Guess the Dow Contest 2016

[ripper]

15,683

 

[alevin]

13830

 

[Minnow]

14,573

 

[pamkk]

20,735...

 

[Skorcher]

14,790

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

13,186

 

[felixthecat]

Going over the math and assuming the bull market ended in 2015...looking back at similar bull market runs....looking at how investors are holding irrationally even when the door is striking them on the way out....and taking into account world assessment...and wishing on a twinkle star...I guess the Dow finishes at the end of December 2016 at



15505

I would have picked another number that was really the average but someone took it already (ripper)...yeah ripper...I know where you got that number!!

Let's get started with the 2016 Guess the Dow Contest.

The final number for 2014 was 17,582. Guess what the closing price of the Dow will be on Friday, December 30, 2016.


We will accept your guesses and revisions until COB on Friday January 8, 2016.

Guesses should be in whole dollar amounts - no cents. Do not duplicate a pick already taken.

The winner will get a choice from the TSP Talk prize list.

Good luck!

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Here is the winner of the 2015 Contest...

 

[jonfresno]

18,101

Good start today towards that number, eh?

 

[peterson82]

17025

 

[sjcook23]

17023

 

[daze823]

18169

 

[CrgButcher]

16,694

 

[anthony]

18,906

 

[MrJohnRoss]

14,378, which is the 50% Fib retracement level from the Oct 2011 low to the May 2015 high. It's highly unlikely that's where we'll end on Dec 31, but that might be a good place to pick as a possible bottom for the year.

 

[eccougar]

17635

 

[guppie]

18011 bad year with a huge recovery after the election. (mostly people celebrating because 2 years worth of campaign adds will finally end)

 

[ABQTurtle]

18699

 

[Frixxxx]

19,841

 

[Mathion]

17,377

 

[pjsstuff71]

12391......