Poolman's Account Talk

January's housing numbers are devasting to say the least.

New Home Construction Numbers Hit Record Low

Construction of new homes and applications for future projects both plunged to record lows in January as all parts of the country showed big declines in building activity.

Analysts are hoping that a boost from government programs, including new efforts to stem foreclosures, will help stop the slide.
The Commerce Department reported Wednesday that construction of new homes and apartments dropped 16.8 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 466,000 units. That's well below the 530,000 units economists expected, and was the slowest pace on records dating back a half-century.
Applications for building permits, considered a good barometer of future activity, also dropped to a record low, falling 4.8 percent to a rate of 521,000 units, slightly below economists' expectations.
The continued weakness underscored the problems facing the housing industry, which is in the grips of the worst slump in the post-World War II period. Troubles in housing have pushed the country into a recession and also triggered the worst financial crisis in seven decades as banks struggle to cope with billions of dollars of losses in mortgages and other types of loans.
The new housing figures were released on the same day President Barack Obama is scheduled to announce his administration's plan to reduce home foreclosures.
More than 2 million American homeowners faced foreclosure proceedings last year, and that number could soar as high as 10 million in the coming years depending on the severity of the recession, according to a report last month by Credit Suisse.


The new report showed weak housing activity nationwide in January. Construction dropped 42.9 percent in the Northeast to a record low of 36,000 units at an annual rate. Building fell 29.3 percent in the Midwest to a record low of 53,000 units, while it dropped 12.8 percent in the South to a new record low of 246,000 units.
Construction activity fell 6.4 percent in the West to an annual rate of 131,000 units, the slowest pace since October 1966.
The National Association of Home Builders on Tuesday said its housing market index rose to nine this month, climbing one point off an all-time low as improved traffic by prospective buyers helped lift some builders' confidence in future sales. Still, readings lower than 50 indicate negative sentiment about the market.
For all of last year, the number of housing units builders broke ground on totaled 906,200, also a record low. That was down from 1.36 million housing units started in 2007. The previous low was set in 1991.
Tighter lending standards, rising defaults and fear about the housing market's future have sidelined buyers, an absence felt acutely by homebuilders.
 
Typically the argument ends up with them questioning your patriotism. They throw the "I'm an optimist" like it is the f bomb.

My year to date return is 38% for 2009, in less then 8 weeks that is beating the 13 year return of the S&P 500.

What is your investment strategy? We'un's on the MB always try to help each other out and it sounds like you got it nailed with a 38% return for 2009.

CB
 
Amazing - you're not on the Auto Tracker ....

why is that??.... so you can talk a lot of garbage??

Seems to me that someone getting 38% in 2009 would want to make himself known ... :notrust::suspicious:


Sorry Poolman .... some things grate me a little more than others

No apologies needed - unsubstantiated boasting of 38% return in 2009, with no back-it-up/sign-up to the tracker to verify it? Grated would put it mildly.

If you're on the tracker - let your trades do the talking; if you're not on the tracker, it walks - it is what it is.:sick:
 
I think he's talking about his personal trading account; shorting

3x inverse etfs, long miners. I posted that last month in 350Z's account.

Had to sell everything yesterday and go to cash. Start a deployment to the mighty sandbox today. In 20 minutes, I board my overseas leg of the flight. :sick:

Hollar at ya in a year or two. :)
 
3x inverse etfs, long miners. I posted that last month in 350Z's account.

Had to sell everything yesterday and go to cash. Start a deployment to the mighty sandbox today. In 20 minutes, I board my overseas leg of the flight. :sick:

Hollar at ya in a year or two. :)

Hey man thanks for the service. If you need anything while your over there get on here (MB) and let me know. I'm serious, I'll send it.

Take care
 
How about a stimulus for life?
By Cal Thomas

Thanks to former Lieutenant Governor of New York Betsy McCaughey and her recent essay on Bloomberg.com entitled "Ruin Your Health with the Obama Stimulus Plan," we know of another problem with the just-passed stimulus bill, one that may threaten the lives of many Americans.

McCaughey discovered buried in the bill a new bureaucracy called the National Coordinator of Health Information Technology. Among other things, it means that a Washington official will "monitor treatments to make sure your doctor is doing what the federal government deems appropriate and cost effective." Some of that occurs now, but this would take it to a whole new level.

The idea comes straight from former HHS nominee Tom Daschle's 2008 book "Critical: What We Can Do About the Health-Care Crisis" in which he says that doctors are going to have to give up their autonomy and "learn to operate less like solo practitioners." Inevitably, this means the government will decide who gets life-saving treatment and who doesn't. It is survival of the fittest in practice. Thank you, and belated happy birthday, Charles Darwin.

In 1979, six years after Roe v. Wade, philosopher and theologian Dr. Francis Schaeffer and the about-to-be surgeon general of the United States, Dr. C. Everett Koop, wrote a book, "Whatever Happened to the Human Race?" In chapter three, "Death by Someone's Choice," the authors write, "Will a society which has assumed the right to kill infants in the womb — because they are unwanted, imperfect, or merely inconvenient — have difficulty in assuming the right to kill other human beings, especially older adults who are judged unwanted, deemed imperfect physically or mentally, or considered a possible social nuisance?"

No one should be surprised at the coming embrace of euthanasia. After the Supreme Court deprived the unborn of their right to live by declaring them nonpersons, it was only a matter of time before other categories of human life deemed to be inconvenient or unwanted would also face extermination in order to benefit the government, the healthy and the wealthy, who prefer not to be disturbed in their pursuit of pleasure, personal peace and affluence.

Schaeffer and Koop predicted "the next candidates for arbitrary reclassification as nonpersons are the elderly." That 30-year-old prophecy, deemed hyperbole and alarmist by many at the time, now seems to be coming true. In 1993, Hillary Clinton, as chair of the Task Force on National Health Care Reform, pushed the bureaucratic-heavy Clinton Health Care Plan, quickly labeled "HillaryCare," which was long on government oversight, short on patient choice. A Democratic Congress defeated it a year later. Now we have the National Coordinator of Health Information Technology and a Democratic Congress and President Barack Obama appear ready to resume their assault on all but the fit and those who do not burden government with their need for treatment. "Medicare now pays for treatments deemed safe and effective," writes McCaughey. "The stimulus bill would change that and apply a cost-effectiveness standard set by the Federal Council."

I called Koop, who is now 92. He reminded me that in 1988 he had an ailment that left him a quadriplegic. Surgery restored his limbs, but "if I'd lived in England, I would have been nine years too old to have the surgery that saved my life and gave me another 21 years." Koop fears the United States is about to embrace English socialized medicine with government authorities deciding who lives and who dies. He says the idea of government second-guessing doctors sickens him.

Great inhumanities are usually ushered in at the extremes in order to make the public more accepting. Abortion on demand followed the 1973 Roe v. Wade case where Norma McCorvey, Jane Roe, "alleged" she had been raped, resulting in pregnancy. Technology allows people to abort a "defective" baby in the womb, "selectively reduce" implanted embryos to the desired number, or even abort a female when a male is wanted.

Euthanasia will not originate with your beloved grandmother or parents. It will start in a public hospital with a 100-year-old woman who has multiple health problems and "wants" to die so as not to "burden" anyone. Public opinion polls will determine that a majority favor letting — even helping — the old girl die.

Yes, there are times when a patient and his family may decide to forego treatment and allow death to occur, but that decision should not be made by a government official. Once that door is opened (as it was with abortion) there will be no closing it and dying will become a patriotic duty when the patient's balance sheet shows a deficit.

They'll probably have a clergyman available to bless the government's decision and make everyone feel better about it.

Wow.bmp


untitled.bmp
 
Poolman--thanks for posting the article by Cal Thomas. It's a warning that needs to be heard and it's right on the mark. Francis Schaeffer and C.E. Koop are heroes of mine. May God have mercy on us (but I don't know why He would).
Blessings,
Jeff
 
02-10-2009, 06:59 AM
CountryBoy
Club TSP Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 1,356


Re: CountryBoys's Account Talk

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ruin Your Health With the Obama Stimulus Plan: Betsy McCaughey

Just shoot me horse.


http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...=aLzfDxfbwhzs#
__________________
"The American people will never knowingly adopt socialism. But, under the name of 'liberalism,' they will adopt every fragment ... - Norman Thomas

Poolman,

I don't know how to link to another post. :o But the point is more important than the linkage. This point can't be stressed enough and it's good to see Cal Thomas picking up on it also. Thanks for posting Cal's comments. :D He definately points out the danger of the Gov't making the choice and the slope will just get more slippery.

CB
 
IMO, I see no reason to play this market until things start to at least

stabilize. Vix is not showing any fear either.
 
IMO, I see no reason to play this market until things start to at least

stabilize. Vix is not showing any fear either.


That is why I haven't committed the rest of my $ yet. Haven't hit my stop loss yet, so maybe will ride for a little while longer. Hate to pull the plug too soon.

Off topic. Rick Santelli is riled up today about the silent majority not wanting to pay for everyone else's mortgages. He is right. In this case doing (this) something is worse than doing nothing. Common sense has totally gone out the window. If someone comes to me hungry, I will feed them. If someone needs a bed to rest, they are welcome. But if I am going to support them, then allow me to use them as deductions on my income tax......:blink:
 
That is why I haven't committed the rest of my $ yet. Haven't hit my stop loss yet, so maybe will ride for a little while longer. Hate to pull the plug too soon.

Off topic. Rick Santelli is riled up today about the silent majority not wanting to pay for everyone else's mortgages. He is right. In this case doing (this) something is worse than doing nothing. Common sense has totally gone out the window. If someone comes to me hungry, I will feed them. If someone needs a bed to rest, they are welcome. But if I am going to support them, then allow me to use them as deductions on my income tax......:blink:

:laugh: deductions, ain't that the truth, I so sick of supporting the lazy and unproductive and now people that can pay their mortgages are just walking away from them, cause BHO will pay it for them with our money.

CB
 
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