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Market Talk
- Thread starter Spaf
- Start date
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
Well Tom. I thought the $ was up.
I switched from DSL to cable. So far I've stuck my foot on the cable line twice and been dropped online!!!
Anyway, It's time we were thinking about Thanksgiving and Christmas! I've got my letter to Santa all prepared.
See attachment! :^
Well Tom. I thought the $ was up.
I switched from DSL to cable. So far I've stuck my foot on the cable line twice and been dropped online!!!
Anyway, It's time we were thinking about Thanksgiving and Christmas! I've got my letter to Santa all prepared.
See attachment! :^
Cinderella
Member
imported post
Spaf, Hope that Christmas wish comes true........
Spaf, Hope that Christmas wish comes true........
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
Thanks Cinderella! Dakota, I ain't got a clue (typo maybe?).
I have a concern over the market's rather violent ups and downs since Sept. 22nd. From mid August to Sept 21st we had a steady rise from the lows, and then this volitality sets in, see attached S&P chart with the red arrow section. We have had some good earnings from IBM, TI and others vs investigations and crude over $50.
Does the market know something? Or, isthe marketjust flustrated?
I'm game to play the market, but since Sept 22nd I haven't seen anything worth playing. My 2 cents. If others see something I'm missing, please talk!
Careful! :?
Thanks Cinderella! Dakota, I ain't got a clue (typo maybe?).
I have a concern over the market's rather violent ups and downs since Sept. 22nd. From mid August to Sept 21st we had a steady rise from the lows, and then this volitality sets in, see attached S&P chart with the red arrow section. We have had some good earnings from IBM, TI and others vs investigations and crude over $50.
Does the market know something? Or, isthe marketjust flustrated?
I'm game to play the market, but since Sept 22nd I haven't seen anything worth playing. My 2 cents. If others see something I'm missing, please talk!
Careful! :?
imported post
Dakota wrote:
FundSurfer wrote:
"The I fund may do well today. I think I'll get out for tomorrow....
...But something is happening that is makes me want to make a transfer this morning. The dollar has been scraping the bottom of its recent trend channel (see chart below) so I wouldn't be surprised if it has a little bounce here soon. That means the I fund may not be the best place to be...after today. I actually expect a nice pop in the I fund today so, if I am right, today may be the day to step aside. I'll jump back in if the dollar moves up some."
We discussed this a while back if you are interested. Here is the link...[url]http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/forum14/93.html[/url]
Tom
Dakota wrote:
We talked about that in another forum. I'll cut & paste the exchange...
FundSurfer wrote:
Believe it or not, because the markets are open all night, there is some guesswork involved on the part of the EAFE index managers. It was odd to me that the I fund was down Monday so i thought they'd make adjustments today, and they did. That was why in the comments I said...
"The I fund may do well today. I think I'll get out for tomorrow....
...But something is happening that is makes me want to make a transfer this morning. The dollar has been scraping the bottom of its recent trend channel (see chart below) so I wouldn't be surprised if it has a little bounce here soon. That means the I fund may not be the best place to be...after today. I actually expect a nice pop in the I fund today so, if I am right, today may be the day to step aside. I'll jump back in if the dollar moves up some."
We discussed this a while back if you are interested. Here is the link...[url]http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/forum14/93.html[/url]
Tom
Mike
Active member
imported post
The market turned volatile because it's getting mixed messages. There were some solid earnings reports, but oil continues to move up (although it dipped a bit the other day due to profit-taking). The election is now just two weeks away, and all of the polls indicate it is too close to call (although it now appears that Bush is starting to open up a small lead).
I'm getting this odd feeling in the back of my mind - that the market is about to rally. Is anyone else getting that feeling?
The market turned volatile because it's getting mixed messages. There were some solid earnings reports, but oil continues to move up (although it dipped a bit the other day due to profit-taking). The election is now just two weeks away, and all of the polls indicate it is too close to call (although it now appears that Bush is starting to open up a small lead).
I'm getting this odd feeling in the back of my mind - that the market is about to rally. Is anyone else getting that feeling?
and it's only Wednesday...........
imported post
In today's comments I wrote,
"I would love to see another rally bust out but something tells me we might need one more washout sell off to bring a little fear back to the market. If we do see something like that it may be fast and furious and too quick to even make a play on. So I will stay invested knowing the odds favor an upward market over the intermediate term."
I hope that today's intraday100 point drop in the Dow was the "fast and furious"drop and that the reversal we are seeing is the "too quick to even make a play on." That would make it real easy on us.
In today's comments I wrote,
"I would love to see another rally bust out but something tells me we might need one more washout sell off to bring a little fear back to the market. If we do see something like that it may be fast and furious and too quick to even make a play on. So I will stay invested knowing the odds favor an upward market over the intermediate term."
I hope that today's intraday100 point drop in the Dow was the "fast and furious"drop and that the reversal we are seeing is the "too quick to even make a play on." That would make it real easy on us.
Cinderella
Member
imported post
Amen !
Amen !
Spaf
Honorary Hall of Fame Member
imported post
As of Wednesday the market ended mixed. Dow dn 10+, NASD up 10+. Talk is high energy prices will impact economic growth, 4.5% for this year, 3.5% for 05 and this didn't help sentiment. Oil closed at $54.41 with reported low inventories. Stat wise the F fund (chart attached) has 20 day moving averages below pricing, and P-SAR indicating long. The stats for the other 3 stock funds were negative. However, the whipsaw of the current trends (Since Sept.22) could quickly change stats. Short term the market appears to be undecided. No clear picture is seen for the long term, being too cloudy.
When it's cloudy it's best to be on instruments IFR, one could be upside down flying by gut feelings VFR; my opinion!
As of Wednesday the market ended mixed. Dow dn 10+, NASD up 10+. Talk is high energy prices will impact economic growth, 4.5% for this year, 3.5% for 05 and this didn't help sentiment. Oil closed at $54.41 with reported low inventories. Stat wise the F fund (chart attached) has 20 day moving averages below pricing, and P-SAR indicating long. The stats for the other 3 stock funds were negative. However, the whipsaw of the current trends (Since Sept.22) could quickly change stats. Short term the market appears to be undecided. No clear picture is seen for the long term, being too cloudy.
When it's cloudy it's best to be on instruments IFR, one could be upside down flying by gut feelings VFR; my opinion!
clester
Well-known member
imported post
I like using the actual price of the fund. The F fund is, as you say, in a buy status. above 20day ma, 50 day ma, 200 day ma. The only thing about the F is that it usually makes small moves. I'm 100% F for tomorow because of the technical chart info. I may move back into stocks for friday if tomorow looks good.
I like using the actual price of the fund. The F fund is, as you say, in a buy status. above 20day ma, 50 day ma, 200 day ma. The only thing about the F is that it usually makes small moves. I'm 100% F for tomorow because of the technical chart info. I may move back into stocks for friday if tomorow looks good.
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