RealMoneyIssues' Account Talk

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RealMoneyIssues said:
Sounds good, means I will get a lower buy in price and when they pop the market up and go higher on Monday I will finally be participating
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Click to expand...


You could be buying in at the top?
 
jkenjohnson said:
You could be buying in at the top?
Click to expand...

Not likely, market is great, which means the economy is great. Even if we do pull back, every one has been bought at less than a 3% drop and then gone right back up. So I will take a little pain knowing that we are going to continue hitting highs. The Fed will continue to pump $85 billion a month into the market and I am going to stop fighting the inevitable...

weatherweenie said:
Buy High, sell higher. You gotta ask yourself, do you feel lucky, punk? :)
Click to expand...
Luck has nothing to do with it... If I were lucky I wouldn't be at 0.23% in my TSP and -11% in my IRA...
 
The top is so high up I'll have to get an oxygen mask - remember I used to be a registered respiratory therapist in my day.
 
weatherweenie said:
Buy High, sell higher. You gotta ask yourself, do you feel lucky, punk? :)
Click to expand...
Are people going to cash today? They're not buying bonds either. Anyway, like BT says, buy equities and forget it. Just leave your money in a place that makes money. The stocks are not going to go down much today or much anytime soon, a few percentage points maybe. In fact, all signs point to 1700 SPX by the end of the year. It's just getting started. It's going to be a super year.
 
There is nothing fundamental on the horizon that could stop the rally in the stock market. Corporate earnings and sales have been better than expected with many companies raising quarterly dividends and announcing plans to buy back shares. I've now gotten 50 dividend increase announcements this year. If we're going to have an asset bubble it's best to get a piece of it - 14,973 by April 9th.
 
Have a great week-end everyone! Plans to get some honey-do's done, PBR event Sat night, daughter stopping by for Church and lunch on Sunday...

All to forget the market and my losses...
 
I feel your pain RMI (and others). I discovered back in '09 that I hated missing a big upswing more than riding a drop down... perhaps because it is so prolonged. I have to agree with BT. Hold your nose and take the plunge and then let it ride. Now, to contradict myself, been reading alot of "it can't go down", "nothing on the horizon to stop this climb" stuff... Not to say that we're the herd, but when everyone starts saying it can't go down, well.....
 
Ken, didn't make an IFT yet, still very nervous about buying this high. If S&P 500 beats all time high and confirms above, then I will consider moving into the market. If the S&P moves above that ~1576, then it will have cancelled a decade long+ M-A pattern and a potential H&S pattern. Only time will tell.

DakotaKid, thanks for stopping by and yes, I have seen all of that bullishness too... To be honest, until the Fed slows down on QE or there is some black swan event, then maybe they are right...

Have a great week yall!!
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
Ken, didn't make an IFT yet, still very nervous about buying this high. If S&P 500 beats all time high and confirms above, then I will consider moving into the market. If the S&P moves above that ~1576, then it will have cancelled a decade long+ M-A pattern and a potential H&S pattern. Only time will tell.

DakotaKid, thanks for stopping by and yes, I have seen all of that bullishness too... To be honest, until the Fed slows down on QE or there is some black swan event, then maybe they are right...

Have a great week yall!!
Click to expand...

I do not feel good about chasing it now either.
 
Well, looks like the F fund has gone no where since last 4th of July. Stocks have been on a 25-35% tear while I has been stalled since the beginning of February.

None of this includes todays prices of course, but thought I would post it real quick. Have a great night!
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
Well, looks like the F fund has gone no where since last 4th of July. Stocks have been on a 25-35% tear while I has been stalled since the beginning of February.

None of this includes todays prices of course, but thought I would post it real quick. Have a great night!
Click to expand...

I made a little $ in the F fund. Entered in on 1/31 @ 15.92 and exited on 2/27 @ 15.98.
 
RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD].
.
Sniper[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD].
TSP
Wealth[/TD]
[TD].
The Fed
Trader[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
CCI
Model[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Mar[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-760[/TD]
[TD]Long-235[/TD]
[TD]Safe-833[/TD]
[TD]Safe-845[/TD]
[TD]Short-62[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Sell[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5-Mar[/TD]
[TD]40%
[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-769[/TD]
[TD]Long-217[/TD]
[TD]Safe-849[/TD]
[TD]Safe-857[/TD]
[TD]Short-78[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Sell[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6-Mar[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-783[/TD]
[TD]Long-178[/TD]
[TD]Safe-865[/TD]
[TD]Safe-872[/TD]
[TD]Short-122[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7-Mar[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-787[/TD]
[TD]Long-180[/TD]
[TD]Safe-863[/TD]
[TD]Safe-874[/TD]
[TD]Short-136[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8-Mar[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-789[/TD]
[TD]Long-180[/TD]
[TD]Safe-865[/TD]
[TD]Safe-871[/TD]
[TD]Long-676[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Mar[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-782[/TD]
[TD]Long-174[/TD]
[TD]Safe-863[/TD]
[TD]Safe-870[/TD]
[TD]Long-213[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Mar
[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-783[/TD]
[TD]Long-167[/TD]
[TD]Safe-867[/TD]
[TD]Safe-874[/TD]
[TD]Long-187[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Mar[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]63%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14-Mar[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15-Mar[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]67%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Still, not a lot of time to discuss because life, like the markets, has gotten away from me.

As usual, Only Time Will Tell what the markets have in store for us.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

Tools:
http://www.mint.com
http://saveup.com/
Free Credit Score & Credit Report Data. No Credit Card Needed
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
Well, looks like the F fund has gone no where since last 4th of July. Stocks have been on a 25-35% tear while I has been stalled since the beginning of February.

None of this includes todays prices of course, but thought I would post it real quick. Have a great night!
Click to expand...

I think I will give up on the F and I fund for my future trades. My trades in these two funds almost always lose money.
 
jkenjohnson said:
I think I will give up on the F and I fund for my future trades. My trades in these two funds almost always lose money.
Click to expand...

I have noticed over the last half year or so that there are a lot of days that stocks are up and bonds are up, stocks are down and bonds are down... I would think something "weird" is going on... but thats just me, BT and JJ are having too much fun :(
 
Market Topping Theory:

nnuut always posts a lot

and

Birchtree only posts when the markets are up

and

Birchtree's 90 day post total is nearly exceeding nnuut's 90 day post total

therefore

Market must be topping because of all the BS
(Birchtree Sentiment) being spread around the TSPTalk forums...
willy_nilly.gif


smilielol.gif


Just sayin'
notallthere.gif
 
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