Drifting Lower

Friday's action didn't change the short term picture very much. I suppose the good news is that the market closed well off its lows. I suspect the dip buyers may have been loading up in anticipation of another big Monday rally. Perhaps, but this coming week has the potential to move the market one way or another as the week ends on Black Friday. I'm expecting volatile action, and the following Monday could be a big trading day too, as the retail results of Black Friday won't be fully known until well after the market closes.

It should be an interesting week. Here's Friday's charts:

$NAMO.jpg

No major changes here. All four are on sells.

$TRIN.jpg

These three are still on a sell too, but BPCOMPQ continues to trend downward. That could be telling us something, but it hasn't dropped enough to get me overly concerned at this point.

Allocation by fund ~ 2009 Chart 1.jpg
Total Cash-Stock Exp ~ 2009 Chart 1.jpg

Not much change with our top 25%. The chart indicates how they are positioned for Monday's action.

So the Seven Sentinels system remains on a sell with none of the signals flashing a buy. I'm holding 100% cash right now until at least the
1st of December. See you Monday.
 
Birchtree;bt783 said:
Surf is up all week for some good gains especially with the data releases.

I'm looking for a downward bias leading up to Thanksgiving and then possibly a low volume rally on Friday (a shortened trading too).

But come Monday...I'm not so sure. I'm leaning bearish, but not looking for things to fall apart.
 
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