rangerray's Account Talk

[rangerray]

After reading all of your comments and taking in some news this morning, I've decided to just let my 25% S & 25% C stake ride for now. I think it's a toss up right now where the market goes and it looks like there is a little strength this morning.

Thanks all!

 

[nasa1974]

Well the "S" fund was another one of these,

 

[rangerray]

I expect October to be a volatile month, but I'm taking a chance on this coming Monday and going all in at 25% C and 75% S. Hope everyone has a great weekend!

 

[cedarpine]

I expect October to be a volatile month, but I'm taking a chance on this coming Monday and going all in at 25% C and 75% S. Hope everyone has a great weekend!

Ditto…If the seasonality chart is on track and the dip at the
end of Sep as shown. Somehow the bulls manage
to pull it out again…The implied volatility is not
showing fear in the market. Now that quarterly
option expiration & window dressing are over. With
5% off from the high and still have 2 IFTs, I've
decided to enter with 70% C & 30% S.



Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

 

[mmk119]

wishing us all best of luck

 

[rangerray]

"Q4 2021 will likely record a higher-than-average return. However, investors will need to hang on tight during the typically tumultuous ride in October, which saw 36% higher volatility when compared with the average for the other 11 months," notes CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[Boghie]

"Q4 2021 will likely record a higher-than-average return. However, investors will need to hang on tight during the typically tumultuous ride in October, which saw 36% higher volatility when compared with the average for the other 11 months," notes CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

If you are in C/S/I to a large extent - that percent is based on your personal risk tolerance and years till you need the moola - then today seems to be the inflection point.

Either hang on or get out.

Personally, I'm only 35% in C/S/I. I think that is a good allocation. I think October is going to be nasty, but since I don't know I want some assets in the market to get some value out of a rebound. It does not feel like October of 2007 so why be all out.

I don't know how additional regulation, additional taxes, additional inflation, and hapless foreign relations can result in a growing economy. The economy has to grow for the private sector to grow. The private sector is what one invests in when one invests in C/S/I. Right now the private sector seems to be in hunker down mode. Then again, a few simple policy changes can turn this mess around almost instantly. As the USMC saying goes: Semper Gumby, Adapt and Overcome. Simply not threatening the private sector could result is a HUGE gain. Not hard to do, not hard at all. Gotta be in to win!!!

 

[rangerray]

Futures on the SPY seem to be up, so my hope is that people take a good thing and go north with it. I'd settle for a northeast chart direction, though. I could look at my current stance in a negative way, but I'm perfectly positioned for a windfall too! Currently 25% C and 75% S. :smile:

 

[nasa1974]

I would be happy right now to pick up half of yesterdays losses and the market take small bull steps the rest of the week.

 

[rangerray]

Can we call this "Turnaround Tuesday" yet?

 

[rangerray]

I'm gonna go ahead and predict that today is a good day for me to cash out and move most of my holdings to the G fund for the rest of the month. I'll be 20% C, 20% S and 60% G at COB today. It sounds bad, but I was hoping for a bad jobs report this morning, thinking that bad news would spur the market to new highs. I think the reasoning in different articles I had read was that if the report was bad, the fed would be less likely to announce tapering and interest rate increases. With that said, I'm just hoping for any positive return today. I'll have some skin in the game in case we happen to hug that upper Bollinger band for a bit, but not enough that I'll suffer significant losses if the market heads south.

Happy Friday and everybody have a good weekend. I'll be spending a couple of days this weekend on a road trip to Nashville on my new Kawasaki Concours! I don't plan to think much about markets and such until at least next Monday.

 

[flalaw97]

I know nothing about motorcycles but when it looks like it is moving just sitting there, it must be fun to ride. Enjoy yourself and be safe!

 

[rangerray]

Apparently bad news was bad news today.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[ravensfan]

Hey rangerray I'm a Harley guy myself but that's a good looking set of wheels. Enjoy your trip, be safe and keep the shiny side up and the rubber side down.

Here's a picture of my baby on a recent trip to the Blue Ridge Parkway.

 

[nasa1974]

We rode one of these all over Aruba when we were on a Panama Canal cruise in 2012.

The tough part was you had to shift gears left handed.

 

[rangerray]

I’m a long distance rider and I’m forcing my self to get used to the Kawasaki after riding Yamaha FJR’s for 18 years.

Having a government job that, at times, was sending me to training twice a year was the perfect match for somebody that likes to ride like I do. I had some monumental travel vouchers.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[rangerray]

I've gotten over 2% this month, so I'm going to 100% G by COB today and will try to wait until a great time to buy back in next month. Especially on the DWCPF, it looks like it's finally back to the top of it's long term range, so if the pattern repeats, this would be a good time to get out.

 

[mmk119]

rangerray - i've done the same, 100%G. similar but slightly different reasons. we'll see what the next couple weeks bring. no pun intended to the coming season - but, it almost feels like a Christmas phrase when I say hoping for good returns for everyone. LOL

 

[rangerray]

Same story, different verse...waiting for a pullback. I hate to try and get in at the top.

As an aside, I'm at an all time high for my account balance and would at least like to say that for another 26 days; I will be retired on 30 NOV.

 

[pmaloney]

I will be retired on 30 NOV.

Congratulations!