I fund for May 08

[luv2read]

OK now that we can't daily IFT anymore Barclays has quit screwing around with the I fund.

 

[Birchtree]

Japan's economy grew 3.3% in the last quarter, faster than economists estimated, as exports to Asia and emerging markets helped the nation weather the U.S. slowdown. The Nikkei 225 stock average has surged 21% in the past two months. The big slowdown isn't happening. Global demand is strong. Is the I fund finally played out or is there more to go?

 

[HAILSTORM]

Japan's economy grew 3.3% in the last quarter, faster than economists estimated, as exports to Asia and emerging markets helped the nation weather the U.S. slowdown. The Nikkei 225 stock average has surged 21% in the past two months. The big slowdown isn't happening. Global demand is strong. Is the I fund finally played out or is there more to go?

There is still global upside here...I think that we will see 26.00 in the I fund.

However, the next bubble is in commodities and that bursting will haunt all markets from September 2008 through January 2009, IMHO....

 

[HAILSTORM]

Note the reason why the haunting is so short is that a dip across commodities will ultimately be a GOOD THING for the economy...only the intial fear, uncertainty, and big-player trauma will cause the quarter-long dip...

 

[luv2read]

There is still global upside here...I think that we will see 26.00 in the I fund.

However, the next bubble is in commodities and that bursting will haunt all markets from September 2008 through January 2009, IMHO....

Note the reason why the haunting is so short is that a dip across commodities will ultimately be a GOOD THING for the economy...only the intial fear, uncertainty, and big-player trauma will cause the quarter-long dip...

Are we talking about the market or the economy? So far this year one has nothing to do with the other. Thank you fed and uncle ben.:nuts:

 

[Corvette]

There is still global upside here...I think that we will see 26.00 in the I fund.

I think you are correct, but I think we will see a correction first.

The question is when. Perhaps when Obama gets the nomination?

 

[Corvette]

Nikkei up 0.35%
AORD up 1.18%

FV for Monday (previous) = -$0.19

 

[Corvette]

EAFE estimate up $0.14
minus FV Monday (previous) of -$0.19= -$0.05

The dollar is up .4%.

 

[buda]

I think you are correct, but I think we will see a correction first.

The question is when. Perhaps when Obama gets the nomination?

Corvette,

So on the nominatin (which at this point is in sight) do you see the I dropping then regaining strength near or after the election? I jumped out last week and she made a run after I left her....wish I would of stayed in but you really can't read Barclays as of yet with the new trading restrictions.

buda

 

[Birchtree]

Obama will have minimal impact on the markets - afterall he hasn't won anything yet and most likely will not. He's worse than Hillary, Kerry, Gore and Dukakis combined.

 

[Gumby]

Obama will have minimal impact on the markets - afterall he hasn't won anything yet and most likely will not. He's worse than Hillary, Kerry, Gore and Dukakis combined.

Birch,

Definitely something I can agree with you on

 

[Corvette]

EAFE final up $0.14
minus FV Monday (previous) of -$0.19= -$0.05 :worried:

The dollar is up .29%.

 

[Corvette]

Obama will have minimal impact on the markets - afterall he hasn't won anything yet and most likely will not. He's worse than Hillary, Kerry, Gore and Dukakis combined.

Perhaps you are correct.

but,

Take a look at the historical data after Super Tuesday when Obama won. I -fund was near the year lows.

When Obama won North Carolina, I -fund went down again.

I think he is going to win. :worried:

 

[Corvette]

Corvette,

So on the nominatin (which at this point is in sight) do you see the I dropping then regaining strength near or after the election? I jumped out last week and she made a run after I left her....wish I would of stayed in but you really can't read Barclays as of yet with the new trading restrictions.

buda

You got out at a good time. I tried to get as much as I could as the I-fund approached the 200 dma.

I am sure you made money. I made money on the trade. Could we have made more? Yes

I think the market will have adjusted before election day.

Historically, the market does better under the Democratic control.

 

[Corvette]

EAFE final up $0.14
minus FV Monday (previous) of -$0.19= -$0.05
plus mystery money of $0.05 = $0.00 :blink:

 

[Frixxxx]

.....
plus mystery money of $0.05 = $0.00 :blink:

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
And they would have gotten away with it, if it weren't those meddling kids!

 

[HAILSTORM]

Asia is down out-of-the-box...


INDEX
NIKKEI 225 14,224.12 -45.49 -0.32%
HANG SENG 25,483.19 -259.04 -1.01%
S&P/ASX 200 INDEX 5,920.40-29.00 -0.49%

 

[Corvette]

G fund 12.45 up .01
F fund 12.21 up .02
C fund 16.22 up .02
S fund 19.60 down .04
I fund 24.66 pass :blink:

FV for Tuesday (previous) = +$0.00

 

[Corvette]

Nikkei down 0.77% :worried:
AORD down 0.66% :worried:

FV for Tuesday (previous) = +$0.00

 

[HAILSTORM]

DJ EURO STOXX 50 € Pr -1.01%
FTSE 100 -1.17%
CAC 40 -1.17%
DAX -0.83%
AMSTERDAM -0.95%
STOCKHOLM -1.41%
SWISS MARKET -1.46%
NIKKEI 225 -0.77%
HANG SENG -2.23%
S&P/ASX 200 -0.69%


Nothing but RED...:worried: