Guess the Dow Contest 2016

[MrBowl]

18,353

 

[quabit]

18728

 

[tsptalk]

Reminder that the deadline to enter a guess is today at the market close.

Thanks!

 

[guppie]

Think I should change my guess? anyone anyone?

 

[Wiff007]

19278

 

[crosslance]

18212

 

[Lindoug]

19053

 

[hopiowa]

16969

 

[Tsunami]

Kyle Bass just said he expects the market to finish 10-20% down this year. I think we'll hit the -20% area at a bottom in October, but for the year-end close I'll go with the optimistic -10% value... 15683

Edit - Oops, someone else already took that exact number....well, I'll do like on the Price is Right and go with 15684 and won't even apologize LOL.

 

[FireWeatherMet]

19,000 (although I think we'll see some of those low number guesses in the next few months...before a latter half rally...similar to 2009).

 

[burrocrat]

17260.

that is quite a spread among guesses, from -29.52% to +15.89%. tsptalkers are altogether a smart bunch so i am going with the average of all guesses, -1.83%.

 

[tsptalk]

Good call burro. The Wisdom of Crowds.

 

[tsptalk]

The contest is closed. See you at the end of December 2016!

 

[tsptalk]

Totals:

[TABLE="width: 179"]
[TR]
[TD]Member[/TD]
[TD]Guess[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]pamkk[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20735[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ATCJeff[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20561[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]userque[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20220[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]nnuut[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Frixxx[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19841[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]uscfanhawaii[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19444[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]James48843[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19295[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]wiff007[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19278[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]weatherweenie[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19238[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Dinicti[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]lindoug[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19053[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Fireweathermet[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19000[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]anthony[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18906[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]gegor[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18819[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]quabit[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18728[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ABQTurtle[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18699[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Tinslinger[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18622[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]mrBowl[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18353[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Maricar19[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18275[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]OBGibby[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18213[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]crosslance[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18212[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Daze823[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18169[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]jonfresno[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18101[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]guppie[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18011[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]eccougar[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17635[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Mathion[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17377[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]burrocrat[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17260[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]NavyEng[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17200[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]peterson82[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17025[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]sjcook23[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17023[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]hopiowa[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16969[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]CrgButcher[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16694[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Tsunami[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15684[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]ripper[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15683[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]felixthecat[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15505[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]FogSailing[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15500[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Skorcher[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14790[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Minnow[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14573[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]MrJohnRoss[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14378[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]alevin[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13830[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]RealMoneyIssues[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13186[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Intrepid_Timer[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12927[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]DeamboatAnnie[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12799[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]pjsstuff71[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12391[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[uscfanhawaii]

Contest getting real interesting with the recent DOW pullback!
19800 something today....(frixxx !?! )

 

[tsptalk]

2016 Dow final closing price: 19,763


We have a winner!

19,841

Nice job, Frixxxx! PM me your prize choice and shipping info.

Choose prize from the TSP Talk prize list.

 

[Buster]

Nice call Frixxx..Congrats

 

[evilanne]

Congrats! Can you give us any insight to how you made your prediction?

 

[uscfanhawaii]

2016 Dow final closing price: 19,763


We have a winner!



Nice job, Frixxxx! PM me your prize choice and shipping info.

Choose prize from the TSP Talk prize list.

Hey...I thought it was closest without going OVER!!
Just kidding, nice job Frixxxx!

And Good Luck for 2017!! arty:

 

[Minnow]

Congrats Frixxxx!!!

.... two-time winner?