Intela: Pre-Bell 
Brief
Time: 2025-10-23 08:20 (ET)
Key Takeaway
• Oil pops after U.S. sanctions on Russian majors; inflation nerves flicker. [1]
• Earnings drift sets tone as IBM slumps and Tesla softens. [2]
• Futures steady-to-mixed as traders weigh oil, yields, and headlines. [3]
What Moved Overnight
• Europe modestly green on earnings; Asia mixed into the U.S. open. [4]
• Dollar index DXY inches up: risk mood cautious before auctions and results. [5]
• Oil strength persists on sanctions chatter and supply risk. [1]
How the Prior Session Closed
• U.S. stocks faded: S&P 500 (SPX) −0.5%, Dow −0.7%, Nasdaq −0.9%. [7]
• Core bonds dipped: AGG −0.30% as duration lagged late day. [8]
• Tech and Industrials led declines; defensives steadied the tape. [9]
• Top SPX Winner: AVY (Avery Dennison) +10.0% (Industrials). [10]
• Bottom SPX Loser: IBM (International Business Machines) −6.6% (Information Technology). [11]
TSP Stats
G-Fund Estimated Forward Returns • +0.0119% per session
• 5 Sessions: +0.060% • November: +0.23% • 3 Months: +0.76% • 1 Year: +3.06%
FCSI Past-5 Sessions
• F-Fund +0.29% • C-Fund +1.07% • S-Fund +1.63% • I-Fund +0.21%
Today's 1st Hour of Trading, What to Watch For
• Leaders: does Energy hold gains while chips digest mixed guides. [2]
• Rates and DXY: firm dollar can cap early breadth. [5]
• Liquidity: opening gap resilience if oil stays bid on sanctions news. [1]
Upcoming Headlines (5-Day Window, ET)
• 10/23 THU 13:00 — [Auction] 5-Year TIPS: inflation hedge demand test. [13]
• 10/27 MON 13:00 — [Auction] 5-Year Note: size and tails matter. [14]
• 10/28 TUE 13:00 — [Auction] 7-Year Note: duration appetite check. [14]
• 10/23 THU — [Earnings] Intel (INTC): PC and foundry color. [15]
Disclaimer: Any resemblance to actual outcomes is purely coincidental.
• Powered by AI-Intela: Sometimes thinking hard, sometimes hardly thinking.
▶ Citation Block
[1] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “Morning Bid: Oil jumps and Tesla skids”
[2] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “Wall Street futures dip as investors assess earnings, trade risks”
[3] 2025-10-23: WSJ: “Stock Market Today: Oil Prices Jump on Russia Sanctions”
[4] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “Stocks rise on upbeat earnings; Russia sanctions boost oil”
[5] 2025-10-23: Investing.com: “US Dollar Index Historical Data (DXY)”
[6] 2025-10-22: Reuters: “Stocks ease as Netflix falls; gold extends Tuesday's fall”
[7] 2025-10-23: Yahoo/AP: “How major US stock indexes fared Wednesday, 10/22/2025”
[8] 2025-10-22: Yahoo Finance: “iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) — Historical Data”
[9] 2025-10-22: Investopedia: “Markets News, Oct. 22, 2025”
[10] 2025-10-22: Investopedia: “Avery Dennison stock jumps on Q3 profit”
[11] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “IBM slides after cloud software slowdown”
[12] 2025-10-22: TSPtalk: “TSP Share Prices — Thru 10/22/25”
[13] 2025-08-30: U.S. Treasury: “Tentative Auction Schedule PDF”
[14] 2025-10-23: TreasuryDirect: “Upcoming Auctions”
[15] 2025-10-23: Barron’s: “Intel reports earnings today”
BriefTime: 2025-10-23 08:20 (ET)
Key Takeaway• Oil pops after U.S. sanctions on Russian majors; inflation nerves flicker. [1]
• Earnings drift sets tone as IBM slumps and Tesla softens. [2]
• Futures steady-to-mixed as traders weigh oil, yields, and headlines. [3]
What Moved Overnight• Europe modestly green on earnings; Asia mixed into the U.S. open. [4]
• Dollar index DXY inches up: risk mood cautious before auctions and results. [5]
• Oil strength persists on sanctions chatter and supply risk. [1]
How the Prior Session Closed• U.S. stocks faded: S&P 500 (SPX) −0.5%, Dow −0.7%, Nasdaq −0.9%. [7]
• Core bonds dipped: AGG −0.30% as duration lagged late day. [8]
• Tech and Industrials led declines; defensives steadied the tape. [9]
• Top SPX Winner: AVY (Avery Dennison) +10.0% (Industrials). [10]
• Bottom SPX Loser: IBM (International Business Machines) −6.6% (Information Technology). [11]
TSP StatsG-Fund Estimated Forward Returns • +0.0119% per session
• 5 Sessions: +0.060% • November: +0.23% • 3 Months: +0.76% • 1 Year: +3.06%
FCSI Past-5 Sessions
• F-Fund +0.29% • C-Fund +1.07% • S-Fund +1.63% • I-Fund +0.21%
Today's 1st Hour of Trading, What to Watch For• Leaders: does Energy hold gains while chips digest mixed guides. [2]
• Rates and DXY: firm dollar can cap early breadth. [5]
• Liquidity: opening gap resilience if oil stays bid on sanctions news. [1]
Upcoming Headlines (5-Day Window, ET)• 10/23 THU 13:00 — [Auction] 5-Year TIPS: inflation hedge demand test. [13]
• 10/27 MON 13:00 — [Auction] 5-Year Note: size and tails matter. [14]
• 10/28 TUE 13:00 — [Auction] 7-Year Note: duration appetite check. [14]
• 10/23 THU — [Earnings] Intel (INTC): PC and foundry color. [15]
Disclaimer: Any resemblance to actual outcomes is purely coincidental.• Powered by AI-Intela: Sometimes thinking hard, sometimes hardly thinking.
▶ Citation Block
[1] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “Morning Bid: Oil jumps and Tesla skids”
[2] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “Wall Street futures dip as investors assess earnings, trade risks”
[3] 2025-10-23: WSJ: “Stock Market Today: Oil Prices Jump on Russia Sanctions”
[4] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “Stocks rise on upbeat earnings; Russia sanctions boost oil”
[5] 2025-10-23: Investing.com: “US Dollar Index Historical Data (DXY)”
[6] 2025-10-22: Reuters: “Stocks ease as Netflix falls; gold extends Tuesday's fall”
[7] 2025-10-23: Yahoo/AP: “How major US stock indexes fared Wednesday, 10/22/2025”
[8] 2025-10-22: Yahoo Finance: “iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) — Historical Data”
[9] 2025-10-22: Investopedia: “Markets News, Oct. 22, 2025”
[10] 2025-10-22: Investopedia: “Avery Dennison stock jumps on Q3 profit”
[11] 2025-10-23: Reuters: “IBM slides after cloud software slowdown”
[12] 2025-10-22: TSPtalk: “TSP Share Prices — Thru 10/22/25”
[13] 2025-08-30: U.S. Treasury: “Tentative Auction Schedule PDF”
[14] 2025-10-23: TreasuryDirect: “Upcoming Auctions”
[15] 2025-10-23: Barron’s: “Intel reports earnings today”
