Frorule's Account Talk

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Hey all! Well, I am joining the Autotracking party. Better late than never. I am starting 2010 in the G fund. The smart $ says a dip is coming...sooner than later. We'll see.
 
Buying on weakness. Going 100% C today. The strength in the dollar concerns me, but my 2 techniques are both on buy signals today. Will probably sell next Monday...because aren't all Mondays huge up days? :p
 
Frorule said:
Buying on weakness. Going 100% C today. The strength in the dollar concerns me, but my 2 techniques are both on buy signals today. Will probably sell next Monday...because aren't all Mondays huge up days? :p
Click to expand...

Actually Mondays on average lost money. There where more down days than up. It will take me awhile but I will put the numbers together.
 
I'm not following ya. Perhaps if you go all the way back to March it may be a different story, but since the beginning of November, 11 out of 12 Mondays have been positive!

(5 out of 5 in Nov)
(3 out of 4 in Dec)
(3 out of 3 in Jan.. although I'm counting this past Tuesday as a Monday)

I would love to see the numbers to back up your claim.
 
Frorule said:
I'm not following ya. Perhaps if you go all the way back to March it may be a different story, but since the beginning of November, 11 out of 12 Mondays have been positive!

(5 out of 5 in Nov)
(3 out of 4 in Dec)
(3 out of 3 in Jan.. although I'm counting this past Tuesday as a Monday)

I would love to see the numbers to back up your claim.
Click to expand...

Did a quick eyeball survey. I must have had my eyes crossed. I was going to E-mail my info home for posting this evening and forgot to attach the info. DUH!! Anyway you are correct. I will post the information tomorrow. As I recall Mondays where not very profitable but did end up on the positive side.
 
Frorule said:
Buying on weakness. Going 100% C today. The strength in the dollar concerns me, but my 2 techniques are both on buy signals today. Will probably sell next Monday...because aren't all Mondays huge up days? :p
Click to expand...

Your insights are greatly appreciated !!

I'm looking for 'fresh blood' -- 'fresh ideas'

Weakness is always good to go in on ;) and will likely hang on a little longer.

Going 100% is a very confident move -- shows actions are every bit as loud as the words !! So far you're doing Great !

Going with the S&P 500 -- is showing you are investing (not in some trivial shoot in the dark company that can fly or fail) -- but you are going with the most Solid of the SOLID -- the Stable Companies that are entitled to be in the S&P.

Dollar will wax and wane -- it's cool :cheesy:

Well thank you for sharing the 2 Techiques ... You got me on board.
 
Frorule said:
11 out of 12 Mondays have been positive!
Click to expand...

nasa1974 said:
As I recall Mondays where not very profitable.
Click to expand...

There are only 2 Solid things that make 'Monday' Special.

First -- The Mamas and the Papas -- Monday Monday
Second -- 'Just another Manic Monday'


Anything related to the Markets is just Hype -- :rolleyes::laugh:

Probably be better to come up with ... did you know every full moon that occurs on a Friday .... still is probably coincidental :)


Later man -- keep your stuff coming -- so far so good
 
@ nasa: Look forward to your data.

@ Steadygain: Thanks for the warm welcome. 1 of my 2 techniques is showing a sell on Friday, and the other one I won't know until the day it happens. The reason for the C fund is to hedge my bets against a possibly rallying dollar, which would kill the I. And I usually love the S, but I feel the January effect is waning. So, 100% C it is. This will be a nimble move, I hope. I am generally bearish right now, so the less risk the better right now. I will keep ya posted! :)

Tomorrow should be a big up day. But what do i know...
 
Frorule said:
Steadygain: Thanks for the warm welcome. 1 of my 2 techniques is showing a sell on Friday, and the other one I won't know until the day it happens. The reason for the C fund is to hedge my bets against a possibly rallying dollar, which would kill the I. And I usually love the S, but I feel the January effect is waning. So, 100% C it is. This will be a nimble move, I hope. I am generally bearish right now, so the less risk the better right now. I will keep ya posted! :)

Tomorrow should be a big up day. But what do i know...
Click to expand...

Thanks !!! It all sounds very solid.

Since the PLAN at this point is to 'buy' on a weak day like today...

...and make a quick 'sell' after a day or two of big gains...:D:D


I would suggest openly making the comment:
'And that's the way to do it Suckers'

That would add a lot of style to your game plan and as your investments just keep building on one another -- will all the more make you stand out as a Mega King

None of us will be offended by those kind of comments either; instead we will all be in awe at how easy you make it look. ;)

I honestly hope tommow it one of the Biggest Days we've had in the past month or more.

GL - and thanks
 
OK! After retiving my data and admitting that I erred on Monday's being a good trading day. If you where in the market only on Monday's here is the yearly return:
G fund 15 cents
F fund 41 cents
C fund 48 cents
S fund 34 cents
I fund 22 cents

Atached is all the Monday's of 2009. It is in an Excel spreadsheet.
 
Cool, thanks a lot for the data. I wonder how it's been since March 9. I'll check it out.

As for today, well, today just sucks. I see SPY almost nailed the 50 day moving average by .05 of a point. Hopefully, it's up from here.

Good luck longs.
 
Going to 50 C & 50 F from 100% C. Mercy rule.... Probably indicates capitulation on my part which means we'll rally from here. Hence, the 50% C.
 
This isn't necessarily TSP related, but more for my personal trading account...

As an FYI to anyone that's listening, I'm getting a "buy" signal today, effective at the close. The signal will hold as long as the $SPX remains below about 1176 today. Any higher and the previous signal prevails... which was to short at the close yesterday.

I've started a blog to post my system's signals if anyone cares. Thanks!
 
The POMO (QE2) train is leaving the station. I'm getting in while the getting is cheap. 100% S. Anyone reading this should probably consider staying in the G fund as a contrarian play. Finally, here's another plug for my swing trading signals. www.buysellmodel.com

Have a good weekend all!
 
Well, that worked out well, wouldn't you say? Told you all to stay in G. :)

Any rally attempt this week and I'm outta here! 1195ish should be strong resistance. That's my target.
 
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