Kaufmanrider's Account Talk

[Kaufmanrider]

Sorry, just read the FAQ's and realized I needed to establish an account talk.

My strategy, learn from those that have established strategies.

 

[Tennvol]

Welcome!

 

[nasa1974]

Sorry, just read the FAQ's and realized I needed to establish an account talk.

My strategy, learn from those that have established strategies.

Kaufmanrider, welcome. Some great people on this MB that are worth following.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Not bad for 2010 according to TSP:

12-Month Personal Rate of Return: 11.17%

I am in G=100% following I_T, but I am leaning toward getting back in equities as the S-S points. I expect some movement. Monday I get my IFT's for the month. We will see Monday morning what I do. Kinda hoping I_T gets a buy signal. But if not????

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Hanging in the I-fund. down a bit, but hey, it's got to come back up eventually. Hopefully eventually is sooner (days) rather than later (weeks-months) so I can move into another fund.

It's early yet and I have time to wait. Patience pays.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Moved 50 G, 50 F yesterday from 100 F. Tomorrow night moving to 100 G at the close of business. Gonna sit in the G until next month and I get my new IFT's. Hopefully I do as well next month as I did this month, 2%. Moved to 101 on the tracker. Maybe I'll crack the top 100????

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Lost on the F fund, stayed a day too long, but it looks like everyone lost today (except the G fund). I moved to 71 on the tracker, probably the highest I'll hit all year.

Tried the TSP Analyzer, downloaded my quarterly TSP Statements since 2003 and checked out some numbers. Interesting numbers. The I fund is still way below its high in 2007 of 26+ dollars a share. I wonder if it will be next to rebound?

 

[Kaufmanrider]

While reviewing the TSP Analyzer, which I found on this site, http://www.thetspanalyzer.com/ I realized I ended 2010 with my TSP balance about 5% more than my previous high just before the last dump off in 08. As I hope to average 8-10% per year, I have about 16-20% to make up. Glad I found this site. I think I should be able to get my account balance back on track.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

I am looking for the C and I funds to move this year. The S fund has led us out of the drop a few years ago, now time for the C and I to catch up.

Ended January at #124. WoooHooo, Almost hit 2%, double my monthly goal.

 

[nnuut]

I feel the same way about the "C" fund, it's time! The "I" can be great but is nnuuts at times and bit me before.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Moved up the tracker today, from way down in the 400's to 129. Not because of my smooth moves but because it seems the markets used the emotion of the Middle East crisis to do a long overdue correction.

I guess I was the lucky one.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Hit 56 on the tracker. Who would have thought?

Let's see what tomorrow brings.

 

[FAB1]

Moved up the tracker today, from way down in the 400's to 129. Not because of my smooth moves but because it seems the markets used the emotion of the Middle East crisis to do a long overdue correction.

I guess I was the lucky one.

Guess again. #300 to #50 - we are in the same boat we had decent gains and got out before the Veg-O-Matic started chopping down the buy and hold S crowd.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Guess again. #300 to #50 - we are in the same boat we had decent gains and got out before the Veg-O-Matic started chopping down the buy and hold S crowd.

And back down to around 167 after today. O well. Still on the plus for the month and year so I can 't complain.

Today I tried the <1% deal. I was 100% F, but this week my bi-weekly contribution allocation was deposited. It goes in the S and I, so this morning I was 99.68 in F, .16 in both the S and I. Moved 98% G, and upped my S and I to 1% each. After today's returns on the S and I, Monday I should be able to bump my S and I to 2%? Give me a little in them for the possible upswing on the 1st. I'd put more in stocks but I am out of IFT's for the month.

That is if I have the <1% thing correct.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Dropped back down to 219. But hey, up 4.65% for the year. Halfway to my annual goal 0f 10-12%

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Dropped back down to 219. But hey, up 4.65% for the year. Halfway to my annual goal 0f 10-12%

Took the plunge way to early back into the S fund. Lost about 3% the past week. Watching the Nikkei 225 bounce back I am hopeful the US Stock Market will make up it's recent losses plus some.

At least I am doing better in my ETF's.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Took the plunge way to early back into the S fund. Lost about 3% the past week. Watching the Nikkei 225 bounce back I am hopeful the US Stock Market will make up it's recent losses plus some.

At least I am doing better in my ETF's.

Thinks don't look good in Japan. Fear still striking the markets. But I don't want to miss out on a possible rebound.

Moved 50% F, (10day SMA Method) and kept 50% in S.

No more IFT's left for the month, except back to G. Here I'll sit for a bit.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

Slight gains the past few days thanks to leaving 50% in the S fund. The F fund lost a little, hoping for some slight gains in both the S and F this week.

Playing the <1% moves this week, adding to equities, taking from F. And I set my my contributions this week to go into C and I, I should be able to do a <1% move to a full 1% in each of them after the distribution goes in.

Lets see if I can add 4 or 5 more before the end of the month.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

I had a horrible March and early April. Down to a slight, and I mean slight, gain on the year. 100% S and I'll hold with the SS for the next week, or maybe longer. I expect the bull to continue.

We have a budget (time for the dollar to rebound), Japan is going to need to invest 500,000 billion to rebuild, which means buying lots of products from the US, the Middle East should settle down in the next few months (drop in oil prices and political unrest), and Ghaddafi can't last long against Europe and US air and sea power. The Ivory Coast is Frances problem, not ours.

1430 or more on the S&P here we come. Now the question is to ride the roller coaster, or try and time the ups and downs? Well, last month my timing failed, so I am leaning toward riding the roller coaster for a bit to see how it plays out.

My 12 month return on TSP has dropped from 16% last month to 9.5% this month. Still met my goal of 10-12% a year, but in this bull market I should do better.

You live, and you learn. I gotta a couple years till I retire so I can still play with my money.

 

[Kaufmanrider]

I am still bullish. Looks like I'll be Long on the S fund. Gonna hang around until it gets higher.

I just didn't take it take a drop of 3% before it climbed 5-6%.