tsptalk's Market Talk

Key support being tested in the corporate credit market....

1008180123b.gif
 
Tom isn't there still a gap in the S&P from July just about 2766? Is there possibility for it to be back in play? I know it is still a ways off but the market doesn't like gaps right. Just curious and learning.
 
Last edited:
VIX at 20.50 and climbing. Shot up over 27% today.

https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$VIX

DOW down 537 points now- thats off more than 2% today.
 
Tom isn't there still a gap in the S&P from July just about 2766? Is there possibility for it to be back in play? I know it is still a ways off but the market doesn't like gaps right. Just curious and learning.

Looks like it... and that gap is now in the neighborhood of the 200-day EMA so it may be looking to kill two birds with one stone, Good call, quabit!

101018g.gif
 
I've been noticing the IWM broke down a few days before the crap hit the fan with the S&P. Buy this dip or wait it out?

Fear & Greed index dipped below 20 (at 8 right now https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/), usually looking to buy when that happens. But the small caps look like they literally fell off a cliff which makes me wonder if this is a normal pullback or something worse. In any case, keeping my eye on IWM and QQQ, finger on the buy trigger :D
 
Get ready for another rock and roll day! The futures are down because of fair value (negative implied open) but they've been moving wildly overnight.

Gold is up $20 so far today, which makes things interesting. Their futures are holding resistance in the $1220 area. A breakout would be interesting.
 
In Thursday's commentary I mentioned gold not rallying yesterday when stocks were selling off, utilities were down, and bonds were flat to down. Those are not signs of bearish investors. The problem is, today gold is up big, bonds are up. Utilities are down again but 2 out of 3 is a sign that investors are looking elsewhere today.

Perhaps it's just a delayed reaction to COB mutual fund and pension orders yesterday?
 
Follow up to quabit's post:

Tom isn't there still a gap in the S&P from July just about 2766? Is there possibility for it to be back in play? I know it is still a ways off but the market doesn't like gaps right. Just curious and learning.
Looks like it... and that gap is now in the neighborhood of the 200-day EMA so it may be looking to kill two birds with one stone, Good call, quabit!

The gap on the S&P has not filled yet. Wouldn't surprise me to see it happen today. Test that 200-day EMA while you're at it, S&P!

101118a.gif
 
Be careful. "V" bottoms are nice, but it's not always that easy. If it is a "V", look for a test of the lows at some point down the road. Otherwise, it could chop up and down a while and wear us out before making a move.

101118e.gif
 
I was curious about the cause of yesterday's drop, and saw a couple of youtube videos about October 10th (posted on Oct 2 or earlier) where conspiracy theorists said the market would crash because of the 'great reset' where the fed pretty much kills the dollar, and bitcoin becomes the world currency lol. I figure if there's enough stock traders / investors (or a couple really wealthy ones) wearing tinfoil hats, perhaps that could have caused enough of a ripple for a quick selloff?
 
I think it's yields. Bitcoin is actually getting slammed today, but the pop in gold today (+ $32 and at 2 month high) is interesting, however. And the dollar is down, but not sure about the 'reset'. I've heard the theories too. :)
 
I think it's yields. Bitcoin is actually getting slammed today, but the pop in gold today (+ $32 and at 2 month high) is interesting, however. And the dollar is down, but not sure about the 'reset'. I've heard the theories too. :)

Wonder if that talk was a pump and dump by bitcoin holders haha, conspiracy theorists would be an easy target since they're so gullible.
 
Back
Top