October AutoTracker Trends

[TommyIV]

We made it through the weekend with the government shutdown and stock prices are taking off without issue. The rally has opened the door for a herd of underinvested AutoTracker members to chase. Among the nine non-premium members who submitted IFTs today, the average G-fund allocation fell by 71 percentage points, with all of that capital flowing into stock funds.

Get details on the latest Last Look Report.

 

[TommyIV]

Through October, 66 non-premium AutoTracker members have made at least one IFT. Collectively, they’ve increased their stock exposure despite the market’s volatility this month.

So which stock fund drew the most attention?

It’s getting harder for TSP investors to ignore the I-fund. It has maintained the best year-to-date return among the TSP funds for most of 2025, outperformed in last week’s rebound, and enters today as the only TSP stock fund with a positive return for October.



It’s no surprise, then, that the I-fund was the overwhelming choice for these 66 AutoTracker members’ latest moves. On average, they increased I-fund exposure by 20.1 percentage points, while raising their C and S-fund allocations by less than 10 points each.

As a result, the I-fund is now the most-held fund among this group.


Average Allocation of the 66 Members Who Made an IFT in October:
G: 22.5% | F: 0.0% | C: 23.1% | S: 25.1% | I: 28.3%


Stay up to date with the allocation trends of the best investors in the TSP Talk community with your Last Look Report—the only place to see how the top performers are positioning their TSPs before the daily IFT deadline.

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[TommyIV]

How AutoTracker Members Reacted to October’s Volatility​

As we head into November, let’s look back at how AutoTracker members navigated October — one of the most volatile months of 2025.

The sell-off in the C and S-fund on October 10th served as an early warning. Many members shifted toward the I-fund the following week, only for the C-fund to rebound and ultimately outperform.



Those sharp market swings made October one of the most active trading months of the year:

• 201 members made at least one Interfund Transfer (IFT).
• 94 members made two moves — including all of the current Top 5 investors of 2025.
• 11 members made a third move, retreating to the G-fund as volatility peaked near month’s end.

Here’s how these 201 active members adjusted their overall exposure:

Average Allocation on 9/30/25
G: 45.9% | F: 4.2% | C: 14.3% | S: 25.2% | I: 10.2%


Average Allocation on 10/31/25
G: 26.3% | F: 0.3% | C: 23.4% | S: 28.8% | I: 21.2%


Despite the volatility, TSP Talk investors increased their overall stock exposure, with the I-fund seeing the largest inflow. By end of the month, allocations were nearly balanced between the G-fund and the three stock funds — with a slight tilt toward the S-fund, even though it lagged in performance throughout October.

Catch the November trends as they happen with the Last Look Report.