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book112228image0031ib.gif
 
imported post

Hey Tekno..........Thanks!

Every once in a while Tekno will post a link that is "a saver". Take a look at the following link:

http://www.bullandbearwise.com/

Here is a link that will give the "fundamentals" in a nut shell, gotta add this one to my favorates!

Thanks Tekno! :^ Spaf
 
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Nice plots Tekx$.....noticed most of the indicators are maxed out for Nasdaq...wonder if you have the same plots for the S&P....I'd try to plot all my stuff, but its in excel and its so much and spread out, its difficult to do......I tried to paste my accum. data yesterday.... I gave up.......I just typed a descriptive narrative.....:?

Greenspud speaks...some more smoke and mirrors about the flattend yield curve...

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20050718/bs_nm/economy_greenspan_dc;_ylt=
AvIgDONpYf6gkiNxorE549i573QA;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl

Weak vol yesterday on the S&P, guess the options really took their toll....not counting this time of year being dull.....expecting some rebound here in a week or so.....gotta see some sort of profit taking for a few days first....then expecting some interest being reinstated.....

That little junt up to 1230's plus may push a delay into the fall market correction....looking at and around Dec as being just a possiblity....I will comment on this later.....seeing the market is flexing some.....

:^
 
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I have been watching somedates I have hadfor a couple of months now......

I expect a low is reached on or around 1 Aug......this would be characteristic of last years period this time of year.....keep your eyes open....:oo

I didn't want to say anything until I saw the market make its move of late........:^

:dude:
 
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If a drop comes, I think August 1st may be a bit early on a low point. I would think September would be the most likely month to hit one given its weak historical performance.

Of course, I've been expecting a pullback for weeks and it hasn't happened yet (or if it has, it was extremely shallow). Those in the market while I've been out have made a killing as expected. :P
 
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Yep, happens all the time....

The current Accumulation istrending lower than yesterday....its .983 from recent lows to the high in June......even with this mornings little jump.....

I like the period of Aug last year for a good example what can happen.....but, I have based my 1 Aug date on events since then....so I can only say what I expect, what the market does is altogether another thing.....I have some other recent data that is divulging a break down in the last week or so.....

Yep, we missed a good run.....

:dude:
 
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Tech, you'll laugh at this.

On another board, someone was touting how great the market was under Clinton, how the current economic difficulty is all Bush's fault, and that one of the ways to effectively deal with it is to keep interest rates low to help small businesses.

I responded by saying the run-up during the '90s was unhealthy, atypical, and highly speculative - and that it was strongly driven by a parabolic increase in the M3 after many years of only modest steady increases. :l
 
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I can't argue with the unhealthy and speculative, I wasn't watching the M3...but the real fact is Clinton inherited years and years (12-its like a locomotive, it takes alot of time to get a good economic engine going) of hard work of Reagan, Bush administrations, as well as the work of the technology sector....and then there were the factors that make a great market.....which Voo Doo economics made good....anybody who thinks that because a President is sitting in office has made the economy doesn't have a wiff of what makes an economy.....you have to see what they did to develop it......

remember the Reagan financial adviser...David Stockton I believe was his name, that is when we went to an active control system to control the economy.....something everyone should at least try to understand.....

All Clinton did was tout it was his.....but notice what happened the summer before the elections and when Bush came into office......the economy sunk.....but the trick here is it was expected to sink......not because of Bush, but because Clinton was playing around in the White House (not counting Hillary stealing items out of it) .......his stance was anti business up to the point of getting reelected and he passed NAFTA for his buddies who were invested in overseas to take the profits and jobs away from the average American who he stumped for to get their vote of all things............and lets not forgetthe speculation and false company reports which many companies got away with.....

Global Economy- My whole opinion is the Global economy theory is great if both sides play it and the standard of living (and other factors like labor issuseand environmental protection) in both countries are similar....but it is destablizing when applied in a quick fashion like it was in our recent past....it has to be played in slow and long term so as not to cause social disruption in the US (for this case)

We are seeing the reprieve to the instability of our economy happening recently ...which is good....but it will be some time before it takes a deep rooted hold and all Americans benefit from it....heck if we can't buy, they can't sell as much....
:dude:
 
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darn it...this is no dip.....shoulda kept everything in stox:(

tech will post spx data asap...of course every chartwill appear toppy/overbot as we melt up. may not see the buying opp 4 a while. seems any slight dip nowadaze is bot up.

lotsa puts being sold....may not see dip until after oex.;)
 
imported post

The Technician wrote:
Nice plots Tekx$.....noticed most of the indicators are maxed out for Nasdaq...wonder if you have the same plots for the S&P....I'd try to plot all my stuff, but its in excel and its so much and spread out, its difficult to do......I tried to paste my accum. data yesterday.... I gave up.......I just typed a descriptive narrative.....:?

Greenspud speaks...some more smoke and mirrors about the flattend yield curve...

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20050718/bs_nm/economy_greenspan_dc;_ylt=
AvIgDONpYf6gkiNxorE549i573QA;_ylu=X3oDMTBiMW04NW9mBHNlYwMlJVRPUCUl

Weak vol yesterday on the S&P, guess the options really took their toll....not counting this time of year being dull.....expecting some rebound here in a week or so.....gotta see some sort of profit taking for a few days first....then expecting some interest being reinstated.....

That little junt up to 1230's plus may push a delay into the fall market correction....looking at and around Dec as being just a possiblity....I will comment on this later.....seeing the market is flexing some.....

:^
Click to expand...
not same source....that source does not play s&p at all

spxlongterm.png
 
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