tom4jean
Member
Ah yep....
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/17/wor...-the-stock-market-since-great-depression.html
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James48843 Account Talk
- Thread starter James48843
- Start date
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/17/wor...-the-stock-market-since-great-depression.html
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tom4jean
Member
Oops! apparently that article was wrong...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/s...worst-start-to-december-since-1980-2018-12-17
sniper
Active member
Looks like I got into beer brewing at a good time. $10 for a case of IPA, though a lot of work involved
sniper
Active member
It's relaxing, just time consuming. Taking a break now just because I don't have time with the holidays and all
James48843
Well-known member
I'm gonna try and ONE DAY MOVE to try and capture a bounce back tomorrow. I'm seeing a better than 50-50% chance of a rebound for at least one day.
I haven't used any moves yet this month- so here is the first. When the "S" Fund is down -11.0 plus% in a single month, it tells me we HAVE to take a rebound somewhere. I am gambling that we are there right now, and that tomorrow will be a one-day relief, maybe bouncing up a percent or two.
Note: I will be on an airplane tomorrow. I am moving 100% to "C" right now, and will then enter a move BACK into "G" AFTER the noon deadline, so that I will get ONE DAY in stocks. I will either win, or lose, but I am feeling its a higher probability for the win tomorrow.
Wish me luck. This one is totally gambling- not investing.
I haven't used any moves yet this month- so here is the first. When the "S" Fund is down -11.0 plus% in a single month, it tells me we HAVE to take a rebound somewhere. I am gambling that we are there right now, and that tomorrow will be a one-day relief, maybe bouncing up a percent or two.
Note: I will be on an airplane tomorrow. I am moving 100% to "C" right now, and will then enter a move BACK into "G" AFTER the noon deadline, so that I will get ONE DAY in stocks. I will either win, or lose, but I am feeling its a higher probability for the win tomorrow.
Wish me luck. This one is totally gambling- not investing.
1965Vintage
Member
Good luck! I considered doing the same thing today myself. But I'm too Chicken!
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James48843
Well-known member
I am SO SCREWED.
So - Paul Ryan said Trump isn't going to sign the Senate version of the CR. So- while it looked this morning like we were going to get a budget CR extension this afternoon (and therefore likely a bump up with a breath tommorrow), now, once again, all bets are off.
So I am going to be buying at the close today- and NO IDEA what tomorrow will bring.
Isn't this fun?
(Crosses fingers.....)
Note: The S&P 500 just broke into a P&F Chart "Bearish Resistance Line."
Changes my expectation to continued bearish for a while.
So - Paul Ryan said Trump isn't going to sign the Senate version of the CR. So- while it looked this morning like we were going to get a budget CR extension this afternoon (and therefore likely a bump up with a breath tommorrow), now, once again, all bets are off.
So I am going to be buying at the close today- and NO IDEA what tomorrow will bring.
Isn't this fun?
(Crosses fingers.....)
Note: The S&P 500 just broke into a P&F Chart "Bearish Resistance Line."
Changes my expectation to continued bearish for a while.
James48843
Well-known member
AND.....at the close, we're sitting on a big down day- like 2% down. Will wait to see the final number, but it 's a big down day.
Got my fingers crossed for tomorrow.
AND I have placed my SECOND MOVE- to be effective at the close of the day tomorrow. Going to jump back to 90% "G" fund, 5% "F Fund, and 5% L-Income as of the close of business on Friday.
(So that makes it "C: for Tomorrow, then back to safety for tomorrow night, looking for a MAGIC DAY IN THE MARKET TOMORROW.)
Flying first thing tomorrow morning to CALIFORNIA for a week long sail on a 45-foot sailboat. Christmas on the boat in Long Beach/Catalina Island.
See you all after Christmas ! HoHoHo!
Got my fingers crossed for tomorrow.
AND I have placed my SECOND MOVE- to be effective at the close of the day tomorrow. Going to jump back to 90% "G" fund, 5% "F Fund, and 5% L-Income as of the close of business on Friday.
(So that makes it "C: for Tomorrow, then back to safety for tomorrow night, looking for a MAGIC DAY IN THE MARKET TOMORROW.)
Flying first thing tomorrow morning to CALIFORNIA for a week long sail on a 45-foot sailboat. Christmas on the boat in Long Beach/Catalina Island.
See you all after Christmas ! HoHoHo!
weatherweenie
Well-known member
Looks like -1.58% for the S&P 500 today but the futures shot up another 20 S&P points after the close, erasing half the losses. So, you may be getting a break on your buy today!
Merry Christmas!
tom4jean
Member
Your luck is getting better by the minute! House GOP push to add $5B for border wall to spending bill clears key hurdle
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/house-bill-to-fund-government-with-5b-for-border-wall
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James48843
Well-known member
The House isn’t any big deal. It’s the Senate that isn’t going to approve the $5 billion. Trump would need 60 votes to pass that- and he’s only got 50. So that House bill won’t even make it to a vote.
Tomorrow- no Senate vote will take place, and then it will be too late.
Now I’m about 80%+ sure that wE are all going to be furloughed tomorrow night.
My guess is we will be out until next year. (Jan 3rd), when the new House comes back, because they will have to start all over again.
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Tomorrow- no Senate vote will take place, and then it will be too late.
Now I’m about 80%+ sure that wE are all going to be furloughed tomorrow night.
My guess is we will be out until next year. (Jan 3rd), when the new House comes back, because they will have to start all over again.
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sniper
Active member
Government shutdowns lately have been bullish, but would it be during the holiday season? I know I'm not spending any more money until we're no longer furloughed lol.
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