DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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Here are Weekly charts for last week and going back more than a year to mull over before market opens. The futures indicate today will be another bloodbath...:(

Weekly DWCPF.png


Weekly SPX.png


Weekly I Fund.png
 
so.. being out of the marker through Obama I left probably 750k on the table. 40% in now im getting the "pandemic special" applied once again now that the shut down policies are coming home to roost. nice rollover of retirement money back to the oligarchy.
 
I too am feeling the pain. Insanity kicks in due to war talk. Maybe...just maybe Wednesday Fed meeting may give us something positive.
Huge gap down today and I am going to see what happens tomorrow. The bloodletting continues...


S FUND - DWCPF DAILY.png



C FUND - SPX DAILY.png



I FUND - EFA DAILY.png
 
joblin20 said:
I am wanting to jump in, however like you said, its almost impossible to play this when the afternoon selling kicks into a higher gear. I played around with some indicators, however they only work if we have stabilization. Right now there is none.
Click to expand...

The afternoon move is 'smart money'. Dumb money is the morning move.

Bro, this turd has turned over and is now a brown submarine.

Look at bonds, they are dumping too...

Flush it down, flush it down.


Don't be dumb money. Just watch the dailies, weeklies, and maybe even the month. Let things level off. Don't necessarily be all out because then you will miss on the early part of the rebound - which is often the best gains attainable in a recovery. Keep some in. But to speculate on when a falling knife will stop falling just leads to deep cuts.
 
Hi Whipsaw, candle forming a long tail which is good. But how does it close? That will be the tell. And most definitely it can go lower.

But I do believe this morning's action is an overdone kneejerk reaction to talk of war and Biden planning to meet with NATO leaders this afternoon. Market dropped a lot as soon as the meeting was announced. So I must wait longer to find the damn door! Hoping it calms a bit tomorrow...but who knows...

As for the meeting, I think it will be a bunch of hot air and nothing meaningful to make Putin even blink. What does he have to fear? Nothing! Come and take it baby...it's free! I suspect Putin's action will now be sooner rather than later and that is when the rest of the market shoe will drop. No US or NATO tanks or weaponry going to Ukraine...it's all show.

C fund broke through the 200 MA yesterday.

C FUND - SPX DAILY.png
 
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Hmmmmm . . . . . Was this a potential bottom, or just a reversal from the typical news knee-jerk over reaction at the open this morning??? :boggled:

Capture2.PNG
 
Hi Epic, Maybe a little of both...Looks like "smart" money stepping in to take advantage of the knee-jerk panic this morning, or so I believe. Bargain basement prices on some stocks!

They do have advantage of trading at any time of day, transactions placed and processed in less than a minute, no transaction limits, and making money even when it drops by "shorting" the market, etc. We can't do any of those things.

I also believe this could be a quick/short-lived dead cat bounce coming...seems the massive selling somewhat exhausted the market drop (temporarily)...maybe for another day or two??? I can't believe my hope is for the Fed to calm the market...Lol..:rolleyes:

Epic said:
Hmmmmm . . . . . Was this a potential bottom, or just a reversal from the typical news knee-jerk over reaction at the open this morning??? :boggled:

View attachment 52959
Click to expand...
 
Thank You Ravensfan! Much appreciated! I love Heart and that song! :D:D:D
It's a great video. I saw them in 2013 and again in about 2015. Sure would love to see them again...:D

I had VIP tickets in 2013 and got to meet Ann and Nancy Wilson before the show. Ann was smiling but not talking to anyone (protecting voice), but Nancy did. She was very sweet and spoke to me, my sister and my best friend, took pictures and she asked us where we had traveled from. She was surprised to know we had come up from Austin to Kansas City Missouri to see them. Lol... That was fun! Beautiful venue..small Amphitheater called the Starlight and if memory serves we were center stage, 4th or 5th row.

Here is one of my all time favorites...acoustic performance.
 
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Yes Shitepoke, looks like it....but as I recall, the market climbed after our cut off yesterday. So, it's possible today will turn around as well, but we will see. Still lots of fear. I am waiting until after Fed talk on Wednesday. No exit for me.

It is just so late to exit and yet, no idea when it will stop. The long candle tails yesterday indicate we could be at short term low, but news on Ukraine could continue affecting markets along with our regular earnings reports and such. I need to watch Ira Epstein morning flash video to get more news.

For now, I am very unhappily staying put. I only have me to blame. After entering on 1/11 and reallocating 1/12 away from S fund, I failed to quickly act on the drops that happened the next two days. Then kept hoping and ignored my 2% stop loss. I don't believe in riding it down, and yet I keep thinking it is ready to turn up at least temporarily. Awaiting a bounce...:(

Best wishes to you and everyone! :smile:
 
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Bonds (F) look like they already are factoring in the FED. I think they had already corrected before this rout. The F Fund is already down 5% from it's highs.

On the other hand, the F Fund did not seem to be getting new money as the blood was washing through the streets.

Another reason for the end day recovery could have been auto trades at the -10% mark for the S&P500 and the -20% mark for the Small Caps. We are still in that zone today. We should wait for a break down or break up before we make any calls.
 
Absolutely WorkFe. If I were out, I definitely would not be looking to jump in just yet.

But some folks are good at spotting the bottom. For example, I am "exceptional" in this area. I have pinpointed bottoms and exited perfectly, just in time to miss the bounce up and have done this several times! :blink:

So, I am not getting out this time! :.... Hummm... Unless I get hurt much more. If you see me put my tail between my legs and walk away, you should jump in immediately! Lol...:rolleyes:... I am like clockwork....
 
Thank you...Great points Boghie! It us much appreciated. I am trying to wait. ...ugh..just still quite sad and about to throw up...ugghh...not sure how much longer I can hold up, but I am trying. :sick: :puppy_dog_eyes::puke: Will listen to some more music. This too shall pass! Market is moving up now..but still in the red..
Boghie said:
Bonds (F) look like they already are factoring in the FED. I think they had already corrected before this rout. The F Fund is already down 5% from it's highs.

On the other hand, the F Fund did not seem to be getting new money as the blood was washing through the streets.

Another reason for the end day recovery could have been auto trades at the -10% mark for the S&P500 and the -20% mark for the Small Caps. We are still in that zone today. We should wait for a break down or break up before we make any calls.
Click to expand...
 
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What we DON'T want to see is a late afternoon upturn (smart money and lock step buy in at a normal correction point) that ends in a frown. That frown would be 'exhaustion'. Frownies are no bueno

We want smirks damn it, smirks and smiles :D
 
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