Exnavyew's Account Talk

[exnavyew]

Note last year's S-Fund in mid-Dec 2014 spike up around Dec 16 (seasonality bias?).
[see stockcharts.com - it won't let me copy graph]
Will history repeat itself?
Looks similar to this month so far. Might hold my nose and jump in soon and hope Santa is nice. :smile:

 

[exnavyew]

How cheerful. A 'message' to the Fed perhaps?

JPMorgan: Fed could trigger 'massive stop loss order' in the S&P 500 if liftoff goes awry
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-fed-could-trigger-massive-192321466.html

 

[exnavyew]

Wall Street veterans say rate-hike past is not prologue for markets - Yahoo Finance

"Donald Kohn, who worked within the Federal Reserve system for 40 years, said investors can learn from the steep 1994 rate hike cycle that the pace of rate increases matters more than the initial move."

 

[exnavyew]

I may have goofed. I had intended to commit only a portion to equities prior to the rate hike, see what happens and go from there. But...I went with 'total committment'. May the stock market gods be merciful!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7PmMIMW5HJY

 

[exnavyew]

Hope Santa is stronger than the FED. :smile:

 

[exnavyew]

So far so good! Now play nice Janet and don't spook the market. It's an easily frightened creature of late and ya never know which way it's gonna jump.
Dear Santa, I would like a strong rally this Christmas season...and of course peace on earth and all that other stuff too. :wink:

 

[exnavyew]

Never heard this expression before.
Rip away!

Stocks ready for 'rip your face off' rally: Saut
Stocks ready for 'rip your face off' rally: Saut - Yahoo Finance

 

[exnavyew]

Never heard this expression before.
Rip away!

Stocks ready for 'rip your face off' rally: Saut
Stocks ready for 'rip your face off' rally: Saut - Yahoo Finance

Currently Nikkei is up 2.5%...is the 'ripping' commencing? Be nice Janet!
Good luck all!!!

 

[exnavyew]

Never heard this expression before.
Rip away!

Stocks ready for 'rip your face off' rally: Saut
Stocks ready for 'rip your face off' rally: Saut - Yahoo Finance

Nice call or lucky, I'll take it either way!

So far so good, may be some give back tomo but will stay in til Xmas and then I MAY 'lock-in' any gains before the 1st cuz I read somewhere that the last 3 years the market ended down.
Good luck to all!!!

 

[exnavyew]

 

[exnavyew]

This ‘smart money’ indicator nailed the dot-com bust, and it’s even more bearish now

Is it time to...'Be afraid, be very afraid'?

This

 

[exnavyew]

More blood Thursday?
http://www.cnbc.com/pre-markets/

 

[exnavyew]

If the S-fund is down 2% before noon...I'm ALL IN. :smile:
(Hope the knife is dull!)

European stocks sharply lower, DAX below 10,000 for first time since mid Oct
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/01/07/europe-seen-lower-china-shares-suspended.html

 

[exnavyew]

COB today. 75%C - 25%S.
Even if it drops more next week moderate/long term it seems like a good entry point.
Unless we're truly in a 'for real' bear market...gulp!
I-fund is near multi-year lows, worth keeping an eye on.
My brother has worked for Timken Steel (TMST) for 20 years and stock has plummeted
over the last year.
They're a well managed company over a hundred years old. Don't think they're gonna
go out of business so gonna pick up some TMST as well.
Good Luck everyone and have a great weekend!!! :smile:

 

[exnavyew]

"In another chart he posted on Monday, he pointed out the fact that, amid the declines, mega-cap stocks are crushing micro-caps lately, and that’s usually a sign that institutional dollars are flowing into the relatively safer corner of the market. It fits his bearish thesis."

[h=1]An ‘extremely normal and realistic’ 26% drop on the S&P 500 is taking shape
An[/h]

 

[exnavyew]

I hope so! :1244:

A bear market in stocks will be over before you know it - MarketWatch

 

[exnavyew]

Say it ain't so Joe.



Woeful earnings threaten to intensify stock-market bloodbath - MarketWatch

 

[exnavyew]

S-fund is sure taking a pounding. Buying opportunity or knife catching risk? :suspicious:

 

[pmaloney]

looking grim for small stocks.

5 charts showing how defensive investors are right now - Yahoo Finance#

 

[exnavyew]

With all the carnage in January I'm curious why the F-fund isn't doing better than it is. People just plain pulling their money out of the market altogether short term? Thoughts anyone? :blink: