F fund

[clester]

The F fund is now very overbought. The RSI is over 70 which usually indicates a pull back but 80 almost always does.

I may stay in till we go below 70 on the way down or top 80. I only have one more move for the month.

10 year at 2% would be absolute low IMO

 

[Boghie]

Clester,

I hear you. The 'F Fund' seems very bubbly. But, where else can one go.

I just took a 5.5% dump.

Backed off to a conservative holding for my situation. That includes a 26% 'F Fund' allocation. Ouch...

 

[clester]

When this is over F will go down and stocks will go up. So, I plan on rotating at that time. G fund is ok except returns are around 2.5% a year right now. At least it's safe.

 

[SteelSaving]

The AGG goes up yesterday and the F fund goes down.

Why can't TSP just give us something to follow?

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

The AGG goes up yesterday and the F fund goes down.

Why can't TSP just give us something to follow?

You may want to try BND. It seems to be a bit more in tune with our F fund.

 

[jpcavin]

The AGG goes up yesterday and the F fund goes down.

Why can't TSP just give us something to follow?

It's called FV

 

[burrocrat]

With the G fund returning 2.5 and inflation at only 3.5, then that's like 99% safe right?

It's the 1% that'll get you.

 

[clester]

The g fund is supposed to give a return a little above inflation.

Fund Objective

The G Fund's investment objective is to produce a rate of return that is higher than inflation while avoiding exposure to credit (default) risk and market price fluctuations.

 

[clester]

You may want to try BND. It seems to be a bit more in tune with our F fund.

I look at the average of 10 year and 30 yields to estimate and sometimes agg. It makes it a little hard for technical analysis but you can use agg to get the general idea.

 

[clester]

I believe we will be up about .8% today if things hold up. I get that from looking at 10 and 30 year yields. Let's see if that is a good estimate. $tnx is down .7 and $TYx is down .9

 

[clester]

I believe we will be up about .8% today if things hold up. I get that from looking at 10 and 30 year yields. Let's see if that is a good estimate. $tnx is down .7 and $TYx is down .9

Copied this from an earlier post.
350Z's F fund calculator:

TNX = 10 yr yield
TYX = 30 yr yield

Use the change in yields

(TNX+TYX)*.25 = F fund change in %

-(-.71+(-.98))*.25 = +.42%

Agg shows .21%

 

[clester]

Copied this from an earlier post.
350Z's F fund calculator:

TNX = 10 yr yield
TYX = 30 yr yield

Use the change in yields

(TNX+TYX)*.25 = F fund change in %

-(-.71+(-.98))*.25 = +.42%

Agg shows .21%

Guess that didn't work. Actual .27
Bnd shows .30

 

[jpcavin]

Copied this from an earlier post.
350Z's F fund calculator:

TNX = 10 yr yield
TYX = 30 yr yield

Use the change in yields

(TNX+TYX)*.25 = F fund change in %

-(-.71+(-.98))*.25 = +.42%

Agg shows .21%

Either way it all = we got screwed

 

[JTH]

Guess that didn't work. Actual .27
Bnd shows .30

Yes you'd think after all this time the folks at TSP could give us their magicly delicious formula, I've come across the excel file that breaks each holding down I think it changes every month.

 

[clester]

"Their always after me lucky charms"

 

[clester]

10 year yield dropping again today( 2.10%). It could be a new low for this trend. The low was 2.03% in dec. 2009.

I think we need to retest.

AGG may break out to new high today. We shall see if it holds up.

 

[clester]

10 year yield dropping again today( 2.10%). It could be a new low for this trend. The low was 2.03% in dec. 2009.

I think we need to retest.

AGG may break out to new high today. We shall see if it holds up.

2.08% now.

Several traders on TV say that we may see under 2% today. Wow!

What is going on? Seems like some outside entity is trying to take down the markets. Maybe some sort of terrorist organization that has lots of money? Don't know but something is not right.

 

[clester]

2.08% now.

Several traders on TV say that we may see under 2% today. Wow!

What is going on? Seems like some outside entity is trying to take down the markets. Maybe some sort of terrorist organization that has lots of money? Don't know but something is not right.

2.04%

Thinking of selling today with this huge pop in treasuries. Still looking for 1050 ish in s&p so we may still have room to run in bonds. G fund will return almost nothing with rates this low unless they keep it above inflation which just jumped up in CPI .

 

[clester]

2.04%

Thinking of selling today with this huge pop in treasuries. Still looking for 1050 ish in s&p so we may still have room to run in bonds. G fund will return almost nothing with rates this low unless they keep it above inflation which just jumped up in CPI .

2.03% which is below the low of 2009 of 2.05%

 

[clester]

Low since 1890 was 1.95% in 1941! We are not far from there. Now at 2.03%