Transfer 5/11 for 5/12/04

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That was just a first impulse,really

I dont know what to do ,Things can

be worse :shock:but my number says

the market own us a profit...:D
 
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-stay put - sell - or buy-

I don't know,but am ready to play stock

may 16 to 213rd week . The bounce is

due already. DOW OR UP i'm in

I have 30 minute to things about it :shock:
 
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Yesterday morning, I retreated to a more moderate allocation, 21C, 21S, 21I, 37G. It was nice to have a few profitable days before making the move. This is an extremely conservative allocation for me. I would like to get back up to at least an 80/20 allocationvery soon. Fundadvice.com dropped down to 25% equities two days ago. If they go down to 0 in equities, I will probably drop to 50% equities spread equally across the 3 stock funds. I just cannot bring myself to ever go lower than that. I sure hope this thing gets moving again soon. With this more moderate allocation, I am hoping for some singles and doubles with very few strikeouts. Hopefully, some of you out there with 100% equity exposure will hit a home run. :D
 
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Tom,

Nice call on I fund!:iafter I had 75% transferred out of stocks and into G Fund I checked Nikkei I decide to go against my pull out plan and move with you and transferred 50% into I fund for Wednesday. I had some harsh words for you until about 2:30ET and then I lighten up and gave you a big hug at Market close

Made back a big chunk of losses for the week and back under 3% losses from the last month, please give AW (Advanced Warning) when to pull up and out of I Fund

Please forgive me!:oo

Thank You,

GTO:D
 
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What's the funny little spike of international (EFA) at about 2:15pm? May be the leading time start of the upswing to the stocks? Interesting.
 
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Want to see what areversal looks like? We ran out of sellers at about 2 PM. I'd love to know what the bullish/bearish sentiment was at the time. We won't know for sure because I believe the Wednesday survey is taken at the close on Wednesday's, after the rebound was in full swing...

bounce.bmp


That's about a 200 point rally from low to high. Volume picked up also. Now we need to see some follow through. I doubt we go straight up as there is a lot of overhead resistance to get through before we are out of the water. But this was a nice start.
 
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That's funny, Ralph! Right however, if we get out now we really lose by selling low. Maybe tomorrow will be better.
 
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Tom said

"One thing I do know. If I jump outnow we will surely get a rebound :oo"

Tom - If you want to jump out now, you have my encouragement. I could use the rebound. lol.

Ralph
 
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I believe the "good news is bad" syndrome affecting the markets is a symptom of an addiction to liquidity as if the market is a heroin addict. The rush of liquidity through the veins of the market by way of Bernanke's printing press, Greenspan's Fed fund rate, the federal deficit and Bush's tax cuts was the fuelfor the market run up of 2003. Although this manipulation is not overt as in currency markets, these efforts to rev up the economy have supercharged the markets. Whether a company produces good earnings only establishes its place among stocks in the market. The strong stocks are on the top of the wave and the weak stocks at the bottom. Federal policy, however, has the powerful effect of the tides. As the Fed tightens it monetary policies, the withdrawals are sure to come to the markets and remain for a considerable period. I'm looking for one more bounce to get out of stocks and go G Fund until circumstances change.
 
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This is a amazing. Again I'm like a deer caught in the headlights. My indicators say one thing, the market is saying another.

One thing I do know. If I jump outnow we will surely get a rebound :oo Like in January, my indicators appear to beearly. I just don't see a reason to sell other than that the market is doing poorly (which isn't a bad reason) But I don't like to sell fear. I buyit. Interest rate hikes should not destroy a strong economy or the market.

The only positive (less negative) thing to talk about is that the 50% I have in the I fund is softening the blow some so far
 
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Well we are bleeding again. :( I'm down over 9k in the week.

But i'm in too deep to run for cover now. just have to ride it out and pray a lot!!

Sitting 50 C 50 I for now.
 
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Well, I just took an additional 5% position in the C/S/I...still trying to dollar cost average. I am a whopping 90% exposed to the equities...10% in G. I 'm obviously in for the long bounce or rally. No time to be skiddish now.
 
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Cisco beats earnings and sales estimates but something must have been said to upset traders as the stock is down 2% in after hours trading...

Or maybe we are back to good news is bad news :*
 
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