Squalebear's Account Talk

Ouch ! IFT Today to lower amounts in risk funds.
I wish I had the stomach and the time. Its ugly !
I guess this is not the bottom and more pain is
instore. Let us pray for a Bear Rally for a little
relief. Even Art Cashen is extremely disappointed.

20%(C) 20%(S) 60%(G)

You Win my friend lost $144,000 yesterday right after Ben spoke she really took a risk on a rate cut and a rally yesterday and lost.

I don't get it what was the point of speaking yesterday as we watched the market drop on all his trigger words. I just wanted someone to run up and break his jaw.

Then today he announces an Emergency Rate cut as if yesterday there was no emergency. I really though we had a good set up for a rally yesterday and he friggin blew it.

I have been targeting Apple and anyone notice that as I mentioned before this will be a $35 stock because their products are great in a good economy and if not in the USA then in the Foreign now they have nothing but overpriced items and there are few buyers.
 
You Win my friend lost $144,000 yesterday right after Ben spoke she really took a risk on a rate cut and a rally yesterday and lost.

I don't get it what was the point of speaking yesterday as we watched the market drop on all his trigger words. I just wanted someone to run up and break his jaw.

Then today he announces an Emergency Rate cut as if yesterday there was no emergency. I really though we had a good set up for a rally yesterday and he friggin blew it.

I have been targeting Apple and anyone notice that as I mentioned before this will be a $35 stock because their products are great in a good economy and if not in the USA then in the Foreign now they have nothing but overpriced items and there are few buyers.

Paulson couldn't keep his big mouth shut this afternoon. 30 minutes before closing time, he opened it and the markets gave up the anemic rally they had been nursing all day long. We need a big roll of duct tape to muzzle both of these idiots.
 
You Win my friend lost $144,000 yesterday
right after Ben spoke she really took a risk on a rate cut and a rally
yesterday and lost. I Don't Think Anyone Can Win In This Market.

I don't get it what was the point of speaking yesterday as we watched
the market drop on all his trigger words. I just wanted someone to run up
and break his jaw. His Style Is Transparency But Failed To Say What
The Market Wanted To Hear. Maybe That Part Was Impossible.

Then today he announces an Emergency Rate cut as if yesterday there
was no emergency. I really though we had a good set up for a rally
yesterday and he friggin blew it. Maybe He Never Had A Chance.

I have been targeting Apple and anyone notice that as I mentioned before
this will be a $35 stock because their products are great in a good
economy and if not in the USA then in the Foreign now they have nothing
but overpriced items and there are few buyers. A Friend Of Mine Is Very
Much Into Apple Stock, I Fear You Hit The Nail On The Head.

Although making money in a Bull Market isn't always easy, I sure do
miss those days. If I'm right, this is my first true Bear Market type
experience. Yuk ! I guess we shouldn't be so hard on ourselves as
the "Experts" are stumped by the whole thing as well. Everything
gets thrown out of the window when it comes to Fear and Lack of
Confidence in the financial world. I guess the old saying is gonna
have to do; "This too shall pass". Wake me up when it does! ;)
 
I didn't even look to see how much I dropped yesterday - but I did buy ten stocks today to add to my pain level.

I do too much tracking to avoid the daily look. I'm sure it tends to blind
me, as sometimes I only see the trees and not the forrest. Eventually, I'd
like to say that I bought Apple at $20 per share (for my son) and when he
becomes my age, he'll come into a windfall. I honor your threshhold of pain.
Maybe, I'm just a bit jealous as well. Your a very lucky man. ;)
 
Paulson couldn't keep his big mouth shut this
afternoon. 30 minutes before closing time, he opened it and the markets
gave up the anemic rally they had been nursing all day long. We need a
big roll of duct tape to muzzle both of these idiots.

I'm sure glad I missed that, I was having enough trouble getting any
sleep as it was. The Bulls looked like they were putting up a pretty
good fight for a while. Even after Big Ben spoke. If there's anything
to be said about today it's this; "It could have been worse". Maybe
we're closer to the bottom then we know. I certainly hope so. ;)
 
YTD O/D FOR ALL TSP FUNDS

(C) Fund vs. the SPX = 0.1935 TSP Cent Overpayment or +1.71%
(S) Fund vs. DWCPF. = 0.3242 TSP Cent Overpayment or +2.41%

(I). Fund vs. the EFA = 0.1455 TSP Cent Overpayment or +0.97%:)

DAILY (I) FUND VS. EFA O/D TRACKING RESULTS:

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(09/08/08) +0.1989% -0.3171 tsp cents
(09/09/08) +0.0157% -0.3098 tsp cents
(09/10/08) -0.1535% -0.2831 tsp cents
(09/11/08) -0.1739% -0.2491 tsp cents
(09/12/08) -0.3907% -0.1778 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(09/15/08) +0.8638% -0.3323 tsp cents
(09/16/08) -0.2278% -0.2873 tsp cents
(09/17/08) +0.8268% -0.4262 tsp cents
(09/18/08) -2.0361% -0.0642 tsp cents
(09/19/08) -0.4960%+0.0283 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(09/22/08)+2.5382% -0.4628 tsp cents
(09/23/08) -0.8997% -0.2822 tsp cents
(09/24/08) -0.2518% -0.2347 tsp cents
(09/25/08) -0.5076% -0.1412 tsp cents
(09/26/08) +0.3903% -0.2149 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(09/29/08)+2.3205% -0.6001 tsp cents

(09/30/08) -3.4591%+0.0025 tsp cents
(10/01/08) -0.7365% -0.1291 tsp cents

(10/02/08) -0.0580% -0.1135 tsp cents
(10/03/08)+0.6851% -0.2312 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(10/06/08) -0.1022% -0.2014 tsp cents
(10/07/08)+1.0228% -0.3531 tsp cents
(10/08/08) -1.3004% -0.1455 tsp cents:)

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .6000 thru -.4000 High Overpayment (Payback Past Due)
- .4000 thru -.3000 Elavated Overpayment, (Payback Immanent)
- .3000 thru -.2000 Medium Overpayment (Flip A Coin)
- .2000 thru -.1000 Low Overpayment, (Slightly Over Goal):)
- .1000 thru -.0000 Minimum Overpayment (Goal is Met)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (Rarely Goes Lower)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
---------------------------------------------------------------------
 
YTD IDX returns: YTD TSP returns: YTD SB current returns:
SPX= -32.92%.....C=...-31.74%....-15.76% (my figures):)
DW.= -33.74%.....S=.. -32.16%....
EFA= -40.38%......I=...-39.39%...
AGG= -06.42%.....F=...+00.98%...
...........................G=...+02.95%...

MTD IDX returns: MTD TSP returns: MTD SB current returns:
SPX= -15.55%.....C=...-15.46%....-10.57%(my figures):(
DW.= -19.27%.....S=.. -19.17%....
EFA= -16.87%.....I=....-16.05%...
AGG= -03.98%.....F=...+00.14%...
............................G=..+00.08%..
 
Paulson couldn't keep his big mouth shut this afternoon. 30 minutes before closing time, he opened it and the markets gave up the anemic rally they had been nursing all day long. We need a big roll of duct tape to muzzle both of these idiots.

IMO I get the impression Paulson somehow wants this to fail. He started this entire PANIC demanding 700 Billion and then today states it will not even be allocated for at least a few weeks. Yesterday it was Ben doing his best to give a speech about NOTHING. It was everything we already knew.

The guy Paulson yells Fire after the building is already burned to the ground and then when the market was doing OK as they we just trying to rebuild he yells FIRE again. Why didn't he give that empty speech at 4:00 PM EST ??? Or better yet why give that speech at all.:rolleyes:

It appears he is set out to destroy the United States and IMO he should be in jail with all his pals.:mad:
 
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IBM had a good report. Futures are up over 200 points. S&P Futures are up 27 points. Just reporting the news at 5:00 AM EST. No predictions but I would like to be right about what I said 2 days back. I do not want to jinx anything.:nuts:

I hope Ben & Paulson JUST SHUT UP today !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:rolleyes:
 
IBM had a good report. Futures are up over 200 points. S&P Futures are up 27 points. Just reporting the news at 5:00 AM EST. No predictions but I would like to be right about what I said 2 days back. I do not want to jinx anything.

I hope Ben & Paulson JUST SHUT UP today !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

~~~OK~~~~OK~~~~OK~~~~OK~~~~OK~~~~ok~~~
EVRYONE WHO MATTERS NEEDS TO SHUT THEIR MOUTHS !
~~~shhh~~~shh~~~shh~~~shh~~~~shh~~~~shh~~
STOP, DON'T MOVE A MUSCLE, PLEASE DON'T EVEN BLINK
QUIET !
:nuts:​

:nuts: There ya go Braveheart, It's a lock ! :nuts:​

:nuts:​
 
London shares regain some bounce !
FTSE 100 index up 2.4%; Miners, financials retake some lost ground.

U.S. may take ownership stake in banks: NYT
U.S. stock futures point to strong opening

U.S. stock futures point to strong opening
Latest reported idea is for government to directly buy bank stakes.

U.K. Sept. house prices off 12.4% on year
British house prices continued to fall in September
 
Squalebear,

Correct me if I am wrong, but judging by the time you posted this message, I am assuming that you and I have beeen watching the interesting interviews on CNBC's European Power Lunch.

I would like anyone else who might want to do so to opine as to the potential short-term bounce. In fact, I want to be corrected if I misinterpreted the information.

James, I am thinking of you also because you have made excellent analyses in your P&F Chart thread. Linking your thoughts to todays events, we might be looking at further confirmation of the development of the possible bounce.

Right now, I am fully committed 100% between the C and S funds, as many others in this board are. The temptation to go to cash (G fund) has been great. However, I am trying to recover some of my losses if a bounce is to occur. Although there are no guarantees of a bounce happening, I will be losing more money yet, if this fails. In this case dollar cost averaging (purchasing more shares) would seem to be the solution with the expectation of rising prices eventually.

This morning, a technical analyst on CNBC stated his opinion that we are about to get a short-term bounce, but that he expects to see the markets drop again around the 22nd of October. Two other female analyst considered the global events in Italy, Europe, the U.S., and Asia. Central bankers and financial authorities are decidedly bent on not allowing any more bank failures, and apparently this "baby step", is a good start before the investors regain confidence in the markets. The analysts opined that they expect a bounce in these extremely oversold markets. But they expect another drop when the reality of lower earnings expectations sets in and investors understand that slower economic growth will linger for some time to come. However, their analysis is consistent with the technical analysis of the first guest that was interviewed on CNBC. In addition, all of this supports James technical analysis of the SPX P&F Chart, regarding the "TARGET MET", as well as the behavior of the SPX successfully testing the 970 level. Furthermore, Wall Street apparently likes the actions taken to stabilize the financial markets, and cash futures remain persuasively positive.

Pardon me for extending myself here. I guess I have relieved some of the tension I have built up. Best wishes to all!




London shares regain some bounce !
FTSE 100 index up 2.4%; Miners, financials retake some lost ground.

U.S. may take ownership stake in banks: NYT
U.S. stock futures point to strong opening

U.S. stock futures point to strong opening
Latest reported idea is for government to directly buy bank stakes.

U.K. Sept. house prices off 12.4% on year
British house prices continued to fall in September
 
SB, Get the gang together I think we need a group hug. :)

Nasa, are back on that rocket fuel again. I know the Market's been a killer,
but you gotta save that Liver ! :nuts:

I don't think the gang would miss the first positive day in over a week.!;)
 
Squalebear,

Correct me if I am wrong, but judging by the time you posted this message, I am assuming that you and I have beeen watching the interesting interviews on CNBC's European Power Lunch. No, I missed it.

I would like anyone else who might want to do so to opine as to the potential short-term bounce. In fact, I want to be corrected if I misinterpreted the information. Open Forum, All are welcomed !

James, I am thinking of you also because you have made excellent analyses in your P&F Chart thread. Linking your thoughts to todays events, we might be looking at further confirmation of the development of the possible bounce. When analysing Technicals, James is the man.

Right now, I am fully committed 100% between the C and S funds, as many others in this board are. The temptation to go to cash (G fund) has been great. However, I am trying to recover some of my losses if a bounce is to occur. Although there are no guarantees of a bounce happening, I will be losing more money yet, if this fails. In this case dollar cost averaging (purchasing more shares) would seem to be the solution with the expectation of rising prices eventually.I'll try this one based on my gut.

You'll find that there are so many opinions on the so called bounce.
Indeed, we have got to be so oversold, something has to give to the
upside. Some are even calling a bottom. Some say we have a lot to
deal with we have more down to come. So whats a TSP investor to
do. Well, I can only tell you what I'm planning on doing;
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
#1- Enjoy today until she turns Red. Its possible !
#2- If Green at 11:45am, give the market another day.
#3- If Red at 11:45am, pray for a late day rally & go to bed.
#3- If Green at 4:00pm, pop a cork and celebrate a short term win.
#4- If red at 4:00pm, pop my cork and drive my head through a wall.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Tomorrow:
#1-Check out the news, futures and economic reports.
#2-If Green for a second day at 11:45am, take 5% off the table.
#3-If Red at 11:45am, pray for a late day rally & go to bed.
#4- If Green at 4:00pm, Take my pulse & see if I'm dreaming.
#5- If red at 4:00pm, Come back to the MB & cry about limits.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

BOTTOM LINE: I BELIEVE THAT ANY RALLY COULD BE VERY STRONG
BUT ONLY LAST A COUPLE DAYS. EACH ONE OF THOSE DAYS HAVE
BIG CHALLENGES TO FACE. I CAN'T BE GREEDY BECAUSE WE'VE BEEN
DOWN SO MUCH. SO IF I GET LUCKY ENOUGH AND GET TWO DAYS OF
GREAT GAINS, I GOTTA TAKE SOME OFF THE TABLE. I NEED TO MAKE
THESE DECISIONS, ONE DAY AT A TIME AS THATS HOW THE MARKET
IS PLAYING THE GAME. YES, ITS POSSIBLE TO GIVE US +2% ONE DAY
AND -4% THE NEXT. SO THE RISK IS REAL AND ITS HUGE NO MATTER
HOW YOU LOOK AT IT. IF YOUR LOOKING FOR A LONG TERM VIEW,
THIS MAY BE THE TIME TO COMIT. I DON'T SAY THIS IS THE BOTTOM,
BUT IF IT IS, WHAT A GREAT CALL IT WOULD BE. ;)
 
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