Dr Faustus's Account Talk

Yesterday's sell-off tells me that Tuesday's gain was more of a market blip than a rally and we should continue to expect a downward trend in stocks. Futures are pointing to a positive opening but I think it will wind up on the downside by the end of the day. Consequentially, I am watching the F-fund ...
 
Well, it looks like I'll recover from yesterdays drop.. if it becomes a wash, I'll happily take it. I followed you into the F Fund for Monday. I'll look Monday for where I'm going on Tuesday.
 
Well, it looks like I'll recover from yesterdays drop.. if it becomes a wash, I'll happily take it. I followed you into the F Fund for Monday. I'll look Monday for where I'm going on Tuesday.

I just wanted to make it clear ... I didn't go into the F fund for Monday. I said I was **watching** it ...
 
CITI in trouble.

CIT Group said it is drawing on a $7.3 billion bank line to help conduct daily operations, a move that highlights the commercial finance company's difficulty in raising cash to pay off debt.
CIT said it was using the bank line to repay debt maturing in 2008, including commercial paper, and to finance its main businesses.
Drawing on bank lines is often seen as an emergency action for companies unable to get financing elsewhere.


Look at some of the other REIGNING WALL STREET INVESTMENT BANKS:
1) Lehman Brothers is most similar to Bear Stearns in structure and exposure.

2) Merrill Lynch wrote down over $14 Billion recently and has notable problems

The FED has no limits to the MONEY they can print and supply - but the more the BAIL OUTS the more the Dollar sinks
 
Man, I just can't figure out what is going on in this market. With all of these huge days (up and down), it's like trying to surf a tsunami.
 
Hey Dan, I finally sent my letter to Gregory Long, Executive Director, FRTIB protesting the restriction and asking to be reinstated. I don't know if anyone wants to use this to help them prepare a letter, but here it is.

March 25, 2008
TO: Gregory T. Long
Executive Director, Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board
RE: Account Number: XXXXXXXXXXX

I respectfully request that you reconsider prohibiting me from making interfund transfers electronically effective March 31, 2008.

Per your letter to me dated February 2008, which I didn’t receive until February 20, 2008, you indicated that “The Board has approved a policy that would limit participants to two interfund transfers per month, with unlimited subsequent transfers to the G fund.” You further stated that you were “ concluding the normal public rulemaking process …, which includes publishing the proposed regulations in the Federal Register (and on www.tsp.gov) and evaluating the comments received. Once the final decision is made regarding the approach to be taken, we will announce it to all participants.” This tells me that you would formally announce the limited interfund transfers after the final decision is made.

I am not happy with your approach to limiting our ability to protect my retirement funds, however I decided to abide by your request even though it had not become final. I, therefore, made no more interfund transfers from the time I received your letter until March. I kept track of my interfund transfers on the autotracker portion of a web site www.tsptalk.com. So I know when each interfund transfer was made.

Those records indicate that I was in the G fund on February 1, 2008. I made an interfund transfer effective February 13, and another one effective February 14. The last interfund transfer I made for February was into the G fund effective February 15, 2008. I did request an interfund transfer on February 29…effective March 1st, 2008. But that transfer did NOT take place and was NOT effective UNTIL March 1st.

I received a subsequent letter from you dated March 13, 2008 erroneously indicating that I exceeded the three IFT limit in February, and that I would be prohibited from making IFTs electronically after March 31, 2008. As you can see, I only made two IFTs in February, and a last one going to the G fund as permitted. I followed your instructions even though I was opposed to them and, in my interpretation of your letter, they were not in effect until a final decision was made and it was announced to all participants.

I am retired, with no ability to increase my TSP funds. The only way I have to ensure my retirement savings are working for me is by having control of that resource…to direct and redirect those valued funds. This restriction will result in a tremendous burden on me, and keep me from effectively managing my retirement resources. So, please consider the facts as stated and reinstate my ability to electronically transfer my Thrift Saving account to give me the ability to preserve my retirement funds.
Sincerely,
Craig R. Huss
 
Hey Dan, I finally sent my letter to Gregory Long, Executive Director, FRTIB protesting the restriction and asking to be reinstated. I don't know if anyone wants to use this to help them prepare a letter, but here it is.

I like it Craig! **Do** let us know what happens with this!
 
Day of Reckoning:

Monthly return for March: 1.83%
2008 YTD Return: 1.94%

Am still sitting in the G fund but I am looking to get into something somewhere. Maybe stocks, I don't know ...
 
You're doing great Dr F! Especially considering where the economy has been. My March tally is -0.98%. For 2008 -0.95% Both negatives :( but not destroyed like some portfolios.
 
You're doing great Dr F! Especially considering where the economy has been. My March tally is -0.98%. For 2008 -0.95% Both negatives :( but not destroyed like some portfolios.

Sorry to hear about your numbers, Hal! You were my hero in Jan (or was it Feb?) ... what you did there was little short of amazing.
 
Man, I wish I had been in stocks yesterday. That run-up was little short of amazing! Am thinking of getting into the USMs today. But, I don't want to give anyone the impression that I am chasing gains ... far from it. Instead, here is what I am seeing:

View attachment 3650 View attachment 3651

The red line appears to be showing - oh, I don't know what you call it - some kind of a downside floor. I look for stocks to pull back some of their gains today, perhaps tomorrow as well. If the USMs look like they are going to go below this floor line, then I won't get in ... otherwise, I think we might be looking at a buying opportunity.

Thoughts?
 
I was in stocks for yesterday and decided to stay in for today with some good numbers coming out. Didn't realize what time it was... it's after noon right now... was going to bail to G but I guess I'm in stocks for tomorrow too. I'm away for a few days so gonna dump to the G Fund tomorrow and stay there while I'm out of touch.
 
Unless someone convinces me otherwise (or if stocks take a horrible downturn), I will probably get into the USMs today ... most likely 50 C, 50 S.
 
still in negative territory since before 1/1/08 going to need to ride into positive territory before i make any moves in my TSP.

guchi
 
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