Kevin,
The dividend would normally stay the same even the stock price dropped for a long period of time (months or years) for most quality stocks. So it would benefit for dollar-cost averaging (DCA) with dividend reinvested on the underline stock.
Mista,
Thanks for the useful info on the TSP transfer. I have an account with Schwab. The commission fee is $8.95 per trade and they have dividend reinvest feature without additional cost. To answer your question, I will not touch the dividend income for another 3 years until my wife retires at that time from her current job.
For long term investment, I finally realized that DCA with dividend reinvested would be the best way to go (echo with Birch) but no margin play. IMO, there is really no particular entry point for long term dividend reinvest strategy. The key point is how you pick your stocks. However, for seasonality, the months of Nov and Dec which stocks normally would go up, particularly in the pre-election year. I would start buying in October this year if I could.
For DCA to work, dividend payout stock is a must. As for stocks selection, I would definitely look for companies that pay dividend and continue to grow. Here are the categories:
1. Cyclical: ABT, JNJ, KO, MCD and MO
2. Utility/Energy/Oil: CVX and ED
3. ETF bond funds: AGG, IEF and HYG
This is how I constructed my core positions posted previously and I think it would be a good mixed which covered cyclical, utility/energy and bond equivalent ETFs.
The forth category that I like is REIT. REIT tends to pay higher dividend with less growth because most of the earnings are allocated for dividend payout. But it will be a good addition when your portfolio becomes larger and you want more diversification. One stock that I like is NLY and it pays 13.7% as of today.
Ocean