clester's Account Talk

[clester]

C and S funds are still in a consolidation pattern. Yesterday helps but unless we can break out to new highs we will be stuck here. I fund did gap up above resistance and should run up to its 200 dma before the next big area of resistance. C and S funds are above their 50dma's again. Hoping for that break out to the upside.

 

[clester]

C and S funds are still in a consolidation pattern. Yesterday helps but unless we can break out to new highs we will be stuck here. I fund did gap up above resistance and should run up to its 200 dma before the next big area of resistance. C and S funds are above their 50dma's again. Hoping for that break out to the upside.

I think the fair value is pretty much even right now for the I fund. Idk, but it keeps going up and should get to its 200 dma before a pause. S fund is right at the breakout to new highs area! That would be a big positive. C fund is lagging but is above its 50 dma. Thing are looking good right now. No overbought conditions yet.

 

[felixthecat]

I think the fair value is pretty much even right now for the I fund. Idk, but it keeps going up and should get to its 200 dma before a pause. S fund is right at the breakout to new highs area! That would be a big positive. C fund is lagging but is above its 50 dma. Thing are looking good right now. No overbought conditions yet.

Dollar Index down over 1 percent which should give a kick to the I Fund return today or tomorrow. I Fund kicking some serious butt.

 

[JamesE]

Good to see posting again felix, don't you run off too far okay??? Regular updates will be just fine, thanks. Now let's see if we can duplicate your last years return again this year...

 

[clester]

Dollar Index down over 1 percent which should give a kick to the I Fund return today or tomorrow. I Fund kicking some serious butt.

Yes it is! Should have a little more juice left. The 200 dma is resistance. S fund broke out to new high today! Neither is close to overbought yet via RSI. I fund still in bear market so be careful

 

[clester]

Yes it is! Should have a little more juice left. The 200 dma is resistance. S fund broke out to new high today! Neither is close to overbought yet via RSI. I fund still in bear market so be careful

Got the fair value shaft again today. They owe us about .7% again if I'm keeping track right.

 

[JTH]

Got the fair value shaft again today. They owe us about .7% again if I'm keeping track right.

Bear in mind, I'm not tracking the day-to-day fair value.

EFA is up 4.03% YTD
$USD is up 3.37% YTD

Meanwhile the I-Fund is up 4.01% YTD

Under my flawed logic, I would submit the I-Fund is over valued and the fair value is getting re-adjusted.

I sure do miss that yahoo spreadsheet someone created back in the day, it was brilliant till Yahoo broke it...

 

[clester]

Bear in mind, I'm not tracking the day-to-day fair value.

EFA is up 4.03% YTD
$USD is up 3.37% YTD

Meanwhile the I-Fund is up 4.01% YTD

Under my flawed logic, I would submit the I-Fund is over valued and the fair value is getting re-adjusted.

I sure do miss that yahoo spreadsheet someone created back in the day, it was brilliant till Yahoo broke it...

Yeah. Hard to keep track. Ebbnflow was I think. Coulda been someone else. We need that person again cause I think the I fund is gonna be in play again

 

[clester]

US dollars is gonna crush the I fund today. Hope we have some fair value left over to help.

 

[clester]

US dollars is gonna crush the I fund today. Hope we have some fair value left over to help.

I'm thinking of going 100% S fund since it's broken out to new and I fund is still in bear market and I hate these fair valuations!

 

[GUCHI]

Looking at I fund and its waaaaaaaaaaay down there in a deep hole. I don't think it will go positive today, but I'm gonna hang in there, after all my man MJR and BT are still in to win.

 

[clester]

I'm thinking of going 100% S fund since it's broken out to new and I fund is still in bear market and I hate these fair valuations!

I did it. The usd is still a drag on I fund too. Probably for another 6-12 months? I hear we should get close to parity with euro by the end of the year.

 

[felixthecat]

Good to see posting again felix, don't you run off too far okay??? Regular updates will be just fine, thanks. Now let's see if we can duplicate your last years return again this year...

Well crap...a good jobs report has elevated the dollar a little over one percent. See article here on todays movement on the job report. I attached that darn rise in the dollar pic. ;swear

Dollar soars against rivals on

Going to need to bail and hope the fair valuation offsets the loss today. Doubt if I Fund going positive. I need to see some upside or will shift to S fund today. That blows my hope of staying in the I Fund (was hoping neutral dollar) through mid month and then bailing to F Fund after its correction. Well, the F Fund is still correcting...so only option is to hold I (yeah right, not with a strong dollar :rippedhand: or go S Fund. Actually C Fund and S Fund broke out. I'm wondering maybe go mix 50C/50S or go all C. A decision will be made in 10:40 am CST (11:40 am est).

Hey out there, need a little help...all S or all C or a 50/50 Mix? :feedback:

 

[Birchtree]

The surprise might be that the dollar does a flip off the peak.

 

[felixthecat]

b

The surprise might be that the dollar does a flip off the peak.

No move for me. S/C funds may take a breather early next week. Hoping I can get above 200DMA next week and breakout...if not...I'm cooked and will have made a bad call. I hate exiting a Fund on a loss...especially so close to breakout. Maybe the dollar rally today will back off on Monday after the cheer has settle down. So, stay put and let's see what happens next week.

 

[felixthecat]

b

No move for me. S/C funds may take a breather early next week. Hoping I can get above 200DMA next week and breakout...if not...I'm cooked and will have made a bad call. I hate exiting a Fund on a loss...especially so close to breakout. Maybe the dollar rally today will back off on Monday after the cheer has settle down. So, stay put and let's see what happens next week.

Here some hope for the I Fund next week. This just in on some short term correction on the Dollar soon.

Is the dollar poised for a sharp correction?

 

[clester]

Here some hope for the I Fund next week. This just in on some short term correction on the Dollar soon.

Is the dollar poised for a sharp correction?

I fund needs to stay above its 50 dma and climb up to its 200dma. It's still in bear market but has room to climb.

C fund is holding above its 50 dma..barely, so it's a buy. s fund is well above its 50 dma and recently made a new high and is stair stepping higher. So, it's a buy and strongest.

 

[clester]

Stocks looking good today and hopefully we can get a push to new highs for C fund. S fund at new high for the moment. I fund still in bear market but having a nice rebound and should be able to get to its 50 dma before major resistance. If the rally continues, the next thing to watch is the RSI values. We still have plenty of room to run but I'll be watching for that 70 value for a warning flag.

 

[clester]

Stocks looking good today and hopefully we can get a push to new highs for C fund. S fund at new high for the moment. I fund still in bear market but having a nice rebound and should be able to get to its 50 dma before major resistance. If the rally continues, the next thing to watch is the RSI values. We still have plenty of room to run but I'll be watching for that 70 value for a warning flag.

No funds are overbought yet via the RSI. They are all around 60 and my system doesn't get a warning until 70. I'm guessing that's another 2% or so. Even then if I get a sell signal it would only be for a 50% sell. C fund is about to break out to a new high and that should help push us up some more. S fund is already there. I fund is closing in on its 50 dma from below which will be a big test. It's still in a bear market.

 

[clester]

No funds are overbought yet via the RSI. They are all around 60 and my system doesn't get a warning until 70. I'm guessing that's another 2% or so. Even then if I get a sell signal it would only be for a 50% sell. C fund is about to break out to a new high and that should help push us up some more. S fund is already there. I fund is closing in on its 50 dma from below which will be a big test. It's still in a bear market.

Ditto. I expect the RSI to get to 70 before we pause but it's Been good month already.