Squalebear's Account Talk

Four days straight in the "high" area with more then 0.30 tsp cents
worth of debt. The month was a true rollercoaster ride for the TSP
Funds and ended slightly lower for the (C) and (S). The Bond Fund
(F) was left practically unchanged and the (I) Fund was down right
ugly. It would appear that the Fund Managers are trending to keep
the (I) Fund in the Red Zone (as you can see below). Since the
reversal into the Overpayment area, I've been losing confidence in
my opinion over the past month. I'm going to keep on, keeping on
and try to figure it all out. In time, I'm sure we'll grasp the new
reality and benefit from it all.

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(6/30/08) -0.110% -0.4354 tsp cents
(7/01/08) -0.360% -0.3083 tsp cents
(7/02/08)+0.150% -0.3404 tsp cents
(7/03/08) -0.040% -0.3332 tsp cents
(7/04/08) FEDERAL HOLIDAY (ENJOY)

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/07/08)+0.802% -0.5058 tsp cents
(7/08/08)-1.1409% -0.2585 tsp cents
(7/09/08)+0.794% -0.4264 tsp cents
(7/10/08)-0.786% -0.2592 tsp cents
(7/11/08) +0.457% -0.3527 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/14/08) +0.397% -0.4372 tsp cents
(7/15/08) - 0.508% -0.3229 tsp cents
(7/16/08) -0.3206%-0.2605 tsp cents
(7/17/08) -0.2940%-0.2013 tsp cents
(7/18/08) -0.2422%-0.1504 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/21/08)
+0.7334%-0.3109 tsp cents
(7/22/08) -0.7174%-0.1553 tsp cents
(7/23/08) +0.5982%-0.2868 tsp cents
(7/24/08) +0.4519%-0.3797 tsp cents
(7/25/08) -0.5288%-0.2868 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(7/28/08) +0.4966% -0.3660 tsp cents
(7/29/08) -0.3038% -0.3039 tsp cents
(7/30/08) +0.2671% -0.3650 tsp cents
(7/31/08) +0.1610% -0.3266 tsp cents :(

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .4000 thru -.3000 High Overpayment (Debt Payment Imminent) :(
- .3000 thru -.2000 Meduim Overpayment, (Flip A Coin)
- .2000 thru -.1000 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
- .1000 thru -.0000 Not Seen For A Long Time (TBA)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (rarely goes higher)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
---------------------------------------------------------------------
 
ETF/INDEX Month Ending Results:
SPX: -0.77%
DWCPF: -0.81%
EFA: -3.23%
AGG: +0.03%

TSP - Month Ending Results:
(C): -0.80%
(S): -0.79%
.(I): -3.72%
.(F): -0.01%
 
Within the Legislation we discussed yesterday held many TSP related
items which should interest us all. I have a question about one part
of that section that I wish to pose to the membership;

What exactly is a "self-directed investment window" ? :confused:
 
Futures move higher on better then expected unemployment figures.
Investor are ignoring (for now) that GM lost 15.5 Billion. Next up we
have Manufacturing Report coming out at 10am.

"Investors are also awaiting a reading on the manufacturing sector.
Economists predict the Institute for Supply Management, a trade group of
purchasing executives, will report that its manufacturing index fell to 49.2
in July from 50.2 in June. A reading above 50 signals expansion while a
figure below 50 indicates contraction. In June, the index signaled growth
for the first time in four months."

If this bad boy hits 50 or higher, the market should give us a good day.
 
SB,

I think the shorts are going to take the weekly run and pull out....I'm not sure any ONE indicator is going to steady this market.:cool:
 
SB,

I think the shorts are going to take the weekly run and pull out....I'm not sure any ONE indicator is going to steady this market.:cool:

With triple digit fluxuations on a daily basis, this week was practically flat.
The Manufacturer Report came in at 50. Just as flat as the week was. If
I had to guess, not much is going to turn today into a positive. With that
said, I'm going to the Earnings & Economic Reports due out next week to
see if we might have a market mover coming up AND which direction we
might see before making a IFT today. (if I make one). When 1/2 call this
a bottom and 1/2 don't, I've got to do a little more homework.
 
Ah..the day is early yet...but this is a reason why I wish we could do an EFt up until say 5PM EST, for this coming monday or the next day, cuz a lot of stuff happens in the afternoon that changes the course of things...so doing it by noon, just don't cut it for me:mad:
 
Index wise, yes....we have been flat, but indexing can blur our vision.

I will attach som other numbers that will influence today.

Unemployment to 5.7 expected 5.6
Manufacturing came to 50 but that is the line.....no support
Manufacturing prices wen up
and auto sales could kill us under 13 million

Not everything is clear but hopefully the clouds are getting thinner (like my portfolio):cool:

Respectfully posted!
 
I've decided to wait and be patient. So no IFT for me today.
I set out some goals earlier in my thread and MUST stick with
them to have a good month. I seek a better entry then 1260's. :D
 
I'm looking for a buy in target of 1214-1225.

Jeff

Thanks Bro ! I was leaning to 1230ish !
It always helps to get another opinion ! :)

I gotta hit the hay ! I'm cross eyed and
had a typically hard night. I'll be back
this evening ! :embarrest:
 
Sleep well, SB. See you in the pm. By then we'll know the rest of the story (about today's market anyway).
 
Ah..the day is early yet...but this is a reason why I wish we could do an EFt up until say 5PM EST, for this coming monday or the next day, cuz a lot of stuff happens in the afternoon that changes the course of things...so doing it by noon, just don't cut it for me:mad:
EFT afte 12 noon today is effective COB Monday. And you have until NOON Monday to change your mind...
 
EFT afte 12 noon today is effective COB Monday. And you have until NOON Monday to change your mind...
Which means it will be in affect for the opening bell Tuesday...No thanks..When I EFT, I want it to be in that stock or Fund the next day not the day after, if I EFT after noon.
 
Ah..the day is early yet...but this is a reason why I wish we could do an EFt up until say 5PM EST, for this coming monday or the next day, cuz a lot of stuff happens in the afternoon that changes the course of things...so doing it by noon, just don't cut it for me:mad:
YOU CAN. Read what I said again.:rolleyes:
EFT afte 12 noon today is effective COB Monday. And you have until NOON Monday to change your mind...
If you IFT after noon today, it's effective COB Monday. Leave it alone, and that's what you get Tuesday morning. You have until NOON Monday to change your mind. Come on Buster, don't make an argument where there isn't one and you already know the drill.
 
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