Maverick06's Account Talk

[maverick06]

Following rule #2 I am starting this. After 10 years of contributing the max to the TSP and letting it sit in C/S/I I have done ok, but missed a LOT of opportunities. I signed up here and figured its time to more actively control my TSP. Right now shifted to 100% C.... we will see how it goes from here.

 

[nasa1974]

maverick, Welcome aboard. There is a wealth of knowledge around here. Absorbing all the information can be a bit overwhelming. Great place to have fun and learn. In that order. Good luck.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Welcome Maverick.

Learn, learn, learn... well, I have been here a year and don't know much compared to the old farts around here

Good Luck !!

 

[nasa1974]

Welcome Maverick.

Learn, learn, learn... well, I have been here a year and don't know much compared to the old farts around here

Good Luck !!

HHHEEYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

HHHEEYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY!!!

If the shoe fits...

 

[maverick06]

moved from s to F today. was going to yesterday, but didnt get on the computer until 1205... Should have moved out a week or two ago. oh well. At least I am managing the TSP now!

You old farts moved faster than i did to get out... so kudos to you!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

GREAT Avatar... been there done that and THAT is a wild ride

 

[maverick06]

Thanks, its one i have had for quite a while now (on various forums).

The career is definitely keeping me interested and challanged in a good way!

 

[maverick06]

Figured it was time to update this. I have been spending huge amounts of time on this forum since 3/12, probably about twice a day, more recently. Regardless, still not very good at it all, but working on it. Based on recent chatter on the forums I figured I would at least post a few disclaimers for my account:
1) 2012 was partial in autotracker, so I wasnt quite that bad
2) what i post to auto tracker is what i am doing to my TSP, its the real high stakes game.
3) if you follow what I do you are pretty foolish, I am not that good.
4) I really think i should follow birchtree. see who is #2 on autotracker?? not him, but the s fund...

I will probably make a move today. I have kid #2 due any minute now, actually yesterday was my wife's due date, but would like to adjust my position before that, not sure how much internet access I will have for the next few days.... maybe i should stay where i am now, about half in half out. S and C have been holding above the 30day SMA, so that keeps me happy, if they fall below I usually get out, they are doing good.

we will see what happens today.

 

[nnuut]

Congratulations on the new Baby, the more the merrier!! The TSP is important but not as important as that little BOY!!

 

[Handballer]

nnuut's right. And I am with you on #2.

 

[maverick06]

of interest, I was reading the TSP Talk blog and saw:
<<<
Administrative Note: RevShark is offering a free trial to his TSP Timing Service this week . Click here for some basic info on RevShark's service... or click here for information on how to gain access.
>>>

I don't subscribe to any of the services. But free is free and I will check it out. figured others might want to know if you missed it in the blogs.

 

[maverick06]

What will the furlough cost you?

This is my (Philadelphia) GS pay scale, showing how much money you will not get paid. (I took the hourly pay chart, miltiplied dollars x 8 hrs x 22 days, for the total sum lost.)

[TABLE="width: 760"]
[TR]
[TD]Grade
[/TD]
[TD]Step 1
[/TD]
[TD]Step 2
[/TD]
[TD]Step 3
[/TD]
[TD]Step 4
[/TD]
[TD]Step 5
[/TD]
[TD]Step 6
[/TD]
[TD]Step 7
[/TD]
[TD]Step 8
[/TD]
[TD]Step 9
[/TD]
[TD]Step 10
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1
[/TD]
[TD]1828.64
[/TD]
[TD]1890.24
[/TD]
[TD]1950.08
[/TD]
[TD]2011.68
[/TD]
[TD]2071.52
[/TD]
[TD]2106.72
[/TD]
[TD]2168.32
[/TD]
[TD]2228.16
[/TD]
[TD]2229.92
[/TD]
[TD]2288
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2
[/TD]
[TD]2055.68
[/TD]
[TD]2104.96
[/TD]
[TD]2173.6
[/TD]
[TD]2229.92
[/TD]
[TD]2256.32
[/TD]
[TD]2321.44
[/TD]
[TD]2388.32
[/TD]
[TD]2455.2
[/TD]
[TD]2520.32
[/TD]
[TD]2587.2
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3
[/TD]
[TD]2244
[/TD]
[TD]2317.92
[/TD]
[TD]2391.84
[/TD]
[TD]2467.52
[/TD]
[TD]2541.44
[/TD]
[TD]2617.12
[/TD]
[TD]2691.04
[/TD]
[TD]2766.72
[/TD]
[TD]2840.64
[/TD]
[TD]2916.32
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4
[/TD]
[TD]2518.56
[/TD]
[TD]2601.28
[/TD]
[TD]2685.76
[/TD]
[TD]2770.24
[/TD]
[TD]2854.72
[/TD]
[TD]2937.44
[/TD]
[TD]3021.92
[/TD]
[TD]3106.4
[/TD]
[TD]3189.12
[/TD]
[TD]3273.6
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5
[/TD]
[TD]2817.76
[/TD]
[TD]2911.04
[/TD]
[TD]3004.32
[/TD]
[TD]3099.36
[/TD]
[TD]3192.64
[/TD]
[TD]3285.92
[/TD]
[TD]3380.96
[/TD]
[TD]3474.24
[/TD]
[TD]3567.52
[/TD]
[TD]3662.56
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6
[/TD]
[TD]3139.84
[/TD]
[TD]3245.44
[/TD]
[TD]3349.28
[/TD]
[TD]3454.88
[/TD]
[TD]3558.72
[/TD]
[TD]3664.32
[/TD]
[TD]3768.16
[/TD]
[TD]3873.76
[/TD]
[TD]3977.6
[/TD]
[TD]4083.2
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7
[/TD]
[TD]3490.08
[/TD]
[TD]3606.24
[/TD]
[TD]3722.4
[/TD]
[TD]3838.56
[/TD]
[TD]3954.72
[/TD]
[TD]4070.88
[/TD]
[TD]4188.8
[/TD]
[TD]4304.96
[/TD]
[TD]4421.12
[/TD]
[TD]4537.28
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8
[/TD]
[TD]3864.96
[/TD]
[TD]3993.44
[/TD]
[TD]4121.92
[/TD]
[TD]4252.16
[/TD]
[TD]4380.64
[/TD]
[TD]4509.12
[/TD]
[TD]4637.6
[/TD]
[TD]4766.08
[/TD]
[TD]4894.56
[/TD]
[TD]5024.8
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9
[/TD]
[TD]4268
[/TD]
[TD]4410.56
[/TD]
[TD]4553.12
[/TD]
[TD]4695.68
[/TD]
[TD]4838.24
[/TD]
[TD]4980.8
[/TD]
[TD]5121.6
[/TD]
[TD]5264.16
[/TD]
[TD]5406.72
[/TD]
[TD]5549.28
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10
[/TD]
[TD]4700.96
[/TD]
[TD]4857.6
[/TD]
[TD]5014.24
[/TD]
[TD]5170.88
[/TD]
[TD]5327.52
[/TD]
[TD]5484.16
[/TD]
[TD]5640.8
[/TD]
[TD]5797.44
[/TD]
[TD]5954.08
[/TD]
[TD]6110.72
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11
[/TD]
[TD]5165.6
[/TD]
[TD]5336.32
[/TD]
[TD]5508.8
[/TD]
[TD]5681.28
[/TD]
[TD]5853.76
[/TD]
[TD]6026.24
[/TD]
[TD]6196.96
[/TD]
[TD]6369.44
[/TD]
[TD]6541.92
[/TD]
[TD]6714.4
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12
[/TD]
[TD]6189.92
[/TD]
[TD]6397.6
[/TD]
[TD]6603.52
[/TD]
[TD]6809.44
[/TD]
[TD]7015.36
[/TD]
[TD]7223.04
[/TD]
[TD]7428.96
[/TD]
[TD]7634.88
[/TD]
[TD]7840.8
[/TD]
[TD]8048.48
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13
[/TD]
[TD]7362.08
[/TD]
[TD]7606.72
[/TD]
[TD]7851.36
[/TD]
[TD]8097.76
[/TD]
[TD]8342.4
[/TD]
[TD]8588.8
[/TD]
[TD]8833.44
[/TD]
[TD]9079.84
[/TD]
[TD]9324.48
[/TD]
[TD]9569.12
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14
[/TD]
[TD]8699.68
[/TD]
[TD]8988.32
[/TD]
[TD]9278.72
[/TD]
[TD]9569.12
[/TD]
[TD]9859.52
[/TD]
[TD]10148.16
[/TD]
[TD]10438.56
[/TD]
[TD]10728.96
[/TD]
[TD]11019.36
[/TD]
[TD]11308
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15
[/TD]
[TD]10232.64
[/TD]
[TD]10574.08
[/TD]
[TD]10915.52
[/TD]
[TD]11255.2
[/TD]
[TD]11596.64
[/TD]
[TD]11938.08
[/TD]
[TD]12279.52
[/TD]
[TD]12620.96
[/TD]
[TD]12960.64
[/TD]
[TD]13113.76
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[maverick06]

every time i think about getting out, but stay in, we nosedive.....

well get out of the market if you can because i will ride this beast for another few days.... PROBABLY will get out for the sequester... which means you should get back in.........

 

[maverick06]

Put in for an IFT, still have 25 min to change my mind.

pulled most of the money out of the market... not all but most.
g-52
f-25
s-20
i-3

We might be near the bottom, and if congress passes anything it will bounce. But the market moves down fast, and up slow (elevator down, stairs up). we still are going down, not sure where we will turn, but I will get off now.

Hope to get back in early next month. let the sequester happen, then stabalize, then get in.

 

[sniper]

What will the furlough cost you?

This is my (Philadelphia) GS pay scale, showing how much money you will not get paid. (I took the hourly pay chart, miltiplied dollars x 8 hrs x 22 days, for the total sum lost.)

[TABLE="width: 760"]
[TR]
[TD]Grade[/TD]
[TD]Step 1[/TD]
[TD]Step 2[/TD]
[TD]Step 3[/TD]
[TD]Step 4[/TD]
[TD]Step 5[/TD]
[TD]Step 6[/TD]
[TD]Step 7[/TD]
[TD]Step 8[/TD]
[TD]Step 9[/TD]
[TD]Step 10[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1828.64[/TD]
[TD]1890.24[/TD]
[TD]1950.08[/TD]
[TD]2011.68[/TD]
[TD]2071.52[/TD]
[TD]2106.72[/TD]
[TD]2168.32[/TD]
[TD]2228.16[/TD]
[TD]2229.92[/TD]
[TD]2288[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2[/TD]
[TD]2055.68[/TD]
[TD]2104.96[/TD]
[TD]2173.6[/TD]
[TD]2229.92[/TD]
[TD]2256.32[/TD]
[TD]2321.44[/TD]
[TD]2388.32[/TD]
[TD]2455.2[/TD]
[TD]2520.32[/TD]
[TD]2587.2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]2244[/TD]
[TD]2317.92[/TD]
[TD]2391.84[/TD]
[TD]2467.52[/TD]
[TD]2541.44[/TD]
[TD]2617.12[/TD]
[TD]2691.04[/TD]
[TD]2766.72[/TD]
[TD]2840.64[/TD]
[TD]2916.32[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4[/TD]
[TD]2518.56[/TD]
[TD]2601.28[/TD]
[TD]2685.76[/TD]
[TD]2770.24[/TD]
[TD]2854.72[/TD]
[TD]2937.44[/TD]
[TD]3021.92[/TD]
[TD]3106.4[/TD]
[TD]3189.12[/TD]
[TD]3273.6[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]2817.76[/TD]
[TD]2911.04[/TD]
[TD]3004.32[/TD]
[TD]3099.36[/TD]
[TD]3192.64[/TD]
[TD]3285.92[/TD]
[TD]3380.96[/TD]
[TD]3474.24[/TD]
[TD]3567.52[/TD]
[TD]3662.56[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]3139.84[/TD]
[TD]3245.44[/TD]
[TD]3349.28[/TD]
[TD]3454.88[/TD]
[TD]3558.72[/TD]
[TD]3664.32[/TD]
[TD]3768.16[/TD]
[TD]3873.76[/TD]
[TD]3977.6[/TD]
[TD]4083.2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]7[/TD]
[TD]3490.08[/TD]
[TD]3606.24[/TD]
[TD]3722.4[/TD]
[TD]3838.56[/TD]
[TD]3954.72[/TD]
[TD]4070.88[/TD]
[TD]4188.8[/TD]
[TD]4304.96[/TD]
[TD]4421.12[/TD]
[TD]4537.28[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]3864.96[/TD]
[TD]3993.44[/TD]
[TD]4121.92[/TD]
[TD]4252.16[/TD]
[TD]4380.64[/TD]
[TD]4509.12[/TD]
[TD]4637.6[/TD]
[TD]4766.08[/TD]
[TD]4894.56[/TD]
[TD]5024.8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]4268[/TD]
[TD]4410.56[/TD]
[TD]4553.12[/TD]
[TD]4695.68[/TD]
[TD]4838.24[/TD]
[TD]4980.8[/TD]
[TD]5121.6[/TD]
[TD]5264.16[/TD]
[TD]5406.72[/TD]
[TD]5549.28[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]4700.96[/TD]
[TD]4857.6[/TD]
[TD]5014.24[/TD]
[TD]5170.88[/TD]
[TD]5327.52[/TD]
[TD]5484.16[/TD]
[TD]5640.8[/TD]
[TD]5797.44[/TD]
[TD]5954.08[/TD]
[TD]6110.72[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11[/TD]
[TD]5165.6[/TD]
[TD]5336.32[/TD]
[TD]5508.8[/TD]
[TD]5681.28[/TD]
[TD]5853.76[/TD]
[TD]6026.24[/TD]
[TD]6196.96[/TD]
[TD]6369.44[/TD]
[TD]6541.92[/TD]
[TD]6714.4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]6189.92[/TD]
[TD]6397.6[/TD]
[TD]6603.52[/TD]
[TD]6809.44[/TD]
[TD]7015.36[/TD]
[TD]7223.04[/TD]
[TD]7428.96[/TD]
[TD]7634.88[/TD]
[TD]7840.8[/TD]
[TD]8048.48[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13[/TD]
[TD]7362.08[/TD]
[TD]7606.72[/TD]
[TD]7851.36[/TD]
[TD]8097.76[/TD]
[TD]8342.4[/TD]
[TD]8588.8[/TD]
[TD]8833.44[/TD]
[TD]9079.84[/TD]
[TD]9324.48[/TD]
[TD]9569.12[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]14[/TD]
[TD]8699.68[/TD]
[TD]8988.32[/TD]
[TD]9278.72[/TD]
[TD]9569.12[/TD]
[TD]9859.52[/TD]
[TD]10148.16[/TD]
[TD]10438.56[/TD]
[TD]10728.96[/TD]
[TD]11019.36[/TD]
[TD]11308[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]10232.64[/TD]
[TD]10574.08[/TD]
[TD]10915.52[/TD]
[TD]11255.2[/TD]
[TD]11596.64[/TD]
[TD]11938.08[/TD]
[TD]12279.52[/TD]
[TD]12620.96[/TD]
[TD]12960.64[/TD]
[TD]13113.76[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

ouch, there might go my plans to see a steelers game this year at heinz field

 

[maverick06]

Its a great time to buy someone else's tickets since they will sell them cheap!

Good time to buy a boat too... less money and more expensive fuel.

 

[maverick06]

oh goody, a drop like today would have pushed me to 100%G. I was going to pull the portion I had in I to G anyways, silly move to go in there.

BUT I got stuck on the phone doing, god forbid, actual work and missed the deadline. Guess I will ride this pony for another 24 hours. cooooomon dip buyers!

The logic in me does tell me that this was larely news driven, which means it usually doesnt stick. we will see. at 12% this year I missed a lot, but did way better than inflation.

I think that we need to have our yearly % change listed next to our names (like post count), makes it easier to know if we should listen to the person or not at 12%, dont listen to me.

 

[Cactus]

Why not? You are better than me. I'm at 6% and going down. You can use me as a contrarian indicator. :embarrest:

 

[maverick06]

haha a valid argument! I am TDY for the rest of the week, so without much time to watch the market, i dont want to really get out if needed... so maybe i will get out and jjust hope that was the right choice.

i usually like to watch the market relative to a few different SMA's when the market gets below them its time to get out. Of course this usually means I have already gone down with the market, but sometimes its going farther south. The market usually goes down faster than it goes up (elevator down, stairs up). its the conservative approach, between that and being out of touch for a few days, its an ok move. Aside from that, if we get this negativee swing saying its WMD, when a few TLAMs hit, the market will go down again... right?

Most is being pulled to G now, might change before the cutoff tomorrow... depends on the travel and the market...