Should you transfer to the I fund?

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twodaystocks

twodaystocks

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I cant upload my charts right now, but if you look at the weekly chart on the I fund, the current weekly candle has not only opened above its entire range from last week, it has also moved above its 5 EMA. I use this as a buy/sell indicator and looking at the charts, it seems fairly reliable. If this level holds or increases after wednesday, I would consider transferring into the I fund. If it runs, with positive global news, this could get a return close to 20%.

Post back any thoughts/likes/dislikes.
 
I'm reasonably deep into the I fund and have been there for awhile and don't relish having any company - try keeping the potential for outperformance a secret.
 
twodaystocks said:
I cant upload my charts right now, but if you look at the weekly chart on the I fund, the current weekly candle has not only opened above its entire range from last week, it has also moved above its 5 EMA. I use this as a buy/sell indicator and looking at the charts, it seems fairly reliable. If this level holds or increases after wednesday, I would consider transferring into the I fund. If it runs, with positive global news, this could get a return close to 20%.

Post back any thoughts/likes/dislikes.
Click to expand...

I am out of IFT's but I am thinking of putting some in the I fund next month. An algorithm system I subscribe to has identified the I Fund as the fund to be in.
 
You know you like the bullish company Birch. I went full boat I fund yesterday mostly based on dollar predictions and the fact that the LMBM method has performed very well this year at 14.6%, and it will be in the I fund for December.
 
If I had missed the rally and was considering getting back into stocks COB Monday, I'd probably move to the I fund. The Tokyo Stock Exchange was last open on Thursday (Tokyo time), which was before our market opened (Thursday EDT). And it won't re-open until after our Market closes on Monday. So far, while Tokyo is sleeping, the S&P has gone up 2%. If it goes up again on Monday, you can bet the I fund will be in for some gains when the Nikkei rejoins it on Tuesday.

(All that being said, I'm already 100% S, and I never waste an IFT early in the month to go from one stock fund to another.)
 
The EAFE was up 0.72% on Friday and the I-fund was up 1.46%. Do you think the I-fund share price is already pricing in a possible copy-cat rally in Japan?
 
Maybe. I'm usually wrong in my speculation on the I fund. The FV thing throws me for a loop. :embarrest: But I keep trying anyway.
 
Nikkei closed +3.55%. Geez. Makes me think I should have followed my own advice. It wouldn't be a wasted IFT if it makes you money. But, we shall see. Who knows how that will actually play out in the TSP's I fund?
 
tsptalk said:
The EAFE was up 0.72% on Friday and the I-fund was up 1.46%. Do you think the I-fund share price is already pricing in a possible copy-cat rally in Japan?
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It appears you were right. Good call. This is why I don't usually play the I fund.
 
Any one care to guess how Japan's Nikkei finishing down 3.2% today is going to effect our I Fund tomorrow? :notrust:
 
Cactus said:
Any one care to guess how Japan's Nikkei finishing down 3.2% today is going to effect our I Fund tomorrow? :notrust:
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Depends how the rest of the globe trades.....could get a savior FV if the Dollar cooperates! But then again, I'm in the I fund, so probably not.
 
I guess it'll be a 2-day performance in both the international markets and the dollar wrapped up into one I Fund result Tuesday afternoon. The I fund is far from dull.
 
Bad news is Nikkei tanked, but from what I read, it was based mainly on a rebound in strength in the yen. The good news is that Europe was up fairly well. The worst news is that, like Frixxx, I now have a stake in the I-fund (10%). Our collective luck will probably bring calamity upon it.
 
I'm still having a hard time figuring out the I-Fund and hope you guys can help me out here? How does the yield going up on the T-bill impact the price of the dollar? If the price of the dollar goes down then the I fund should go up right? Thanks
 
Ron55 said:
I'm still having a hard time figuring out the I-Fund and hope you guys can help me out here? How does the yield going up on the T-bill impact the price of the dollar? If the price of the dollar goes down then the I fund should go up right? Thanks
Click to expand...
It's more of the dollar pulling the cart rather than the other way around. There is a correlation between the two (dollar / bonds) but like the dollar / stocks correlation, it isn't an exact science.

I don't think there is a direct correlation between the dollar and bonds, although like stocks and the dollar there are periods when one is more of a catalyst for the other. Sometimes they move together, sometimes inversely. It depends.

The dollar and yields move with economic data, and depending on the situation, where we are in the business cycle, etc., the reactions can vary.

Now the dollar and the I-fund have a very strong direct inverse correlation. If the EAFE index is up 0.5% on the day, and the dollar is down 0.5% on the day, the I-fund is likely to be up around 1%. If the EAFE index is up 0.5% on the day, and the dollar is up 0.5% on the day, the I-fund is likely to be flat on the day.

So your question, "If the price of the dollar goes down then the I fund should go up right?" ... is half right. They don't necessarily move in opposite directions, but they do inversely impact each other like the examples above.
 
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