RealMoneyIssues' Account Talk

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RMI's OCD Chart:


Somehow I messed up my spreadsheet and I don't have time to figure out what I did until next week...

JTH, if you still keep track of your daily AT position, or anyone else that does, can you send me your placement since the beginning of the year? That might help me figure out what numbers go where. Each time I pull the numbers, it overwrites the previous days numbers... so, I am stuck. I will try to figure it out next week and start posting my chart again.

Sorry :(

Good Luck and God Bless!!

Tools:
http://www.mint.com
http://saveup.com
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
View attachment 21929

Anyone else see a pattern here?

Is this the institutions distributing their millions of shares to the sheeple? If so, what's next?
Click to expand...

Selling early in the day with pretty good volume, then it dies off to low volume and steady buying for the rest of the day.

That is an interesting pattern because it makes me thing the institutions are selling a lot in the morning, then laying low and selling much less as the day goes on so they don't drop the market too much. I see this as distribution. The pattern shows up on many indexes and large cap stocks. There was more selling at the end of today will a little more volume, so does that mean the institutions are almost out?

I don't know, but it is interesting to think about whether this is signalling a top to the market. This choppiness can last awhile, but I can only assume in the next week to several weeks (end of Feb?) that we could see some selling on volume... who knows... Maybe it is time to gather some gains and be a little defensive :worried:

We are krill in a sea of blue whales...

Only time will tell what the future holds...

(Well, until Bquat gets his crystal ball fixed. He has had that stupid thing in the shop for a long time now ;) )
 
JTH said:
Lol, you'll have to tell me where you're tracking me
Click to expand...

Thanks, my spreadsheet. My spreadsheet mods are due to you and your spreadsheet.

I only track those that make the top 10... well, and a few others that are consistently high on the AT; probably around 50 folks.

One day when I am not so lazy, I will finish the program I wrote to mine the AT daily so I don't lose the data each day like the spreadsheet does... some day
 
RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Market
Sentiment
Timing Sys[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
CCI
Model[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]31-Dec[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]63%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short-528[/TD]
[TD]Long-35[/TD]
[TD]Long-943[/TD]
[TD]Safe-184[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2-Jan[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]49%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-564[/TD]
[TD]Long-42[/TD]
[TD]Long-981[/TD]
[TD]Safe-223[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-Jan[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]74%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-619[/TD]
[TD]Long-421[/TD]
[TD]Safe-201[/TD]
[TD]Long-301[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Jan[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-614[/TD]
[TD]Long-518[/TD]
[TD]Safe-166[/TD]
[TD]Long-322[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-655[/TD]
[TD]Long-471[/TD]
[TD]Safe-334[/TD]
[TD]Long-337[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8-Jan[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long-647[/TD]
[TD]Long-527[/TD]
[TD]Safe-232[/TD]
[TD]Long-321[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Jan[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-569[/TD]
[TD]Safe-211[/TD]
[TD]Safe-339[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Jan[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-668[/TD]
[TD]Long-564[/TD]
[TD]Safe-265[/TD]
[TD]Safe-421[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy
[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-716[/TD]
[TD]Long-365[/TD]
[TD]Safe-345[/TD]
[TD]Safe-471[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-717[/TD]
[TD]Long-374[/TD]
[TD]Safe-348[/TD]
[TD]Safe-478[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-714[/TD]
[TD]Long-400[/TD]
[TD]Safe-347[/TD]
[TD]Safe-495[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16-Jan[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-739[/TD]
[TD]Long-391[/TD]
[TD]Safe-373[/TD]
[TD]Safe-524[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-714[/TD]
[TD]Long-459[/TD]
[TD]Safe-352[/TD]
[TD]Safe-502[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Still, not a lot of time to discuss because life, like the markets, has gotten away from me.

As usual, Only Time Will Tell what the markets have in store for us.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

Tools:
http://www.mint.com
http://saveup.com

Tonight's OCD is brought to you by the numbers 4 and 3 and the letters J, T, H
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
21929-realmoneyissues-account-talk-spx_10min_20130116.png


Anyone else see a pattern here?

Is this the institutions distributing their millions of shares to the sheeple? If so, what's next?
Click to expand...

More selling this morning? Just from a gap up... same 'ole stuff?
 
Well, the Birchtree meter is pegged (most posts on the board), so today must be an up day :p

Today was definitely a gap and go kinda day. I am hesitant because of all the resistance above this level. No matter how much the media hypes how great our economy is, I am just not convinced that we can continue to break into multi-year high territory without a pull back... which, will be a good buying opportunity. Seems to be a lot of bullishness in the market, too much complacency, and to put it bluntly, are we REALLY better off now than 5 years ago? I don't see it...

This isn't the first, nor last, time I have left profit on the table, but I suppose that is better than losing money.
 
RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Market
Sentiment
Timing Sys[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
CCI
Model[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-717[/TD]
[TD]Long-374[/TD]
[TD]Safe-348[/TD]
[TD]Safe-478[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]65%
[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-714[/TD]
[TD]Long-400[/TD]
[TD]Safe-347[/TD]
[TD]Safe-495[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16-Jan[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-739[/TD]
[TD]Long-391[/TD]
[TD]Safe-373[/TD]
[TD]Safe-524[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-714[/TD]
[TD]Long-459[/TD]
[TD]Safe-352[/TD]
[TD]Safe-502[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-763[/TD]
[TD]Long-354[/TD]
[TD]Safe-440[/TD]
[TD]Safe-560[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]22-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]67%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Still, not a lot of time to discuss because life, like the markets, has gotten away from me.

As usual, Only Time Will Tell what the markets have in store for us.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

Tools:
http://www.mint.com
http://saveup.com
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
Well, the Birchtree meter is pegged (most posts on the board), so today must be an up day :p

Today was definitely a gap and go kinda day. I am hesitant because of all the resistance above this level. No matter how much the media hypes how great our economy is, I am just not convinced that we can continue to break into multi-year high territory without a pull back... which, will be a good buying opportunity. Seems to be a lot of bullishness in the market, too much complacency, and to put it bluntly, are we REALLY better off now than 5 years ago? I don't see it...

This isn't the first, nor last, time I have left profit on the table, but I suppose that is better than losing money.
Click to expand...

Here's my question... someone is all in S riding the wave. In the event of the pullback you are sure is coming I can see why you would then see it as an opportunity to buy. But does that mean the S guy must sell? Get out and lock in some gains or stay in and ride out the dip? I mean, why would someone buy at the dip if they didn't expect it to rise again? So is the decision for the S guy to lock in gains and wait for a buying opportunity later. Or hold and wait for the market to re surge? Purely hypothetical of course. And a personal decision.

Just trying to get a handle on why people buy and sell when they do. Because I'm such a rube at this. No really. I'd be interested in your thoughts on the subject. Thanks. PM me if you like.
 
Take advantage of your dollar cost averaging strategy when your money rolls around - sometimes you'll catch a bottom for better pricing and sometimes you'll pay a higher price - it really doesn't matter much. Just keep the money going in no matter the market conditions - think longer term. And don't forget where you are - we're in a very strong bull market and consolidations may be shallow for the next several years.
 
RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Market
Sentiment
Timing Sys[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
CCI
Model[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-717[/TD]
[TD]Long-374[/TD]
[TD]Safe-348[/TD]
[TD]Safe-478[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15-Jan[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]65%
[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-714[/TD]
[TD]Long-400[/TD]
[TD]Safe-347[/TD]
[TD]Safe-495[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]16-Jan[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-739[/TD]
[TD]Long-391[/TD]
[TD]Safe-373[/TD]
[TD]Safe-524[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]70%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-714[/TD]
[TD]Long-459[/TD]
[TD]Safe-352[/TD]
[TD]Safe-502[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe-763[/TD]
[TD]Long-354[/TD]
[TD]Safe-440[/TD]
[TD]Safe-560[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]22-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Long
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-753[/TD]
[TD]Long-462[/TD]
[TD]Safe-418[/TD]
[TD]Safe-573[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Cover[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]67%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]25-Jan[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Still, not a lot of time to discuss because life, like the markets, has gotten away from me.

As usual, Only Time Will Tell what the markets have in store for us.

Good Luck and God Bless!!

Tools:
http://www.mint.com
http://saveup.com
 
99percent said:
I'm betting it will and I wish I had waited.
Click to expand...

can never look back on a trade, only forward! nobody ever goes broke taking a profit, if it ended in green, it's good. if anything, it's always better to sell too early than too late, there will be plenty more opportunity, pick your shots :)
 
sniper said:
can never look back on a trade, only forward! nobody ever goes broke taking a profit, if it ended in green, it's good. if anything, it's always better to sell too early than too late, there will be plenty more opportunity, pick your shots :)
Click to expand...

Made up my mind I'm gonna follow the signals this year. Yeah, my emotional side said stay in but ,dammit , I'm following the system this year! lol Your right, gains are good. :)
 
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