Transfer 5/11 for 5/12/04

[tsptalk]

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Duke, it seems like every time I mention or post historical data that shows a trend, it goes the other way on me so I've been a little hesitant lately to post it.

You can usually buy options up to several months before they expire. Options that are for longer term,up to many years, are called leaps. People buy options for different reasons. Some to "bet" on a stock or index going up or down, some use it to hedge stock positions in case of a move against them (i.e.: Buy 1000 shares of IBM and 10 contracts of IBM puts. If the stock tanks, the options value goes up.)

I hope I answered your question.
Tom

 

[Mr. Duke]

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Another great chart Tom.....You sure your first name isn't Ross....Question? what are the normal duration of options...and doesthe marketnormally follow the averages of the charts?If so please continue to post if you can...Maybe with a little more heads up if possible.... I have always been a more sentiment player and playing the dips with the TSP (trying some different tactics), however, my main money is 100% stocks long term

 

[puertorico]

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Sometime my lucky-punch knockdown the market

but them the market knock me out and take all.

I just playing a little caution here

 

[tsptalk]

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puertorico wrote:

I feel panic and moved all to G :shock:

tHa's was I had in mind in case a rebound

and that's what I did.

You've timed the market pretty well lately PR. I won't doubt your instincts.

That chart basically says the week of options expirations (blue bars) is historically stronger than a normal week with only Friday being down on average. The red bars represent the week followingexpiration week. It is historically weeker thana normal week.

 

[Guest]

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I had thoughts of may be reallocating, moving out S to C or I, but as I stated earlier I held steady. Market looking good today. Hopefully we will get a good ride.

 

[puertorico]

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I feel panic and moved all to G :shock:

tHa's was I had in mind in case a rebound

and that's what I did.

 

[Guest]

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I'm still hanging tough 30% C/ 30 % S/ 30% I, and was considering pushing the 10% G over to the equity position....but held back. I know I being very aggressive, but I'm really a long termer anyway...so holding this postion isn't so tough....not losing any sleep.

 

[puertorico]

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Like ,what happened in monday ,tuesday wednesday thurdays and friday ?

in that expiration chart ? Look positive ?:?

 

[puertorico]

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Tom

Can U explain just a little bid what in the option-expiration chart ?

I'm not good with chart !:?

THANKS !

 

[puertorico]

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Tom !

I supposed to jump to G after a rebound but

now feel a little greedy again .It's not easy

get out on the green.

Thinking,taking out half too :?

 

[tsptalk]

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We are due for a rally and this is an options expiration week (usually good), but I'm actually considering talking something off the table. Maybe for Friday (Thursday transaction).

We'll see how it goes. Remember this chart?...

 

[puertorico]

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givemethegreeeeeeen :^



Tom what time is it ?

Time to play safe ? jump safe !

or till hanging in there !

 

[Mr. Duke]

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Did not know Flicktid (unsure of the correct spelling) was a territorial word, however, if you must know................Edgewood, Maryland.....you're good Tom!

Afflicked is a bible word

Still G............however, I'm sensing a buying day tomorrow for funds...hope I'm right for ya'll (ya'll is a territorial word for us southerners)

 

[VictorPR]

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I tried to stay in the game but it has changed dramasticly and the losses continue to pile up so I have no other recourse than to pull back and regroup and later come back and fight another day.........The I Fund is just taking too much of my soldiers and and I can not stand there and continue to be a sitting target......... My time has come to go back to the G Fund..........:shock:

 

[tsptalk]

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FLICKTID

You must be from Maryland

 

[Mr. Duke]

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staying G...........the market is just FLICKTID! I believe in buying the dips, however, this is not a dip, this is a major pull back that continues to be warranted by imminent rate hikes, a presidential election, military abuse problems, a media that is pro enemy andprefers reporting enemy abuseinstead of beheaded americans. Gas/Oil prices are out of hand. Steel and Concrete are extremely hard to get and the prices have gone through the roof.... Personally, I would cut my losses at this point until this ball starts rewinding itself.. Good Luck

 

[tsptalk]

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:x

 

[cougarcash]

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I moved everything to the G Fund on 4/28/04. My opinion is just hold on to some of the gains I've made and wait for some sort of market sign, as it is the market is fluctuating very slightly (higher and lower) usually when this happens the market tends to make a big drop before it makes a big gain, and you can get back in when you see a sign that a up turn is coming.

 

[puertorico]

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Monday Risky Territory...50-G 20-C 20-S 10-I

 

[tsptalk]

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I would have pulled some out if the market was up. But since it's down, I'll stay put with 20% C, 30% S and 50% I.