GDPNow GDP Estimates

[tsptalk]

Fourth Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On January 14, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.3 percent, up from 5.1 percent on January 9.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

www.atlantafed.org

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On January 21, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 5.4 percent, up from 5.3 percent on January 14.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

www.atlantafed.org

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On January 29, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 4.2 percent, down from 5.4 percent on January 26.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

www.atlantafed.org

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On February 10, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.7 percent, down from 4.2 percent on February 2.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

www.atlantafed.org

 

[James48843]

Fourth Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On February 10, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.7 percent, down from 4.2 percent on February 2.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

www.atlantafed.org

So 5.4 revised down to 4.2, revised down to 3.7.

All in a matter of about a week worth of data about a full quarter.

Hmmmmmmm.

 

[tsptalk]

So 5.4 revised down to 4.2, revised down to 3.7.

All in a matter of about a week worth of data about a full quarter.

On January 5, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 2.7 percent, down from 3.0 percent on December 23.

And in early January it was 2.7%, so what the heck are they seeing? It's a yoyo.

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On February 18, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 is 3.6 percent, down from 3.7 percent on February 10.

GDPNow

GDPNow forecasting model provides a "nowcast" of the official estimate prior to its release by estimating GDP growth using a methodology similar to the one used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

www.atlantafed.org