F Fund where will it go ?

[Braveheart]

I was in the F Fund and switched to the G Fund hoping for the 1 Cent Payday. Following the charts F Fund peaked at $12.23 then fell off and I thought it was going to pay more than 3 Cents yesterday to $12.18 with the markets going crazy I just unloaded to 100 % G Fund. Might be a bad move but nothing to worry about now. :nuts::nuts::nuts:

Does anyone have any predictions for the F Fund in the future or did I get out in time before it drops off?

 

[Fivetears]

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=148060&postcount=794

 

[Brett]

I’m no expert, but I have been around long enough to remember when the F-fund was pretty hot when the interest rates were making a steady drop several years back. That said, I have put half my money in each of G and F. I expect the F fund to go up a little more, but the FED is just about out of “bullets”. At that point I will be getting out, perhaps going 100% G. Just my 2¢.

 

[weatherweenie]

AGG -0.23% so far today.

 

[Fivetears]

AGG not a good gauge.
http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=145102&postcount=429

 

[airlift]

Vanguard`s VBMFX is good, but only as to end-of-day data.

 

[Braveheart]

Well the F Fund took a hit today. Something to keep a close watch on now. Down to $12.10 today.

 

[smine]

Well the F Fund took a hit today. Something to keep a close watch on now. Down to $12.10 today.

Foolishly jumped in 50% at $12.16. Now want out; any idea what it will close at tonight?

 

[nnuut]

Foolishly jumped in 50% at $12.16. Now want out; any idea what it will close at tonight?

Right now I get a little over +2 cents.

 

[smine]

Right now I get a little over +2 cents.

Have 10 minutes to "think."
Out/Stay that's the question! LOL.

 

[poolman]

O.K. I'm finally trying to figure this out. Yes it takes homework and No it's not easy.

I'm using 350Z formula.

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=145102&postcount=429


I think you have to first take the open price and subtract the current or last price everytime you try to work your estimate for the $TNX and the $TYX then work the number's the way 350Z show's.

I came up with currently

.0172 or a +.02 on the F - Fund.

 

[350zCommTech]

O.K. I'm finally trying to figure this out. Yes it takes homework and No it's not easy.

I'm using 350Z formula.

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/showpost.php?p=145102&postcount=429


I think you have to first take the open price and subtract the current or last price everytime you try to work your estimate for the $TNX and the $TYX then work the number's the way 350Z show's.

I came up with currently

.0172 or a +.02 on the F - Fund.

If you use Stockcharts.com, you don't have to do that. Just use the change in yields.

I have the F fund up 3 cents at the moment.

 

[poolman]

O.K. Bear with me please. Checking. If I get this right I'll post it more.

Thanks. be back.

 

[poolman]

If you use Stockcharts.com, you don't have to do that. Just use the change in yields.

I have the F fund up 3 cents at the moment.

O.K. By using the change field in both tnx and tyx I got

-(-.065 + -0.46) * .25 = .02775 or 3 cent's.

Am I correct 350Z ?

 

[350zCommTech]

O.K. By using the change field in both tnx and tyx I got

-(-.065 + -0.46) * .25 = .02775 or 3 cent's.

Am I correct 350Z ?

Perfect!

 

[poolman]

Perfect!

Thank You very much 350Z...

I'm making notes currently and will help post this number. Remember people I've got three more weeks vacation and I'm not going to be around during the day.

You people that want to know F - Fund estimates need to figure it out too.

I'm not even going to try the I - Fund now.

Thanks Again, 350Z

 

[poolman]

Update:

(-.86 + -.64) / 10 * .25 = .0375 or up 4 cents.

 

[poolman]

.03575 = .4 cent's on F - Fund today.

 

[logdoc]

I was in the F Fund and switched to the G Fund hoping for the 1 Cent Payday. Following the charts F Fund peaked at $12.23 then fell off and I thought it was going to pay more than 3 Cents yesterday to $12.18 with the markets going crazy I just unloaded to 100 % G Fund. Might be a bad move but nothing to worry about now. :nuts::nuts::nuts:

Does anyone have any predictions for the F Fund in the future or did I get out in time before it drops off?

Predictions are tough but look back at the F fund during the period of 2000-2002, and then again 1990-1993 during recessions and when the Fed was cutting interest rates and the F fund did very well, often greater than what you'd anticipate would the C fund will this year. So if you think that the Fed may cut rates again and we are in a recession tipping point, and you have some patience and are willing to take a little risk, then I'm anticipating that the F fund will do ok this year (some thing in the range of 5-7%) which will be better than the G fund which may not out pace inflation.
At least that is my bet.

 

[poolman]

.03575 = .4 cent's on F - Fund today.

O.K.

Then how my calculation was off by .01 cent. I will research this in coming day's to figure out what is going on.

Sorry. I said f - fund was up .04 cent's but came out at .03 cent's.