- Reaction score
- 285
We’re more than halfway through July, and the AutoTracker activity is showing a real shift in strategy.
So far this month, 103 IFTs have been made by 85 different non-premium members. That means 18 members have already made two trades—a sign of active hands in a volatile environment.
When we combine all these IFTs and compare them to each member’s June allocation, here’s how the average changes stack up:
Average Allocation Change in July
(in percentage points)
G-fund: -2.8 pp
F-fund: -1.2 pp
C-fund: -0.5 pp
S-fund: +8.2 pp
I-fund: -2.6 pp
These shifts tell us that while AutoTracker members have moved in many directions, the standout trend has been a collective tilt toward the S-fund.
But that trend hasn’t held steady.
Let’s split the month into two periods—the first 8 trading days and the most recent 4—to see how sentiment has changed.
Average Allocation Change in First 8 trading days
(July 1 to July 11)
G-fund: -7.9 pp
F-fund: -3.3 pp
C-fund: +6.0 pp
S-fund: +9.2 pp
I-fund: -2.4 pp
In the first 8 days of July was a risk-on environment. Allocations flowed heavily into stocks, especially the S- and C-funds.
Average Allocation Change in last 4 trading days
(July 14 to July 17)
G-fund: +4.3 pp
F-fund: +4.4 pp
C-fund: -5.5 pp
S-fund: -1.2 pp
I-fund: -2.0 pp
This week, we’ve seen a risk-off pivot. Members pulled back from stocks—especially the C-fund—and moved into the G and F funds. Tuesday's action provoked the biggest shift: the average G-fund increase that day alone was +36.9 pp.
Today the S-fund price is set to increase 1%. In this short-term scope, Tuesday was a buying opportunity.
If you're interested in tracking these intraday sentiment shifts and positioning changes, the Last Look Report delivers this kind of data every trading day—30 minutes before the TSP deadline.
Tuesday's Last Look Report
So far this month, 103 IFTs have been made by 85 different non-premium members. That means 18 members have already made two trades—a sign of active hands in a volatile environment.
When we combine all these IFTs and compare them to each member’s June allocation, here’s how the average changes stack up:
Average Allocation Change in July
(in percentage points)
G-fund: -2.8 pp
F-fund: -1.2 pp
C-fund: -0.5 pp
S-fund: +8.2 pp
I-fund: -2.6 pp
These shifts tell us that while AutoTracker members have moved in many directions, the standout trend has been a collective tilt toward the S-fund.
But that trend hasn’t held steady.
Let’s split the month into two periods—the first 8 trading days and the most recent 4—to see how sentiment has changed.
Average Allocation Change in First 8 trading days
(July 1 to July 11)
G-fund: -7.9 pp
F-fund: -3.3 pp
C-fund: +6.0 pp
S-fund: +9.2 pp
I-fund: -2.4 pp
In the first 8 days of July was a risk-on environment. Allocations flowed heavily into stocks, especially the S- and C-funds.
Average Allocation Change in last 4 trading days
(July 14 to July 17)
G-fund: +4.3 pp
F-fund: +4.4 pp
C-fund: -5.5 pp
S-fund: -1.2 pp
I-fund: -2.0 pp
This week, we’ve seen a risk-off pivot. Members pulled back from stocks—especially the C-fund—and moved into the G and F funds. Tuesday's action provoked the biggest shift: the average G-fund increase that day alone was +36.9 pp.
Today the S-fund price is set to increase 1%. In this short-term scope, Tuesday was a buying opportunity.
If you're interested in tracking these intraday sentiment shifts and positioning changes, the Last Look Report delivers this kind of data every trading day—30 minutes before the TSP deadline.
Tuesday's Last Look Report
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