials will be well under way and good news (i hope) will bleed into the media.
Click to expand...

Human trials on 30 subjects will BEGIN around the end of April. Results will not be known until late Fall, and the first million doses should be available in the summer of 2021, if you are referring to the Inovio Pharmaceuticals press release. https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/inovio-covid-19-vaccine-timeline/

Again, "hope" isn't going to help much if there are large numbers of deaths here by then.
 
200-day EMA getting in the way of today's rally so far...

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50-EMA on the HYG...

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James48843 said:
Human trials on 30 subjects will BEGIN around the end of April. Results will not be known until late Fall, and the first million doses should be available in the summer of 2021, if you are referring to the Inovio Pharmaceuticals press release. https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/inovio-covid-19-vaccine-timeline/

Again, "hope" isn't going to help much if there are large numbers of deaths here by then.
Click to expand...

There aren’t going to be large numbers of deaths. More people will likely be killed by the regular flu. And, hope does mean something, otherwise none of our group would continually be tempted to trust this market currently.


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James48843 said:
Seriously some "Alternative facts" on an ed of April vaccine. The NIH Head says 18 months- before a vaccine can even be put into commercial distribution, and that's if everything goes right.

We MAY get a turnaround, but it won't be a vaccine that sparks it. And I'm thinking April will be a down month. We'll just have to wait and see.
Click to expand...
By the time the vaccine is made the virus will be gone once spring is here, and very doubtful it'll reappear anytime soon. Haven't had a reoccurrence of sars from 2002-2003 and probably won't of Corona either.

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tom4jean said:
By the time the vaccine is made the virus will be gone once spring is here, and very doubtful it'll reappear anytime soon. Haven't had a reoccurrence of sars from 2002-2003 and probably won't of Corona either.

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Click to expand...

SARS was quite different. Although it had a much higher mortality rate (~10%) than Corona, it was also contained to 8,096 confirmed cases worldwide (https://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/table2004_04_21/en/). In a short period of time, Corona has tenfold more confirmed cases and is continuing to increase on a daily basis while containment is still being determined. Here is a link to another map that compares the two:

https://vac-lshtm.shinyapps.io/ncov_tracker/

*edit* Links need to be copied and pasted into a new window.
 
Last edited:
blueroadster said:
SARS was quite different. Although it had a much higher mortality rate (~10%) than Corona, it was also contained to 8,096 confirmed cases worldwide (https://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/table2004_04_21/en/). In a short period of time, Corona has tenfold more confirmed cases and is continuing to increase on a daily basis while containment is still being determined. Here is a link to another map that compares the two:

https://vac-lshtm.shinyapps.io/ncov_tracker/

*edit* Links need to be copied and pasted into a new window.
Click to expand...
I understand the containment and area affected are very different, and I do think the cork is out of the bottle on the spread of Corona already. What I was referring to is that the life cycle of these viruses, simalir to the flu, do not tend to survive into the warmer months of summer. So when they say the vaccine will be ready in a year it is a mute point because by then the virus will likely be gone, just as sars was gone almost as quickly as it appeared. So there is no point in looking forward to a vaccine.

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tom4jean said:
I understand the containment and area affected are very different, and I do think the cork is out of the bottle on the spread of Corona already. What I was referring to is that the life cycle of these viruses, simalir to the flu, do not tend to survive into the warmer months of summer. So when they say the vaccine will be ready in a year it is a mute point because by then the virus will likely be gone, just as sars was gone almost as quickly as it appeared. So there is no point in looking forward to a vaccine.

Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
Click to expand...
I don't want to misslead anyone on the virus with miss-information. I suggest everyone read the CDC page here for current covid-19 info;

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

This is copied and pasted from that website;

"It is not yet known whether weather and temperature impact the spread of COVID-19. Some other viruses, like the common cold and flu, spread more during cold weather months but that does not mean it is impossible to become sick with these viruses during other months. At this time, it is not known whether the spread of COVID-19 will decrease when weather becomes warmer. There is much more to learn about the transmissibility, severity, and other features associated with COVID-19 and investigations are ongoing"

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