S Fund

[Birchtree]

Try and keep an eye on the hedge fund money flows - they were responsible for the last spill - their loyalty is worth only an eigth of a point. Go where they are afraid to tread.

 

[tsptalk]

The S-fund still lags the C-fund and the I-fund in terms of recovery following the recent decline. I think it has a little more potiential right now than the other two, although the I-fund has been doing really well. The I fund has recovered 74% of the decline, C-fund has recovered 79% of the decline, and the S-fund has recovered only 37% of the decline.

MZM money is still very tight which puts growth on hold. Value is paying now but for how long? ... don't know exactly. The fed is going to have to open the flood gates if the economy shows any weakness. Then the S fund can shine again. I'll keep an eye on those monetary indicators, the one leg of the market that is lagging. The others, psychology and relative valuation, are quite strong. It's just a matter of time.

 

[vectorman]

The S Fund is on Steriods this week!

Since last Friday, Aug 11th. S fund up 61 cents a share vs the I fund up 56 cents a share.

 

[Show-me]

For the month of August.

For the month of August.

C fund.......2.21%

S fund.......1.31%

I fund....... 2.40%

 

[vectorman]

Hey Vector dude! Sounds like a recipe for I funding now .

The one thing I've learned from watching those talking heads on CNBC is that they tell you what is going on after the fact. They are the ones who have bought international stock back in the middle of June. Now that its up big they want the amateur investor to run to internationals and push then alittle higher while at the same time the big boys are selling and buying small caps. In about two months you'll hear how great small caps are and that is the place to be, after the fact.

 

[SkyPilot]

Reminds me of the battle of wits from The Princess Bride (Vizzini's Logic).

 

[Robo5555]

Vectorman......I think ur right on target.

 

[vectorman]

The S-fund still lags the C-fund and the I-fund in terms of recovery following the recent decline. I think it has a little more potiential right now than the other two, although the I-fund has been doing really well. The I fund has recovered 74% of the decline, C-fund has recovered 79% of the decline, and the S-fund has recovered only 37% of the decline.

Come on S fund, getty up. http://www.tspmoney.com/prev/index3.html

 

[Birchtree]

I own it but I don't trust it unless we are on the upside beginning of the next 4 year cycle. But I'm curious enough to stay and watch the gains pile up for awhile - but not another 7 years. Maybe until 2/07.

 

[Wheels]

JDS Uniphase is getting whooped after hours. I hope that doesn't drag down the Nas and the S tomorrow.

 

[tsptalk]

Actually the S&P, Nasdaq and Russell futures are all up nicely right now.

 

[Birchtree]

The R2K AD MCO exhibited a classic relationship with price since mid-May, 2006. The R2K AD MCO posted a negative extreme, which is almost always followed by lower price lows, which occurred. Then, in late Fune, the R2K AD MCO achieved a positive extreme, but failed to carve more than a simple structure above its zero line - suggesting more work was needed in the bottoming formation process. Now the R2K AD has carved out a pattern of higher lows/higher highs, constructive action for the intermediate term. Currently at +73, the R2K AD MCO would need another 8 points to exceed its late June/early July thrust to +80. A good sign for the bulls when enough liquidity is available to find its way into this group. There is accumulation underway in the small cap universe. Makes me think with the triple bottom in place that the 4 year cycle has passed and is now on the upswing. Snort.

 

[Robo5555]

Hello, Do u guys have a good link for futures??

 

[tsptalk]

http://www.cme.com/trading/dta/del/globex.html

 

[Birchtree]

With the slowing economy. the strong performance of the stocks of small and midsize companies - a domonant trend for the past several years - could quickly come to an end. In fact, there are signs it is happening now. In the past three months, the average stock fund investing in large company stocks has gained 2.1%, while small-cap stock funds lost 2.4%. FWIW.

 

[Robo5555]

Looks like a dime gain today.....maybe .11 cents

 

[Robo5555]

S vs I.....based on the last six weeks the S fund has outperformed the I fund by a mile. Seems like a case of what you've done for me lately rather than a long haul. You all think this is going to press until the end of the year??

 

[FundSurfer]

View attachment 1109
View attachment 1110

 

[Robo5555]

looks loke another prob down day for the S fund....at this pace over 10 cents....might be a good time to jump in for the short term....any suggestions..??

 

[Birchtree]

Over the past decade, small-caps have tended to perform well during the last two months of the year. I'm holding my OTCFX fund until Spring and will then continue to peel off shares for redistribution. There are still too many hedge funds and small speculators that are currently short - this is positive from a contrarian perspective. Buy now pay later.