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S Fund
- Thread starter Wheels
- Start date
FundSurfer said:
MZM money is still very tight which puts growth on hold. Value is paying now but for how long? ... don't know exactly. The fed is going to have to open the flood gates if the economy shows any weakness. Then the S fund can shine again. I'll keep an eye on those monetary indicators, the one leg of the market that is lagging. The others, psychology and relative valuation, are quite strong. It's just a matter of time.
vectorman
Active member
SkyPilot said:Hey Vector dude! Sounds like a recipe for I funding now.
The one thing I've learned from watching those talking heads on CNBC is that they tell you what is going on after the fact. They are the ones who have bought international stock back in the middle of June. Now that its up big they want the amateur investor to run to internationals and push then alittle higher while at the same time the big boys are selling and buying small caps. In about two months you'll hear how great small caps are and that is the place to be, after the fact.
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vectorman
Active member
Birchtree
Well-known member
The R2K AD MCO exhibited a classic relationship with price since mid-May, 2006. The R2K AD MCO posted a negative extreme, which is almost always followed by lower price lows, which occurred. Then, in late Fune, the R2K AD MCO achieved a positive extreme, but failed to carve more than a simple structure above its zero line - suggesting more work was needed in the bottoming formation process. Now the R2K AD has carved out a pattern of higher lows/higher highs, constructive action for the intermediate term. Currently at +73, the R2K AD MCO would need another 8 points to exceed its late June/early July thrust to +80. A good sign for the bulls when enough liquidity is available to find its way into this group. There is accumulation underway in the small cap universe. Makes me think with the triple bottom in place that the 4 year cycle has passed and is now on the upswing. Snort.
Birchtree
Well-known member
With the slowing economy. the strong performance of the stocks of small and midsize companies - a domonant trend for the past several years - could quickly come to an end. In fact, there are signs it is happening now. In the past three months, the average stock fund investing in large company stocks has gained 2.1%, while small-cap stock funds lost 2.4%. FWIW.
FundSurfer
Well-known member
Birchtree
Well-known member
Over the past decade, small-caps have tended to perform well during the last two months of the year. I'm holding my OTCFX fund until Spring and will then continue to peel off shares for redistribution. There are still too many hedge funds and small speculators that are currently short - this is positive from a contrarian perspective. Buy now pay later.
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