sgtbriangreen's account talk

Sort by newest Sort by date
Well, I am half in. Part of me wants to go 100G for a week or so until after the FOMC, then catch the Santa Rally. The other part of me wants to go ahead and go all in. This rally has been going strong for a while and I think we are due a pullback. 2 hours to make a decision.....
 
sgtbriangreen said:
Well, I am half in. Part of me wants to go 100G for a week or so until after the FOMC, then catch the Santa Rally. The other part of me wants to go ahead and go all in. This rally has been going strong for a while and I think we are due a pullback. 2 hours to make a decision.....
Click to expand...

well, i'm no market maven and i've been wrong, a lot of times before. but generally speaking, the minute you question why you flying this path, that is when you need to pull it, make it fast, bail bail bail. two hours is a long time to get to make a decision. otherwise, be quick, and be good. godspeed.
 
My goal is a modest 1% gain per month. I am well short for the year sitting at 6.95% on the AT. However, my monthly gain so far is 1.18%. So, I have met my goal for this month. Bailing to G for right now wouldn't hurt me. I will still have 1 IFT to get back in when Santa comes. Don't be greedy.
 
I went back in 50/50 C and S fund COB 20 DEC hoping for a Santa rally that just didn't come. I bailed COB today to 80G, 20F for a week or so.
 
Looks like I bailed just in time. Maybe a day early, but better than a day late. It looks like most of the years gains will get wiped out today.
 
Been sitting 20% in the F since the 11th. Todays action should push the C and S above the flags. The last couple weeks have been 1 day up, 1 day down. Yesterday was up and it looks like today will be up. Do yall think tomorrow may be a slight down day to test the support at the top of the flag? If so, tomorrow may be the better buy day than today. Still have a little time to make a move. What says the masses?
 
I almost jumped back in today...but balked when I remembered to never buy during panic buying days!!
Tomorrow..if it heads south ..maybe.
 
Jumped in yesterday COB. 25% G, C, S, I. This was my 2nd IFT this month so I can still bail to G if need be. Lets see how this goes.
 
Been sitting with 40C, 50S, 10I. C is overbought, S is probably very close, new highs, seasonality weakness. Thinking about bailing to the G. My personal goal is 1% gain per month. Not trying to be greedy, but more would be better to give me a good buffer for the rest of the year. If I bail today (and today's gains stay where they are or better), that would put me at just over 2% YTD which is where I want to be at the end of FEB. If I go to G today, I am done for the month. Got an hour to decide.
 
Just my opinion, but this isn't the year to be conservative with your tsp. Make those gains while you can that way you have a buffer for years instead of months.
 
I agree with you James, but here is a cautionary note. It is a lot of people thinking like this that eventually leads to irrational exuberance, so I would also keep my eye on the market and be ready to punch out before the inevitable fall.

The million dollar question is when is that? No one knows, but I think it will be when the market insiders realize not everything will be coming up roses under the current administration's policies.
 
Wow what a jump this morning. Im 50S 50C. Wondering if I should go to G today and lock the gain. I would still have 1 IFT left to jump back in towards the end of the month. All this 15 MAR international stuff makes me worry a little.
 
JamesE said:
Just my opinion, but this isn't the year to be conservative with your tsp. Make those gains while you can that way you have a buffer for years instead of months.
Click to expand...

I agree James E. Can't be too conservative. Especially after a year like last year's annual return rate.
 
sgtbriangreen said:
Been sitting with 40C, 50S, 10I. C is overbought, S is probably very close, new highs, seasonality weakness. Thinking about bailing to the G. My personal goal is 1% gain per month. Not trying to be greedy, but more would be better to give me a good buffer for the rest of the year. If I bail today (and today's gains stay where they are or better), that would put me at just over 2% YTD which is where I want to be at the end of FEB. If I go to G today, I am done for the month. Got an hour to decide.
Click to expand...
I think you should go with your gut. My thoughts mirror yours, but I'm straddling the fence right now. "Should I stay or should I go!" :blink:
 
2nd IFT for March. 25% G, C, S, & I. Wanted to save both April IFTs for moving things around or putting the other 25% in. Got 2 chances to rebalance and bail.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

UNIX84
UNIX84 Account Talk
Replies
14
Views
3K
tsptalk
tsptalk
P
Negative Adjustment Earnings
Replies
3
Views
189
nasa1974
nasa1974
tsptalk
December 2024 AutoTracker Winners!
Replies
1
Views
133
nasa1974
nasa1974
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - Where's the positive holiday bias?
Replies
0
Views
134
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - The bulls are back
Replies
0
Views
134
tsptalk
tsptalk
Back
Top