Sentiment Survey Results...

TSP Talk Sentiment Survey results for the week of 10/09/12- 10/12/12

Sell: The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 63% bulls, 26% bears, for a bulls to bears ratio of 2.42 to 1. That is a Sell signal which means the system will move to a 100% G fund allocation for the week of 10/09/12 - 10/12/12.

Bull market rules have been in effect since the week of 1/09/12:

See latest survey results

To discuss or comment on the Sentiment Survey, go to Sentiment Survey Talk
...

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

 

[tsptalk]

Really. I didn't think we'd ever get overly bullish again.

 

[respro]

I don't understand. If its 63% bulls why go 100% G?

 

[respro]

I don't understand. If its 63% bulls why go 100% G?

I found the rules page for the sentiment survey.

 

[tsptalk]

I was just about to point you there... TSP Talk - Sentiment Survey System

It's a contrarian indicator at extreme readings.

 

[James48843]

It also has been known in the past, at times, to be a bit early as a market indicator.

Sometimes it has been a week or two or three later before we've had a pullback.

But generally it is pretty darn good.

Thanks for the heads up Tom. I will be watching the market carefully now and considering this as an additional data point when trying to make my decisoin on when to bail to safety.

 

[tsptalk]

... and the last sell signal only lasted one week.

 

[Fran1775]

I left just over a week ago, Something in the pit of my stomach just did not seem right. I have lost out on a few gains though. I am expecting something big to happen and a downturn soon. I am happy to run though at my current returns!