Trading the Stats: Week 2

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For the chart below, the pink circle is our progress for 2015, this will give us an idea of where we fall within the statistical average. For week 1, we closed down -.65%

There are 52 weeks this year, for week 2

• We show a 55% winning ratio, which is below average, ranking in an 8-way tie for 26th
• We show -.17% average gains, which is below average, ranking 39th
• We show 1.54% average positive gains, which is above average, ranking 26th
• We show -2.26% average negative gains, which is below average, ranking 42nd

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Week 2 has trading days 7-11

• The first 3 days tend to run flat, followed by the traditional mid-month inflows giving trading days 9-11 a seasonal boost

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The last 11 Monday through Fridays

• Mondays show a 45% winning ratio, with -.26% average gains
• Tuesdays show a 45% winning ratio, with -.01% average gains
• Wednesdays show a 45% winning ratio, with .13% average gains
• Thursdays show a 91% winning ratio, with .67% average gains
• Fridays show a 64% winning ratio, with .03% average gains

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TSP Fund Price Performance over the past 20 days (only discussing the F/C/S/I funds)

• F-Fund has the strongest winning ratio with 70% and the 3rd strongest average gains with .05%
• C-Fund has the 3rd strongest winning ratio with 50% and the 2nd strongest average gains with .06%
• S-Fund has the 2nd strongest winning ratio with 55% and the strongest average gains with .11%
• I-Fund has the worst winning ratio with 40% and the worst average gains with -.18%

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Rolling into week 3, we have a CAUTION flag up ahead, it statistically ranks as one of the worst performing weeks of the year

Trade hard…Jason