Sentiment Survey Results...

TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 1/07/13- 1/11/13

Sell: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 60% bulls, 30% bears,

for a bulls to bears ratio of 2.00 to 1. That is a sell signal in a bull market which means ​

the survey system will move to a 100% G fund allocation for the week of 1/7/13 - 1/11/13.
​

Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

See latest survey results

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
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[James48843]

Damn. Wasn't expecting that so soon. Ok- thanks for the heads up. Off to "G" we go!

 

[wavecoder]

:worried:

 

[FireWeatherMet]

When I first voted (Bullish) the survey was 80 Bull/20 Bear. Now its much lower, right to the "minimum" trade out to -G-.

Maybe this means we atill have another 1-2 weeks to go before any significant "pullback" style correction. Hopefully a cronwing/topping pattern will give us advanced warning if this indeed happens.

 

[tsptalk]

You must have voted pretty early. It was 64% bullish after about 400 votes, and by the time we hit 500+ votes it was 60%. The Fed tried to keep it on a buy, and I'm sure if that "easing" announcement came a couple of hours earlier it would not have hit the 2 to 1 bulls to bears ratio and would still be on a buy signal. It's amazing how much Thursday's action each week, affects the outcome of the survey.

 

[Sensei]

It's amazing how much Thursday's action each week, affects the outcome of the survey.

I think people really vote how they feel the market is going to do tomorrow, rather than consider how it will perform for an entire week. I cast a late bearish vote based on S&P price being up against the bollinger band and too far north of the 20 day MA for my liking.

 

[Fran1775]

Sensei

I think you're right on the reflection for the sentiment survey. I had some of the same feelings myself. What are your thoughts on the Performance for next week then? I see that you did not take and run to G like everyone else for safety.

 

[Sensei]

Sensei

I think you're right on the reflection for the sentiment survey. I had some of the same feelings myself. What are your thoughts on the Performance for next week then? I see that you did not take and run to G like everyone else for safety.

I put half my allocation into F, anticipating a pullback or consolidation in stocks. I left half in stocks though because we're in a strong uptrend and there is a very strong likelihood I'm wrong to play bonds. I guess you could say I'm rooting for a pullback and willing to sacrifice half the account for the opportunity to use the other half to buy back in at a lower price.