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clester's Account Talk
- Thread starter clester
- Start date
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
Happy Birthday Clester. Thanks for all your informative posts!!!
God Bless !
God Bless !
clester
Well-known member
Well, after a frustrating start to the year I have decided to have a system to help me with allocation. I have resisted it but when you get out of sync like I have lately you need it. So I won't go into detail, but I will use some quantitative anaylsis type algorithms that I have developed. I don't advise folks to follow it. It is undergoing testing.
I am 100 % C fund today and a possible partial sell trigger could happen today.
I am 100 % C fund today and a possible partial sell trigger could happen today.
JTH
Well-known member
Cool, so are you saying a buy signal was triggered recently, or are you following an old buy signal.
clester
Well-known member
The 100% in signal was given a couple months back. This system will not try to time the highs and lows btw. I am taking Physics classes for my retirement hobby but I am now going to start a computer science degree. One project I want to start is a software program that would use a quant. Algorithm the give tsp allocations. That might take a while. I want it to be automatic so I need to find out how to find the daily prices my program can fetch each day to do its calculations. I'm thinking of using the actual tsp funds and prices if I can.
Right now I'm just doing it manually.
clester
Well-known member
My signal has stayed 100% C fund through this correction although yesterday we a had a big warning flag. If I get confirmation of this warning today it will trigger a 50% trade out of stocks.
However, today looks good so far and perhaps it won't get triggered. This could be the V bottom. We could have flushed out all the sellers yesterday.
This system is supposed to limit trades and keep my emotions at bay. My gut said sell a few days ago but with limited trades I couldn't have got back in till next month.
Anyway. Holding C for now.
However, today looks good so far and perhaps it won't get triggered. This could be the V bottom. We could have flushed out all the sellers yesterday.
This system is supposed to limit trades and keep my emotions at bay. My gut said sell a few days ago but with limited trades I couldn't have got back in till next month.
Anyway. Holding C for now.
jkenjohnson
Active member
My signal has stayed 100% C fund through this correction although yesterday we a had a big warning flag. If I get confirmation of this warning today it will trigger a 50% trade out of stocks.
However, today looks good so far and perhaps it won't get triggered. This could be the V bottom. We could have flushed out all the sellers yesterday.
This system is supposed to limit trades and keep my emotions at bay. My gut said sell a few days ago but with limited trades I couldn't have got back in till next month.
Anyway. Holding C for now.
Do you post your signal every day?
clester
Well-known member
I'll try.
No confirmation to sell with the bounce. C fund still looks better with my system than S and I for now.
Holding 100% C
jkenjohnson
Active member
The easiest way is to post it in your signature, then you can get on RMI's OCD chart, if you aren't already.
clester
Well-known member
Ok, how's this.
jkenjohnson
Active member
Great. Thanks. I'm holding too, even though the sentiment survey is going to G. My system is still on a buy.
jkenjohnson
Active member
Still in 100%. I hope I don't regret it.
jkenjohnson
Active member
Did you look at Tom's seasonality chart?
clester
Well-known member
No, because that isn't part of my system. I hate to get out because I think we should be going up and I will be out out trades. But I need to follow my system. Not sure what's going on. Could be Spain or just profit taking. since we are selling in April maybe we won't in May. Apple is having a correction which seems to be pulling the indexes down like it brought them up before. I think when it's done correcting we may go back up.
clester
Well-known member
It's getting close to buy time. 10 year treasurys are testing bottom support, AGG has RSI well over 70. Both indicate time to sell them. So, that should be good for stocks. When bounce starts I will start moving into stocks. I won't try to time the bounce. Maybe when we get some Greek resolution and a flush out?
Patience.
Patience.
clester
Well-known member
Seems that folks are still trying to buy the dips which doesn't allow a good sell off. When will they quit or give up and sell?
That would be the place to buy. A long red candlestick.
I think we are getting close.
