Market Talk / Jan. 28 - Feb. 3

[Spaf]

The Kingdom of TSP
Sunday Weekly
Early Edition
January 28, 2007 ​

Yak, Doodles, Tea Leaves & The Tin Box

Kingdom Yak:
Pro-Yak....................................Capital preservation is primary.

Con-Yak....................................Lube rallied near 4%!..... Lot of uncertainity amoung pundits!

Jester-Yak.................................Dang volatility can leave a mark!

Doodles:
TSP socks ended mixed for the week. Small caps appear to be rolling over. Alerts triggered.
Stops......................................Alert (-1%).....Trail (-2%)
.....$SPX..................................1426X...........1403
.....IJR.....................................66.26X..........65.56
.....EFA....................................73.76X..........73.06

Dollar.......................................85.24 +0.37 for the week...$USD

Lube (NYMEX) Closed at..............55.42 +3.43 for the week...NYMEX
Oil Markers................................<60= ok, 60-65= worry, >65= panic.

Tea Leaves:
Yakndoodles...............................Yellow.

Tin Box.
Leaders Ratio / Top 10 ................3.8 ......0.4 ......0.0 .....3.8 ......2.0 ....07 leaders
Leaders Play...............................G-fund, F-fund, C-fund, S-fund, I-fund

Courtesy of Rokid's Weekly Account Tally​

TSP (week ending)......G=11.75..F=11.11..C=15.75..S=19.04..I=22.24
....(1 week past)........G=11.74..F=11.15..C=15.84..S=18.98..I=22.33
....(2 week past)........G=11.73..F=11.14..C=15.84..S=19.08..I=22.14
....(3 week past)........G=11.72..F=11.19..C=15.60..S=18.58..I=21.99
....(4 week past)........G=11.71..F=11.14..C=15.69..S=18.76..I=22.22..end of 06

Le Charts

Charts courtesy of www.stockcharts.com​

 

[nnuut]

Have any of you Market Analyst figured out what's going to happen Tuesday? I haven't, oil up, dollar up.
Jan
GDP-Adv.Q43.0%3.0%2.0%Jan
Chain Deflator-Adv.Q41.5%1.7%1.9%Jan
Employment Cost IndexQ40.9%1.0%1.0%Jan
Chicago PMIJan52.052.051.6Jan
Construction SpendingDec-0.2%0.0%-0.2%Jan
Crude Inventories01/26NANA789KJan 3114:15FOMC policy statement
WAY TOO MUCH FOR ME, comon Robo, somebody, in or out, What!!!!!
http://money.cnn.com/2007/01/26/markets/sunday_lookahead/index.htm?postversion=2007012807

 

[nnuut]

By the way, WHERE THE HELL IS ROLO!?:embarrest: Come back you know everything!:worried:

 

[Spaf]

Alternate stock charting (or another way in MHO)!]​

At www.StockCharts.com as an alternate to [^DWCPF] Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Complet small to med stock index fund for the TSP S-fund, use the [IJR] ishares S&P SmallCap 600 Index fund.

In the CandleGlance group charts everything can put everything on one page, up to 10 symbols, adjust time periods and use various indicators.
AGG-SPX-IJR-EFA-USD

The MACD can be set for buy signals at [8,17,9] or for sell signals at [12,25,9].
STA MACD Set-up

 

[nnuut]

Go get'm boys!!!

 

[Rod]

By the way, WHERE THE HELL IS ROLO!?:embarrest: Come back you know everything!:worried:

Yeah... I liked him!

 

[Foghorn]

NNUUT,

From the article you post it appears that Monday and Tuesday should be relatively stable days. The first danger shows up on Wednesday. So, I'm going to stay in stocks through Tuesday and get out at COB Tuesday. I'll likely get back in on COB Thursday, depending on what it looks like.

FH


http://money.cnn.com/2007/01/26/mark...ion=2007012807

"However, he noted that stock and bond investors are likely anticipating the steady-as-she-goes approach. Therefore investors are unlikely to be ruffled by a lack of change, beyond a typical knee-jerk reaction.
The fourth-quarter GDP report Wednesday, however, could throw a few curves, he said. "It's a difficult one to predict because the reads on inventories and exports move around a lot," Shapiro said. In addition, this is the preliminary read on the fourth quarter, later to be advised.
At the end of the week, investors get the January jobs report, which should show continued solid growth in payrolls. Where the report could threaten stock gains is if average hourly earnings - the report's inflation component - shows a bigger-than-expected decline."

 

[airlift]

Spaf,
It's good to have these alternatives. Do you think these charts will show intraday price movements or at market close?

Alternate stock charting (or another way in MHO)!]​

At www.StockCharts.com as an alternate to [^DWCPF] Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Complet small to med stock index fund for the TSP S-fund, use the [IJR] ishares S&P SmallCap 600 Index fund.

In the CandleGlance group charts everything can put everything on one page, up to 10 symbols, adjust time periods and use various indicators.
AGG-SPX-IJR-EFA-USD

The MACD can be set for buy signals at [8,17,9] or for sell signals at [12,25,9].
STA MACD Set-up

 

[Spaf]

My feeling is that iShares have real good intraday price reports. Some ETF's have lousy intraday reports. I ran a comparison of ^DWCPF vs IJR, though not exactly they do track fairly atop each other. ^DWCPF won't register on StockCharts.
IJR is the index fund, IJJ is the value fund and IJK is the growth fund.
Some ETF's might be great funds but lack good intraday reports. I've always had good reports on my platform, using iShares.

Spaf,
It's good to have these alternatives. Do you think these charts will show intraday price movements or at market close?

 

[airlift]

I know that DWCP doesn't exist in StockCharts, although it used to open up in BigCharts. I am aware that there are a couple of symbols that use DWCP symbol, but I don't really understand the subtle difference. But, please take a look at $EMW in StockCharts because it is the Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index and will show intraday movement, at least if you have real time.

My feeling is that iShares have real good intraday price reports. Some ETF's have lousy intraday reports. I ran a comparison of ^DWCPF vs IJR, though not exactly they do track fairly atop each other. ^DWCPF won't register on StockCharts.
IJR is the index fund, IJJ is the value fund and IJK is the growth fund.
Some ETF's might be great funds but lack good intraday reports. I've always had good reports on my platform, using iShares.

 

[Spaf]

Sponsor,
Your correct with $EMW. I was trying to keep my trading system and TSP together. But, it kind of looks like I need 2 systems. Then if I figure buy vs sell (with different MACD's), I need 4 systems!.....
Can't win for losing!

Symbols.txt
Index
NASDAQ $COMPQ, ^IXIC
DJIA $INDU, ^DJI
S&P500 $SPX, ^SPX, SPX, GSPC

IVV ishares S&P 500 Index
^DWCPF Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index small to med stock index fund TSP S-fund (Yahoo/BigCharts)
$EMW Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index (StockCharts)
IJR ishares S&P SmallCap 600 Index
EFA international Morgan Stanley EAFE TSP I-fund, also $USD US Dollar (StockCharts)
AGG ishares Lehman Bros QS Aggregate (LBA) Index US Bonds TSP F-fund
TLT ishares Lehman 20+ year Treasury Bond

But, please take a look at $EMW in StockCharts because it is the Dow Jones Wilshire 4500 Completion Index and will show intraday movement, at least if you have real time.

 

[Birchtree]

Sounding complicated for sure.

 

[Spaf]

Indicators and Oscillators: I seem to risk paralysis by analysis by trying to follow too many symbols and indicators. I have too many choices!......

I'd love to go fishing if it wasen't so dang cold...............

 

[Birchtree]

Count your blessings - you could be one of those Oklahoma noodlers. They pull up some great sized catfish with their hands.

 

[Spaf]

Some of them lack a full set of digits!......:cheesy:

Count your blessings - you could be one of those Oklahoma noodlers. They pull up some great sized catfish with their hands.

 

[airlift]

That's cruel, but real funny Birch!

 

[airlift]

Your response has no equal Spaf!

 

[SkyPilot]

By the way, WHERE THE HELL IS ROLO!?:embarrest: Come back you know everything!:worried:

you can find him at http://www.ptcruiserlinks.com/

and yes... it's the same Rolo!

 

[Birchtree]

Nnuut with your good manners and Griffin digging around in the weeds, who needs Rolo.

 

[mlk_man]

Good manners my "As The World Turns"................:suspicious: