Set Your 2015 Target!

[WorkFE]

In the grand scheme of things I suppose if you had a banner 2014 most would hope to repeat, if you had a so-so 2014 you hope to improve on that and if you were negative for 2014 you mirror those in the top ten

 

[ATCJeff]

goal is 20%, happy with +10%

 

[Fran1775]

I am due for another big year, probably how everyone else feels.

I stick my neck out for 15%, but I am shooting for 2 - 2 1/2% per month putting me about 25%.

I lost touch of that goal last year on month three when I had to start traveling again and the market became volatile. Well see what happens I guess !!

 

[maui21ice]

My goal is to outperform the best performing fund. I am confident I can consistently beat C and S (or F/G in a down year).

Buy the C/S now and you'll already have a nice little lead on them.

 

[Boghie]

I want to have at least a point or two edge on the L2030 - which is the super science driven allocation my betters feel I should be invested in.

After that, I would love to beat the S&P500 - but not with the risk of the S&P500. I have never lost anything close to some of the dumps in the S&P500 and I want to keep it that way...

This year feels like a 6%er in the S&P500...

 

[Hallatauer]

Wow... I guess you have to dream big.

I'm retired and taking payments vis IRS 72t rules. A realistic goal. A percentage higher than my withdrawal plus inflation. Anyway, anything over 5% is a positive. 10% would be awesome!

 

[bmneveu]

My goal is to outperform the best performing fund. Originally I started following this site because I wanted to beat the G fund. Now with this community and what I've learned since then, I am confident I can consistently beat C and S (or F/G in a down year). I won't complain if I make money this year, but my goal is to do better than 'buy and hold.'

 

[maui21ice]

I'm along the lines with Scout333 in one of the first posts, 12% (1% a month).

I'm still new to the TSP club, so while learning the ropes, that's the lowest I want this year. Anything over that will be a very welcome bonus and make me a happy investor.

 

[burrocrat]

Crap, 2 days in and my daily average is -1.76% at this rate of return, I'll finish the year with -443.52%

I need to start drinking again...

days like this are why back in 2008 i decided to never stop drinking again.

 

[jonfresno]

Crap, 2 days in and my daily average is -1.76% at this rate of return, I'll finish the year with -443.52%

I need to start drinking again...

Thank G-D for alphabetical order - I'm one up on you on the autotracker....

Hang tough my brutha, you'll be back up there soon.

 

[alevin]

:laugh:

 

[tsptalk]

Crap, 2 days in and my daily average is -1.76% at this rate of return, I'll finish the year with -443.52%

I need to start drinking again...

Are you taking under/over bets?

 

[jkenjohnson]

Crap, 2 days in and my daily average is -1.76% at this rate of return, I'll finish the year with -443.52%

I need to start drinking again...

I hope you do well this year Jason. I still think you are one of the most knowledgeable people on this site.

 

[WorkFE]

Crap, 2 days in and my daily average is -1.76% at this rate of return, I'll finish the year with -443.52%

The bad part is that, unless I'm mistaken, you wrote that historically the market does not go well in the first 2 weeks. We are our own worst enemy.

 

[konakathy]

Yep, that wasn't a good start for the new year. I'm going to start wearing my shades again. Couldn't hurt.

 

[rktect1]

My resolution was to start the year positive.

I tried that last year.

 

[JTH]

The average return of the Top 5 over the past 9 years is 26.61%

My goal this year is 30% there are 252 trading days this year, which means I'll need to average .12% a day

What say you?

Crap, 2 days in and my daily average is -1.76% at this rate of return, I'll finish the year with -443.52%

I need to start drinking again...

 

[kave]

It depends what kind of year we have. I'll be happy with a gain of 5% if the indices are down 5%.

My real goal is to follow my system as closely as possible, which for some reason is tough to do. I tried in 2014 but still couldn't match it. We're our own worst enemies.

Want to see something sickening?

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 250"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="width: 71, align: center"]Plus Sys
[/TD]
[TD="width: 66, align: center"]Me
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2014:
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"] +11.98%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+10.68%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2013:
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+28.56%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+9.00%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2012:
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+20.62%
[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+9.82%
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Tom, those return comparisons probably make you want to kick yourself in the butt!! Do you know how many times I've said, "Dam***T I knew better than that!!! You are exactly right, sometimes we are our own worst enemy. The glass half full side of me says a better than 9.5% avg. return over 3 years, "Not too Shabby" !!


The only way you lose is if you quit playing!!! Here's wishing you a Grand 2015!!

 

[felixthecat]

Put me down at 13.5 percent. I see me having to claw to get there this year. This is the year the market takes back some of those easy profits. Let us hope we don't get routed.

 

[tsptalk]

It depends what kind of year we have. I'll be happy with a gain of 5% if the indices are down 5%.

My real goal is to follow my system as closely as possible, which for some reason is tough to do. I tried in 2014 but still couldn't match it. We're our own worst enemies.

Want to see something sickening?

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 250"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="width: 71, align: center"]Plus Sys[/TD]
[TD="width: 66, align: center"]Me[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2014:[/TD]
[TD="align: center"] +11.98%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+10.68%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2013:[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+28.56%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+9.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]2012:[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+20.62%[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]+9.82%[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]