clester's Account Talk

Sort by newest Sort by date
S fund has gone from oversold to almost overbought in a week and made a new high today. C fund hasn't made new high but close. F fund is selling off. So, what to do now? Well, we're too close to overbought on S fund and C fund needs to make new high. I have a 100% buy signal but it may not last long. I'm conservative so i think I'll wait. Seems like too much too fast.
 
clester said:
S fund has gone from oversold to almost overbought in a week and made a new high today. C fund hasn't made new high but close. F fund is selling off. So, what to do now? Well, we're too close to overbought on S fund and C fund needs to make new high. I have a 100% buy signal but it may not last long. I'm conservative so i think I'll wait. Seems like too much too fast.
Click to expand...

F fund is way oversold via RSI and S fund is almost to 70 which is a sell. C fund still hasn't made new high but should follow S fund. We should have a short term pull back soon. I may buy F fund soon too. Its RSI is under 20 which is strong buy. I have to stay 50% in stock per my system.
 
Not enough bounce in F fund yet. C fund still hanging in around all time high but not through it yet. S fund overbought but C fund is only about 65 RSU so S fund may be able to go higher. C fund at 70 is a sell signal but it may go another couple percent to get there. My system keeps me in 50% in a bull market at a minimum so i will keep that 50% S fund. May still buy F if it climbs back up over 30.
 
clester said:
Not enough bounce in F fund yet. C fund still hanging in around all time high but not through it yet. S fund overbought but C fund is only about 65 RSU so S fund may be able to go higher. C fund at 70 is a sell signal but it may go another couple percent to get there. My system keeps me in 50% in a bull market at a minimum so i will keep that 50% S fund. May still buy F if it climbs back up over 30.
Click to expand...
2194 is high for C fund. Lets see if it can get there
 
clester said:
2194 is high for C fund. Lets see if it can get there
Click to expand...

F fund looks to have set up a divergence in rsi/price. That may be the buy signal once it recovers some with a bounce for a few days. C fund has still not made new high but is right there. S fund is overbought but not a sell yet.
 
clester said:
F fund looks to have set up a divergence in rsi/price. That may be the buy signal once it recovers some with a bounce for a few days. C fund has still not made new high but is right there. S fund is overbought but not a sell yet.
Click to expand...

I officially have a buy on F fund. S fund is very overbought but i have to stay in stocks 50%. I may go to C fund since its still a little below 70. Although I could go all F fund.
 
clester said:
I officially have a buy on F fund. S fund is very overbought but i have to stay in stocks 50%. I may go to C fund since its still a little below 70. Although I could go all F fund.
Click to expand...
Well looks like the low is not in on the F fund. Divergence is still there though.
 
The rotation out of bonds will probably continue until the rate hike unless a news driven event tanks stocks.
 
Cactus said:
The rotation out of bonds will probably continue until the rate hike unless a news driven event tanks stocks.
Click to expand...

Yeah maybe. I have a sell on stocks now though. So i will be moving to 100% F. C fund RSI is over 70 and S fund's is near 80. Thats a sell even though we're in a bull market.
 
clester said:
Yeah maybe. I have a sell on stocks now though. So i will be moving to 100% F. C fund RSI is over 70 and S fund's is near 80. Thats a sell even though we're in a bull market.
Click to expand...

The sell on stocks has worked but the buy on F fund hasn't. There is still divergence on price vs RSI but we keep making lower lows. Stocks have had RSI drop below 70 and are getting close to buy again. F fund should bounce some before stick continue rally but they may not. F fund is about to go into bear market so I'll need to move soon. Id like to see stocks test the 50 dma but i don't expect that either.
 
Looking at BQs chart on F, we've hit a double bottom. If it falls beneath 107.75, we should all get out. I've been hanging tough because stocks need a breather and the F Fund is due a bounce. Look at the pullback in bonds since last May-June timeframe. That said, a crash is a crash and if stocks take a dive will bonds follow or go the other way. No way to know for sure but bonds seem to moving contra to stocks right now. With the oil deal yesterday, CL is going crazy, but that won't last long either..also VIX has a positive divergence yesterday...

FS
 
FogSailing said:
Looking at BQs chart on F, we've hit a double bottom. If it falls beneath 107.75, we should all get out. I've been hanging tough because stocks need a breather and the F Fund is due a bounce. Look at the pullback in bonds since last May-June timeframe. That said, a crash is a crash and if stocks take a dive will bonds follow or go the other way. No way to know for sure but bonds seem to moving contra to stocks right now. With the oil deal yesterday, CL is going crazy, but that won't last long either..also VIX has a positive divergence yesterday...

FS
Click to expand...

We are right at the 107.75 now :(
 
Can't stay in F and I need to be in stocks at least 50%, according to my system because stocks are in a bull market. So, 50 G 50 C today.
 
clester said:
We are right at the 107.75 now :(
Click to expand...

quote_icon.png
Originally Posted by FogSailing Looking at BQs chart on F, we've hit a double bottom. If it falls beneath 107.75, we should all get out. I've been hanging tough because stocks need a breather and the F Fund is due a bounce. Look at the pullback in bonds since last May-June timeframe. That said, a crash is a crash and if stocks take a dive will bonds follow or go the other way. No way to know for sure but bonds seem to moving contra to stocks right now. With the oil deal yesterday, CL is going crazy, but that won't last long either..also VIX has a positive divergence yesterday...

FS

I see a small bounce back for F. It can't get any worse, so I'm buying low and crossing my fingers that the trend is going upward now.
 
felinecrl said:
quote_icon.png
Originally Posted by FogSailing Looking at BQs chart on F, we've hit a double bottom. If it falls beneath 107.75, we should all get out. I've been hanging tough because stocks need a breather and the F Fund is due a bounce. Look at the pullback in bonds since last May-June timeframe. That said, a crash is a crash and if stocks take a dive will bonds follow or go the other way. No way to know for sure but bonds seem to moving contra to stocks right now. With the oil deal yesterday, CL is going crazy, but that won't last long either..also VIX has a positive divergence yesterday...

FS

I see a small bounce back for F. It can't get any worse, so I'm buying low and crossing my fingers that the trend is going upward now.
Click to expand...

You were right. My timing sucks. Of course it bounces as soon as i get out ��
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

UNIX84
UNIX84 Account Talk
Replies
14
Views
3K
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - The bulls are back
Replies
0
Views
126
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - The bulls took charge after monetary policy green light
Replies
0
Views
3K
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - Stocks tentative in front of today's jobs report
Replies
0
Views
3K
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - Seasonality gets better this week, but Friday was bad
Replies
0
Views
114
tsptalk
tsptalk
Back
Top