FAB1 Account Talk

[FAB1]

That S-Fund loss stung, it's under performed over the past 2 days, I've decided to jump into the C-Fund, hopefully that decision won't bite me in the azz...

Wellllll pardner I iz stuck on this horse until the spring thaw so Ima hoping the DWCPF & EFA still have enough appeal to chug along aside your C-fund to that SPX 2167 in Sky.

yeap I saw yore XXXX's & OOOO's chart. Yee Haw!

 

[FAB1]

I'll be happy enough to glean any small gains in my PROTECTION MODE IFT - Looks like it woulda been NICE to be 50-50 S and I fund today....so far.

But I think the gains will hold today - on a new plateau next week!.

 

[FAB1]

[h=2]iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA)[/h] -NYSEArca

(2.40%)

WOW this is YUGE!!


even with 25% of this, its significant coinage!

 

[FAB1]

Nothing much to say. I just hate not to be on Page One.

 

[FAB1]

Well.. heres something to chew on.

$TRAN is in its 9th UP week and quickly approaching it's weekly 50 MA

Should it break that resistance and that become support - that would be a good sign it is getting out of the bear market
and may lead stocks up to new highs.

If it fails at the 50 day... ?

 

[FAB1]

Very Similar situation with the $SPX but 5 UP weeks hitting the weekly 50 day now.

The weekly charts are interesting, they show some indexes that could technically see (short term?) hindrance
and if so the F fund is positioned to climb with little resistance other than at 110.30

 

[BooDog]

AGG gapped today, found that interesting. Wondering if it will see down pressure tomorrow. $TRAN has been kickin as you mentioned and many of the indices look to have some running room. Just a WAG.

 

[JTH]

I would be remiss if I didn't mention that week 10's AGG has a 75% winning ratio, which is 21.17% above the weekly 12-year baseline average.

 

[FAB1]

There is so much bullishness at the moment the question in my mind is are
more people going to jump on the bandwagon and send our funds even higher before the end of the month or
will we have some (global?) catalyst rear its head and cause fear to prevail aborting the rally, or at least postponing
the trend of the last several weeks.

A lot of UP weeks beneath us now - odds are getting slimmer for the "rocket ride" to continue, at least on a daily basis so with 9 trading days left in March I am considering moving into ultra protection mode, giving the F my greatest investment allocation until April. If there is a short term trend change that could help me save recent gains, maybe continue to make a little more.

 

[FAB1]

Possible "spinning top" forming in the $VIX today? There was a $VIX S.P. on Nov 3rd before a short term slump (Nov. 4-16) in the SPX.

 

[FAB1]

FWIW: DHY Hi-yield bond hitting its weekly 50 day EMA, with the 200 day just above that (near 2.27)

 

[FAB1]

Weekly Chart _ EFA (I fund) approaching possible resistance @ 200ema near 58

There is possible strong resistance for $DWCPF near 1006 - weekly 200ema and a line (connecting peaks
in June 22 and Nov 30) coming down in the same location.

I am being a downer today?? Sorry, Enjoy YOUR Weekend regardless! (I will)

 

[JTH]

There is so much bullishness at the moment the question in my mind is are
more people going to jump on the bandwagon and send our funds even higher before the end of the month or
will we have some (global?) catalyst rear its head and cause fear to prevail aborting the rally, or at least postponing
the trend of the last several weeks.

A lot of UP weeks beneath us now - odds are getting slimmer for the "rocket ride" to continue, at least on a daily basis so with 9 trading days left in March I am considering moving into ultra protection mode, giving the F my greatest investment allocation until April. If there is a short term trend change that could help me save recent gains, maybe continue to make a little more.

Would it help if I told you April is the best month of the year over the past 40 years?

2nd best winning ratio
6th best average positive gains
1st best average gains
2nd best negative average gains

 

[FAB1]

For the rest of March JTH, I am determined to go with my gut. lol.

For a while I am skeptical of stocks PLUS I still want to stay over the G fund (and hopefully beat the C fund) and the ONLY way that is going to happen is for the market to stall / fall a bit next week - that's the gamble I am willing to take!

So, I must say adieu, parting is such sweet sorrow and all that jazz.

Hopefully, April Fool Day won't be the best of April. ; )

 

[FAB1]

Maintaining my Mar. goal of beating the G & C funds.

Looks like the S & I could not break the above-mentioned resistance to challenge their 200 emas

The F fund, (has it managed to meet JTH's projected levels for the week?) has still been pretty good to me
keeping my head above water.

Maybe Stocks will consolidate until I get some buying power in April??

#155 on the Tracker

 

[FAB1]

Slightly up (#153) due to the virtue of others going the opposite direction.

que sera sera.

 

[FAB1]

Asia mixed, EU sharp losses, Oil below $40 bbl again,

Yeah its a good day for the US Stock Market to be Closed

and to fill up yer gas tank.

^___^

 

[FAB1]

Oil and Transports falling this morning. Maybe the F fund can get a little boost today?

 

[FAB1]

Yes, a little boost. Keeping me over the C & G on target with my meager goals for March.

#157 on tracker

 

[FAB1]

I spyed with my little eye that FAB1 has posted 3000 posts!

and now they call me Mr. Universe....or something. :blink: