rangerray's Account Talk

[Boghie]

I like your thinking. Don't fight the Fed might be the most successful trading philosophy.

I moved my little 20% in S Fund to G today. I'm 100% G Fund as of COB. I'm determined to hold a positive return.

.36% or better for the year looks good to me at the moment

The Fed doesn't want to see a market rally, IMO, so, sell the rally they say.

The FED can't care about 'the market'.
They are paid to care about the value of your money.

If there is inflation outside the margin they will initiate deflation to bring it back in line. If the Federal Gubmint initiats policies that are inflationary, then the FED will implement policies that are deflationary. Someone should tell the CongressCritters and the Administration the well known maxim you quoted: "Don't fight the FED!!!". I think the FED is a bit tired of priming the pump when the Treasury is busy borrowing money to toss into the crowds.

Simple

 

[rangerray]

Looking for a little reversal after the holiday? Allocation change: (G 80%) (C 5%) (S 10%) (I 5%)

I'm not too enthusiastic about this either.

 

[rangerray]

Increased within my current mix to (G 50%) (C 15%) (S 20%) (I 15%). Will probably watch for a good exit now. :nuts:

 

[dannyboy]

Increased within my current mix to (G 50%) (C 15%) (S 20%) (I 15%). Will probably watch for a good exit now. :nuts:

Thanks

 

[rangerray]

I've already had enough excitement for this month. Going back to G Fund 100% at COB.

 

[rangerray]

I guess I dodged a bullet. I would have lost on my latest little gamble if I hadn’t of gotten out yesterday.

I sure am tired of not knowing.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[tsptalk]

Nice call!

 

[rangerray]

I figured there’d be some good opportunities in S Fund this year and I’m sitting on go, but this current rally was so fast and furious that, after it began, I felt I needed to wait for confirmation.

Now that I believe in it, it feels like it’s too late and I don’t feel comfortable chasing.

So, I sit in G.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[WorkFE]

So, I sit in G.

Making 3.875%

3.875%. Could be worse. ​

 

[rangerray]

Making 3.875%

3.875%. Could be worse. ​

Just for the sake of speaking for no reason, I played with my allocation and trying to catch back up now.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[rangerray]

After this mornings open, I’m glad I left 20% C, 20% S in play yesterday, but dang, that “flash crash” spooked me. I don’t have any confidence in guessing where this market goes.

It looks like, at least for the C Fund, a safe strategy might have been to stay allocated as long as it’s above the 20 day EMA (green line).

Shouldn’t it be that simple? Well, it’s not for me apparently.




Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[rangerray]

I just received confirmation that I sold too early the other day.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[JTH]

Drop me your ladder, you took gains off the table on the 6th highest close over the past 67 years....

 

[rangerray]

Drop me your ladder, you took gains off the table on the 6th highest close over the past 67 years....

Yea, what a difference a few days makes. Glad I got out when I did in hindsight.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[ravensfan]

I just received confirmation that I sold too early the other day. 﫤


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

We've all been there rangerray. You're in good company...:embarrest:

 

[rangerray]

What an open! Congratulations to everyone that was positioned to benefit and I hope it holds. I’m playing “wait and see.”


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[nasa1974]

Tempted to get out and take the profit. My luck everyone else will take the profit and it will close in the red. :1244:

 

[rangerray]

Tempted to get out and take the profit. My luck everyone else will take the profit and it will close in the red. :1244:

I know what you mean. And I suppose this effect is somewhat exaggerated now that I’m retired, but with all of the volatility of late, it seems like any move I make between funds is really bold; the emotions involved are amped up.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[rangerray]

I’m moving some into C & S, and it seems like the worst time to buy, but the market just keeps running away.

40 S
20 C
40 G


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[rangerray]

Already changing my mind. Just gonna hold 20% C and 80% G.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS