OIL

  • Thread starter Thread starter Guest
  • Start date Start date
imported post

It was from the NY Times, but I didn't include the by-line.

Sometimes I edit things I feel aren't pertenent. The reason why I included the part about some taking offense about Robertson's comments is because, as the blurb continues, "some were too busy to comment". In essence, given tacit approval. So one reaction balanced the other.

I thot that "too busy to comment" part was funny tho.
 
imported post

Quips wrote:
From the NY Times Aug 23.

Some of Mr. Robertson's conservative Christian allies distanced themselves from his comments. Rev. Rob Schenck, president of the National Clergy Council in Washington, released a statement calling on Mr. Robertson to "immediately apologize, retract his statement and clarify what the Bible and Christianity teaches about the permissibility of taking human life outside of law."
This guy also denounced Billy Graham.

http://www.michnews.com/cgi-bin/artman/exec/view.cgi/171/8580

Did Jayson Blaire write this at the NY Times?
 
imported post

[font="Palatino, Georgia, Times New Roman, Times, serif"][/font]
 
imported post

Dealing With Katrina's Toll Hurricane Spawns Speculation About Outlook for Energy, Rates September1,20057:02p.m. WSJ

Don't Expect a Rate Pause
Scott Patterson
.............................................................................

The federal-funds rate, the Fed's target short-term interest rate on overnight loans between banks, now stands at 3.5%. Futures on Wall Street indicate investors expect a rate of less than 4% by the end of the year, meaning they expect central bankers to pass on lifting rates at one of the Federal Open Market Committee's three remaining meetings for the year. A Thursday lunch between President Bush and Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan raised heads, even though the topic of the meeting wasn't disclosed.

Expectations for a pause are understandable. The impact on consumer spending from higher gasoline and home-heating expenses will rattle the economy on some level, economists say. Standard & Poor's cut its forecast for third-quarter growth by 0.5 percentage point to 3.5% due to fallout from Katrina.

Rate relief, though, might not be the best medicine. For starters, Washington's central bankers have a laser-like focus on inflation, and prices have surged following Katrina -- the Reuters-CRB Total Return Index, a benchmark for commodities, has risen more than 5% since last Friday, mostly because of a 30% surge in gasoline and an 18% jump in heating oil. But other commodities have risen, too: coffee is up 6% and sugar is up 4%. A pause in rate increases will only stoke inflation and potentially drive oil and gasoline prices even higher, says Bianco Research strategist Howard Simons, who thinks the Fed should pause anyway. S&P doesn't expect the Fed to continue pause before reaching a fed-funds rate of 4.25% in early 2006, said Beth Ann Bovino, a senior economist at S&P.

Jobs growth is another factor. There is a good chance employment will increase in the long term -- fanning inflation -- as a result of a massive rebuilding effort in the stricken Gulf Coast region, says Dick Green, president of Briefing.com.

One corner of the financial universe, says James Paulsen, chief investment strategist at Wells Capital Management, may give the Fed room to keep raising rates: the bond market. Treasurys have rallied this week as investors fled to safer investments, sending yields lower and pushing down rates on consumer instruments such as credit cards and mortgages, which are linked to yields. "The bond market could be doing [the Fed's] job for them," Mr. Paulsen says.

Lower yields could give the housing market a second (or third or fourth) wind, encouraging home buyers to jump into the market and refinance existing mortgages to generate some spending cash, says Barry Ritholtz, chief market strategist at Maxim Group. "We could see a whole new wave of refinancing, and that's really been the key driver to the economy," he said. Meanwhile, home building eventually will jump in the South when the massive reconstruction gets under way. If consumer spending and the housing market remain robust, there will be little reason for the Fed to take a breather.

The Crude Reality

David Gaffen: Wall Street's fixation on crude-oil prices has only intensified in the wake of Hurricane Katrina. Nymex futures stabilized after crossing $70 a barrel when Bush administration said Wednesday it was prepared to release crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. But adding to crude-oil inventories won't alleviate the country's energy crunch.

Companies need to refine crude to turn it into gasoline, heating oil, jet fuel and other petroleum products, and more than 10% of U.S. refining capacity is situated in the Gulf of Mexico. Refineries elsewhere in the U.S. already are operating at full tilt. Some refineries have brought operations back online in the Gulf, while others reported only minimal damage. But if there is extensive pipeline damage in the Gulf, then those companies can't deliver refined products. Additional crude just becomes "kind of an unusable toxic product," says Tom Kloza, chief oil analyst at the Oil Price Information Service.

The hit to refinery operations in the region could actually lessen short-term demand for crude, depressing futures prices, while rapidly lifting prices for refined products. This week, gasoline futures on Nymex are up 30% and heating oil is up 17%; crude rose only 5%. "With a more substantial problem here, products are going to [trade] at a premium to crude," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Alaron Trading.

Before Katrina, U.S. gasoline inventories were already at low levels -- about 20.5 days of supply, down 12% from a year earlier -- and they are expected to show a greater decline when the U.S. Energy Information Administration releases its weekly inventory report Wednesday. Already, there have been reports of filling stations in Georgia and Arkansas running out of fuel. During the energy crisis in 1979, consumers rushed to top off their tanks, spawning long lines at the pump and supply outages at gas stations. "It was putting that extra $5 on average in the car and keeping it there for several weeks that really created the shortage and pushed the prices up," says James L. Williams, energy economist at WTRG Economics in London, Ark. Former presidents Clinton and Bush on Thursday urged Americans to drive only when necessary, and analysts debated whether the U.S. should create a strategic gasoline reserve.

The recent shock of higher gasoline prices could prod refiners to ramp up gasoline output at the expense of other petroleum products, potentially denting heating-oil inventories just when the industry normally would prepare to shift production ahead of the winter heating season. Right now, heating-oil inventories are at about 135 million barrels, above the average range, according to the EIA. But the U.S. "could end up with a lot more gasoline and too little heating oil," Mr. Williams said. Even though heating oil represents a small amount of the energy needs for U.S. consumers to warm their homes only -- 7.5% of U.S. consumers use heating oil -- the weekly reports will be closely watched by Wall Street. "We built up supplies of heating oil at the expense of gasoline [in the spring], and now, here we go around again," Mr. Flynn said.

Refinery problems, meanwhile, could end up lifting prices in unforeseen markets. Crude is refined into petroleum-based chemicals such as rubber or polypropylene, which go into all sorts of consumer products like food packaging, homes and cars. On the London Metals Exchange, the September polypropylene contract settled up $50 to $1,230 a metric ton Wednesday.

It is still unclear how long it will take before lost supply is replaced and refining facilities recover, the EIA said Wednesday. Mark Routt, senior consultant at Energy Security Analysis Inc., says crude may have hit its peak already. If higher prices end up sapping demand, the same could happen for other products, too, he says. The front-month gasoline contract closed at $2.409 Thursday on the Nymex; the December contract was at $2.02. "The market seems to think by December, things will start to get back to normal," Mr. Flynn said.


Highlight and copy to Word for larger font.
 
imported post

Venezuela's Chavez Squeezes Oil Companies With Taxes, Raids
Aug. 24 (Bloomberg) -- On July 14 in the western city of Maracaibo, Venezuelan government tax auditors and a prosecutor went to the offices of Chevron Corp., the second-largest U.S. oil company.

They seized boxes of records to build a case that San Ramon, California-based Chevron and 21 other energy companies owe Venezuela $3 billion in back taxes. The raid is part of President Hugo Chavez's push to squeeze more money out of foreign companies that want to pump oil from the world's fifth-largest petroleum exporter.

Since October 2004, he has raised heavy-oil royalty fees to as high as 30 percent from 1 percent, begun paying for some services in nonconvertible bolivares instead of U.S. dollars, and ordered oil well contracts converted into government-controlled joint ventures.

Chavez, 51, wants to use the revenue to pay for homes, clinics and schools for the 58 percent of Venezuelan families who live on less than $200 a month.

Since taking office in February 1999, Chavez has embarked on a socialist revolution: seizing ranches to hand over to the poor and starting a TV news network with promotional ads featuring a swastika painted on a U.S. flag.

Chavez says he's using oil money to bankroll a quest to become Latin America's leader against U.S.-style capitalism, and in a May 4 speech, he said ``Being rich is bad'' and ``Jesus Christ was a socialist.''

Friend of Castro

Chavez, a close friend of Fidel Castro, sends crude to Cuba in exchange for doctors to staff 3,000 neighborhood clinics. In June, he pledged subsidized oil for poor Caribbean nations such as Grenada.

Chevron and its competitors haven't been scared off by the new rules or Chavez's fiery rhetoric because the country has the largest reserves in the Western Hemisphere.

The oil companies want to invest $30 billion in Venezuela, which is the fourth-largest supplier of crude to the U.S., according to the Venezuelan Hydrocarbons Association.

Venezuela is also attractive because Chavez is more open to foreign investment than other countries with untapped oil supplies such as Mexico and Saudi Arabia.

In an interview, Chavez said all companies are welcome in his country. ``Foreign companies have been here for the last century exploiting oil and gas, and they'll have all the space they've been able to have so far,'' he says. ``It's just that they will have to pay the royalties, they will have to pay the income tax. If they don't, we will go after them.''

The Prize

True to Chavez's word, Venezuela's tax agency stated on Aug. 11 that it's seeking to attach more than 280 billion bolivares ($131 million) in assets from The Hague-based Royal Dutch Shell Plc in a dispute over what the country says is unpaid back taxes. Shell Spokeswoman Bettina Steinhold declined to comment.

The prize in Venezuela is the tropical flatlands north of the Orinoco River, beneath which, according to Chavez, lie 230 billion barrels of heavy crude, one of the largest oil deposits in the world.

Chevron and Repsol YPF SA, Spain's biggest oil company, plan to seek approval for a $6 billion expansion in the Orinoco Belt, as the area is known. Shell, Europe's second-biggest oil company, proposes a $5 billion expansion there.

``The oil industry is a long-term industry, and you can't have an attitude of `in and out,''' says Ali Moshiri, 52, Chevron's Latin America exploration and development chief. ``We have to go where the oil is.''

Boosting Production

Chavez, who has used his clout as leader of the third- largest member of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to curb Venezuela's output by 20 percent since taking office, now says he wants to boost production.

Most of the decline came from the state-owned producer, Petroleos de Venezuela SA, where Chavez fired half the workforce to break a 2002-2003 strike aimed at his ouster. Daily output at PDVSA has tumbled to about 2 million barrels from 2.92 million barrels in 1998.

Chevron's oil production is part of a joint venture with PDVSA.

Foreign oil companies took up the slack, doubling their production to about 1.12 million barrels a day as of last year. Now, Chavez says he wants to attract $10 billion more from foreign oil companies to help boost Venezuela's total oil production to 5 million barrels a day by 2009.

``This government is your ally,'' Chavez told foreign oil executives in March. ``We are not chasing anyone away from Venezuela.''

`Mr. Danger'

At the same time, Chavez claimed that the Bush administration was trying to force him to commit suicide and threatened to cut off exports to the U.S. if he were to meet an untimely death.

Chavez, who refers to President George W. Bush as ``Mr. Danger,'' said in a June 5 speech that the U.S. is trying to install a global dictatorship. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, in January, described Chavez as a ``negative force'' in the region.

Yesterday, television evangelist Pat Robertson told viewers of ``The 700 Club'' program that the U.S. should assassinate Chavez to stop him from becoming a ``launching pad for communists.''

Venezuelan Vice President Jose Vicente Rangel responded by saying Robertson's remarks were ``criminal.'' U.S. State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said at a press briefing that Robertson's views ``do not represent the policy of the United States.''

`Unilateral Changes'

Chavez, a former army lieutenant colonel who was jailed for trying to overthrow the government in 1992, risks pushing too hard on the foreign oil companies, says Jason Todd, a Chicago- based analyst at credit ratings company Fitch Ratings.

``We have seen a lot of unilateral changes made by the government, and those things raise concerns,'' Todd says of Chavez's oil policy. ``That can lead to lack of investment.''

All Chavez has to do is look to Russia, the world's second- largest oil exporter, to see the risks of demanding too much from foreign investors, Todd says.

Production in Russia in 2005 is expected to rise at the slowest pace in six years, after President Vladimir Putin raised taxes on oil sales as high as 90 percent.

Though Chavez says he wants more foreign oil money, his policies have harmed some of the companies that could supply it. In October 2004, the government raised royalties on four heavy- oil production projects along the Orinoco Belt to 16.67 percent from 1 percent and slapped a 30 percent royalty on excess output.

`Sanctity of Contracts'

Six months later, the government raised taxes on companies that run 32 oil fields for PDVSA to 50 percent from 34 percent. Minister of Energy and Oil Rafael Ramirez, 42, gave those 22 companies until year-end to convert the oilfield contracts into joint ventures that are 51 percent owned by PDVSA.

Exxon Mobil Corp., the world's largest publicly traded oil company, faces higher royalties on its Cerro Negro heavy-oil field in the Orinoco Belt, which produces 120,000 barrels of crude per day.

Henry Hubble, vice president of investor relations at Irving, Texas-based Exxon Mobil, said on a July 28 investor conference call that the company is negotiating with Venezuelan officials to keep the royalty terms of its written agreements. ``We insist on the sanctity of contracts,'' he says.

Chavez's government hasn't approved any major expansion by foreign oil companies: Some 80 percent of the $26 billion of private oil investment in Venezuela was made before Chavez took office.

Dwindling Reserves

Houston-based ConocoPhillips, the largest U.S. oil refiner, needs to replace dwindling reserves, lock in future profit and assure supplies.

Unless new reserves are tapped in countries like Venezuela in the next 15 years, global oil output won't keep pace with demand, according to a report by New York-based securities firm Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.

The report forecasts that demand for oil will grow 1.8 percent a year through 2020 to 102.7 million barrels a day. Global oil production capacity will be 102.1 million barrels a day, the July 15 report says.

Concern about future supply has helped push crude oil prices up more than fivefold to a record $67.10 a barrel on Aug. 12 from $12.28 on Feb. 2, 1999, when Chavez was sworn in as president.

Chavez's Venezuela is one of the few major oil producers that allow foreign investment; Saudi Arabia allows only its state oil company to pump crude.

Murky Waters

And Venezuela has been more open than other countries in Latin America such as Mexico, which bars foreign companies from exploiting the second-biggest oil reserves in Latin America.

Chavez says he wants to expand even further by converting 32 agreements to run wells into ventures, which would be 49 percent owned by private oil companies. ``That's the uniqueness of Venezuela,'' Chevron's Moshiri says. ``It opened up, and we hope it will continue to do that.''

Oil companies such as Shell have acquiesced to Chavez's demands. In December, Shell started renegotiating its oilfield agreement near the murky waters of Lake Maracaibo, where 10,000 wells tap into 40 percent of Venezuela's proven crude oil reserves.

On July 14, the government ordered Shell, whose 90 years of working in Venezuela includes having its wells nationalized in 1975, to pay $131 million of back taxes. Shell says it has paid all of its taxes.

`I Can't Imagine'

Sean Rooney, Shell's president in Venezuela, says the country is still a good place for the company. ``I can't imagine a scenario where we would ever leave, where it would ever be so discouraging,'' says Rooney, 45.

``The resource is too significant, and the potential is too great,'' he says.

Norway's state-run Statoil ASA, Paris-based Total SA and Chevron have been the hardest hit by Chavez's new rules because they manage wells for PDVSA and are shareholders in the four heavy-crude production ventures in the Orinoco belt.

Statoil, Total and ConocoPhillips may have to pay $320 million of back taxes for their heavy-oil ventures in the Orinoco belt, according to Oil Minister Ramirez.

Chavez is also considering a reduction in Venezuela's dependence on oil sales to the U.S., which accounts for about 60 percent of the nation's crude exports. Chavez signed agreements to boost oil sales to Argentina, Brazil, China, India, Paraguay and Uruguay.

Ease U.S. Sales

He also proposed building a pipeline to Pacific Ocean ports in Colombia to ship more crude to China. The U.S. imports 15 percent of its crude oil from Venezuela, which is just a four- to five-day tanker trip from Texas refineries.

Chavez has also said he'd like to ease sales to the U.S. market by selling some assets of Citgo Petroleum Corp., the Houston-based refinery and gas station chain that PDVSA owns. Citgo has four oil refineries, two asphalt plants and 13,500 gas stations in the U.S.

Chavez's tough stance is part of Venezuela's tradition of trying to ensure it receives a fair price for crude. When U.S. President Dwight Eisenhower created import quotas for crude oil in 1959, then Oil Minister Perez Alfonso flew to Washington to lobby against the quotas.

Eisenhower and other administration officials refused to see him. Alfonso then flew to Cairo for the Arab Oil Congress, where he met with officials from Iran, Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Those talks led to the founding of OPEC in 1960.

State Oil Monopoly

In 1975, Venezuelan President Carlos Andres Perez nationalized the oil industry, paying companies such as Shell for oil wells, refineries, terminals and gas stations. PDVSA, formed as the state oil monopoly after nationalization, began welcoming back private oil companies in 1992.

Now, PDVSA pays private companies that run 32 of its oil fields a fee for each barrel they pump above the levels of production from when the agreements began.

Chavez targeted PDVSA soon after taking office, accusing the company of recklessly boosting production so much it depressed oil prices. Chavez persuaded OPEC to adjust production to keep crude prices within a range of $22 to $28 a barrel at the time.

In January 1998, Venezuela was pumping about 3.4 million barrels a day, or 800,000 barrels more than its OPEC quota. By October 2000, seven months after OPEC adopted the price range, Venezuela was producing within its quota.

18 Cents a Gallon

In July, Venezuela pumped about 2.7 million barrels of crude a day, 523,000 barrels fewer than its OPEC quota, according to a Bloomberg survey of producers, oil companies and analysts.

Oil is a pervasive part of life in Venezuela, where gas stations don't even post the price because it is fixed at 18 cents per gallon. Revenue from crude exports funds half the government's budget, and oil prices have driven Venezuela's economy since the 1920s.

In the 1970s, as prices soared during the Arab oil embargo, the government overhauled Caracas with new elevated highways and public housing blocks. State airline Viasa chartered 747 jetliners to carry luggage back as Venezuelans increased their shopping trips to Miami.

Last year, as crude prices soared again, Venezuela's economy grew a record 17 percent, increasing consumer spending so that there were three-month waiting lists for new cars.

Chavez, born to schoolteacher parents in rural Berinas state, found his political calling after going to the country's Military Academy when he was 17 and seeking a career in baseball. Chavez rose through the ranks and in 1992 helped lead 15,000 soldiers in an attempted coup.

Two Years in Jail

Chavez was jailed for two years, and won a national following among Venezuelans fed up with government corruption with a televised speech justifying the coup attempt.

In 1998, Chavez won a landslide election victory by pledging a revolution that would use oil revenue to spread equality. Since taking office, Chavez has taken advantage of surging oil prices by boosting spending on programs for the poor to a projected $13 billion this year -- or almost half the national budget.

The programs have helped him survive an attempted coup and recall referendum.

PDVSA dispenses $4 billion a year for everything from cooperatives that make the red T-shirts Chavez supporters wear to monthly stipends for 700,000 people enrolled in adult education courses.

On some days, PDVSA's 13-floor concrete headquarters in Caracas draws scores of people seeking funds for social programs, known as missions.
 
imported post

From the NY Times Aug 23.

Televison evagelist and founder of the 700 Club PatRobertson has set off an international firestorm with his comments on his television broadcast that the United States should kill Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez, a leftist who sits atop the largest oil reserves outside the Middle East.

"If he thinks we're trying to assassinate him, I think that we really ought to go ahead and do it Mr. Robertson said on his program, "The 700 Club" on Monday. "It's a whole lot cheaper than starting a war. And I don't think any oil shipments will stop."

[It's a whole lot cheaper than starting a war ... okay, I'll buy that ... and a lot less bloody.]


Some of Mr. Robertson's conservative Christian allies distanced themselves from his comments. Rev. Rob Schenck, president of the National Clergy Council in Washington, released a statement calling on Mr. Robertson to "immediately apologize, retract his statement and clarify what the Bible and Christianity teaches about the permissibility of taking human life outside of law."

The Rev. Richard Cizik of the National Association of Evangelicals said in an interview that he and "most evangelical leaders" would disassociate themselves from such "unfortunate and particularly irresponsible" comments.

But other conservative Christian organizations remained silent, with leaders at the Traditional Values Coalition, the Family Research Council and the Christian Coalition saying through spokesmen that they were too busy to comment.
 
imported post

I had a new fuel gauge installed in my CAR. It just made more sense!

Spaf
 
imported post

smine wrote:
Ewwweee, Milk! Wherecha' get the cute little lamb? WW give it to you? It's sure is a cutie.:^
Uhh, no she didn't. I did itwit my own twolittlehands............:^ You can pet him if your nice......................;)
 
imported post

Ewwweee, Milk! Wherecha' get the cute little lamb? WW give it to you? It's sure is a cutie.:^
 
imported post

Birchtree wrote:
All the anti-progress people(liberals) will soon be riding their bicycles to work - finally doing their part to help the energy problem besides yapping. Me, I'm trying to figure out where I can invest in the coming dawn of nuclear power - cement maybe.
violin_notes_fly_out_sm_clr.gif
D_02BA12.gif
 
imported post

What do the French do with theirs - give it to Iran?I think France may be close to 80% nuclear power - with no problems to date. We are 30 years behind the curve on nuclear power. Most university engineering programs have downsized and will need to start growing again or the jobs will go to imported North Koreans.
 
imported post

I was pondering last night, what would happen if you took the spent fuel and dumped it into a volcano????

What does a melt down of spent nuclear material do to it.....decompose, irradiate....just what does happen to the material while it melts down.....??

Anybody know....lets call this "The TechniciansQuestion"...

Waiting for answers.....

:dude:
 
imported post

I would say perhaps 60% of the outlanders in the state of Vermont own wood stoves that they purchased in the 1970s. They will have no problem staying warm this winter at a reasonable cost. Soon it will become cost effective to return to waste to energy plants. GE is in the process of purchasing their second pipeline that can eventually transport coal slurry. All the anti-progress people(liberals) will soon be riding their bicycles to work - finally doing their part to help the energy problem besides yapping. Me, I'm trying to figure out where I can invest in the coming dawn of nuclear power - cement maybe.
 
imported post

I think its important to keep clear in you minds :Dthat energy costs are like any other cost in manufacturing and transporting product to market.....it has to be low to make the product cost effective so that it can be sold at an affordable price......anytime a cost gets outtahand, say like labor,energy...etc, that cost has to be dealt with or else the manufacturer goes out of business..:^....in this case with energy being the higher cost factor, a recession will happen because of the delay in reducing the cost of energy.....and the manufacturer may still go out of business if something isn't done about the higher energy cost right away......:shock:

Of course if you are depending on only one source for your product then you have to pay the high costs.....therefore monopolies are not favorable.....

:dude:
 
imported post

I've learned to respect these parabolic moves. I expected oil to pullback and stay close to the $35 areaback when it started to go over $40. Go figure.

It's like the Nasdaq of 1999. Bubble, overbought, extended, you name it, was written all over that index. When it went from 2500 to 3000 bymid-1999 I was getting pretty defensive on stocks. Of course by early 2000 it hit 5000!! Crazy. Sometimes you just have to let these things run even if it goes against conventional wisdom. But when it starts to fall, look out.

I still think we'll see $35 or $40 oil again some day. But that doesn't mean it can't hit 70, 80, 90 first. I sure hope not. It's easierto do rearview mirror analysis but remember the Naz came back to1100 by 2002. What goes up ...
 
Back
Top