GDPNow GDP Estimates

[tsptalk]

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down

On September 9, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 1.3 percent, down from 1.4 percent on September 7.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On September 15, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 0.5 percent, down from 1.3 percent on September 9. View GDPNow for more details.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down

On September 20, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 0.3 percent, down from 0.5 percent on September 15.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On October 5, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 2.7 percent, up from 2.3 percent on October 3.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Ticks Up

On October 7, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 2.9 percent, up from 2.7 percent on October 5.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up

On October 19, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 2.9 percent, up from 2.8 percent on October 14.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[FireWeatherMet]

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Up

On October 19, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 2.9 percent, up from 2.8 percent on October 14.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

So much for the FED being able to knock down the economy.

 

[nnuut]

Yep!

 

[tsptalk]

So much for the FED being able to knock down the economy.

And again...

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Ticks Up

On October 26, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2022 is 3.1 percent, up from 2.9 percent on October 19. View GDPNow for more details.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Initial Estimate of Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Is 3.1 Percent

On October 28, the initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 3.1 percent.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[Bullitt]

So what's the explanation here? Good news is bad news because higher rates are coming? Or everyone knows those GDP numbers are nonsense and will be revised lower when nobody is looking?

Remember when the experts kept saying the consumer is flush with cash and savings rates are at all time highs? That savings is gone now, and credit is replacing the void. Savings levels are back to 2014 levels and revolving credit has well surpassed pre-pandemic levels.

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On November 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 2.6 percent, down from 3.1 percent on October 28.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

... and up again...


Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On November 3, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 3.6 percent, up from 2.6 percent on November 1.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On November 9, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 4.0 percent, up from 3.6 percent on November 3.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On November 16, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 4.4 percent, up from 4.0 percent on November 9.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down

On November 17, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 4.2 percent, down from 4.4 percent on November 16.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On December 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 2.8 percent, down from 4.3 percent on November 23.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[retread]

That seems like a big drop maybe?

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On December 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 2.8 percent, down from 4.3 percent on November 23.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Good for the economy - bad for Fed trying to kill inflation...


Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On December 6, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 3.4 percent, up from 2.8 percent on December 1.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

 

[tsptalk]

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Inches Down

On December 9, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2022 is 3.2 percent, down from 3.4 percent on December 6.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx