tsptalk's Market Talk

The S&P 500 looks like it wants to go higher - except for two things... The 200-day EMA and that open gap.

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The S&P gapped above the 200-day average and is already running into the 50-day and 100-day EMAs. Is this another 2016 post-election situation where it is going to keep up the momentum, or is this a quick emotional rally?

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The financials are negotiating the 200-day EMA this morning.

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SPY at 280 is an interesting level, going to see how it reacts from that point to decide whether that makes me a buyer or seller
 
The market probably just needs a breather, that was two big gaps up in a really short time. I was nervous at first, but I'm starting to think these fed hikes are going to be priced in by december, and won't cause a dramatic crash like 2008. But I could be wrong haha.

Overall trend though might be down, since rate hikes I'd imagine are some serious headwinds to the market? Would we see a downtrend that equals the magnitude of uptrend QE caused?
 
High Yield Bonds (HYG) rallied back up to the 200-day EMA and stalled ...

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The yield on the 10-year treasury looks to have made a double top but there's some support rising from below it - and open gaps above and below...

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could be short term bullish if 2700 is held, imo

another crazy day and there's still over an hour left :) Volume is picking up on this climb up, I think this is going to creep up into the close and erase a good portion of the red. Maybe not entirely but it's looking like buyers are stepping in now, though that 2700 is an important level for bulls and bears. We might fight over that spot for another day before its next big move up or down.
 
The intraday rallies have been explosive, but haven't held this week. Here's another test near the top of the descending channel...

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WOW anybody see that? S&P went from -.35% to +.20% in like 5 seconds. Word got out of a China trade deal getting done or something? I've not seen anything like that before, not that quick of a move up.
 
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