Cactus
Well-known member
### 2011 Personal Performance Report ###
12/31/11: EOM. SC rally looks liked it worked. Going to hold steady (50:50 C:S) into Jan. The 1st of the month have been good to me.
01/13/11< Trying the Intrepid Trader system, But got this first IFT notice (100% F) a day late. That hurt.
01/19/11> I_T system change to S. Looks like F Fund was a mistake unless you caught it a day earlier. Did avoid some losses in CS though
01/31/11: EOM. Disregarding I_T system notice to G because I think early Feb could be positive.
02/04/11: EOW. Being in the market at the 1st of the month still seams to be working. Those 1st day gains are big more times than not. The SS is on a fresh buy next week so I think I'll stay the course in the S fund.
02/11/11: EOW. Dow Transportation Index, was lagging badly. But after a 3-week correction and consolidation, it decided to break to the upside of the recent pennant formation. That's a very nice sign for the bulls. The SS is still on a buy next week. Egypt doesn't appear to be having much of an effect on the mkt. I think I'll stay the course in the S fund.
02/18/11: EOW. Tough call. Made so much in Feb that I want to take profits. Fight those emotions -- they're not your friend. I'm worried about Iranian ships in Suez. Could bring world markets down. Egypt only produced a 2% one-day-dip in U.S. mkts though. The current trend is still up, the economic outlook is still good, and SS is on HOLD. I guess I'll ride out the pre & post holiday light trading in the S Fund and see what next week brings.
02/25/11: EOW. Should have sold! I'm still in my "in a day too long" trend. Was thinking over the weekend of selling on Tuesday then buying in again before Mar. That's history now with Libya. Nothing to do now but hold the course. SS is on a buy for next week so I will stay in S. Will have to consider selling when it's on hold, though.
02/28/11: EOM. Feb has been good to me overall (4.52%). I think Mar will be more of the same. I'm staying in to get that 1st-day-affect again and will stay the course in the S Fund in early Mar. Will look for a potential dip (Libya) towards the middle/end of the month. Will also check to see if I want to continue my 1st-day-in-market in April. Looking on towards Sell-in-May.
03/04/11: EOW. Well that was a mistake. S Fund tanked (1.82%) on Mar 1. Ouch! Still managed to finish up for the week (0.31%) and so far for the month (0.09%). But I guess the 1st-day-of-month trend is broken. So is the steady upwards trend with only 1 to 2 day dips. Looks like volatility has returned to the market. That doesn't bother me as much as the unrest in the arab world and the effect Libya has had. What concernes me now is Saudi Arabia. What will happen when they get hit? I think it will really hit the fan!!! Yeah it will be news driven sell-offs, but the swings are going to be far greater than Libya. In fact, I bet it could trigger a real 10 - 15 % correction. OK, I'm letting my emotions get the better of me, but I think it could happen. Plus the last time I didn't act on my concerns (Iranian ships in suez) I lost out (granted due to Libya). We are past due for a real correction. Hmmm, SS is on hold for next week. I didn't like that last week. I think I will look for an exit this comming week and get out of the market for a much needed break. I'll look for a buying opportunity later in the month. This is no market for a buy and hold strategy. With this volatility it's time for Hit & Run or at most a Swing Trade strategy. Hopefully the downturn won't hit Monday. You know me and my in-the-market-a-day-too-long syndrom.
03/11/11: EOW. Well that was a disaster. My only chance was Tue but that didn't recoup last week's losses so I didn't take it. Now I sit in the S Fund with all Feb gains wiped out. What do I do now? Don't know. Keep following the SS I guess. That was my main intent this year. It has essentially been leading me back into a Buy & Hold pattern. That wasn't my intent. Looks like it's leading us right down the tubes. I hope the SS still works.
03/18/11: EOW. I don't know. I keep losing money but I feel we're at the bottom so I don't want to bail now. I guess I'll keep following the SS which keeps me in the S Fund another week.
12/31/11: EOM. SC rally looks liked it worked. Going to hold steady (50:50 C:S) into Jan. The 1st of the month have been good to me.
01/13/11< Trying the Intrepid Trader system, But got this first IFT notice (100% F) a day late. That hurt.
01/19/11> I_T system change to S. Looks like F Fund was a mistake unless you caught it a day earlier. Did avoid some losses in CS though
01/31/11: EOM. Disregarding I_T system notice to G because I think early Feb could be positive.
02/04/11: EOW. Being in the market at the 1st of the month still seams to be working. Those 1st day gains are big more times than not. The SS is on a fresh buy next week so I think I'll stay the course in the S fund.
02/11/11: EOW. Dow Transportation Index, was lagging badly. But after a 3-week correction and consolidation, it decided to break to the upside of the recent pennant formation. That's a very nice sign for the bulls. The SS is still on a buy next week. Egypt doesn't appear to be having much of an effect on the mkt. I think I'll stay the course in the S fund.
02/18/11: EOW. Tough call. Made so much in Feb that I want to take profits. Fight those emotions -- they're not your friend. I'm worried about Iranian ships in Suez. Could bring world markets down. Egypt only produced a 2% one-day-dip in U.S. mkts though. The current trend is still up, the economic outlook is still good, and SS is on HOLD. I guess I'll ride out the pre & post holiday light trading in the S Fund and see what next week brings.
02/25/11: EOW. Should have sold! I'm still in my "in a day too long" trend. Was thinking over the weekend of selling on Tuesday then buying in again before Mar. That's history now with Libya. Nothing to do now but hold the course. SS is on a buy for next week so I will stay in S. Will have to consider selling when it's on hold, though.
02/28/11: EOM. Feb has been good to me overall (4.52%). I think Mar will be more of the same. I'm staying in to get that 1st-day-affect again and will stay the course in the S Fund in early Mar. Will look for a potential dip (Libya) towards the middle/end of the month. Will also check to see if I want to continue my 1st-day-in-market in April. Looking on towards Sell-in-May.
03/04/11: EOW. Well that was a mistake. S Fund tanked (1.82%) on Mar 1. Ouch! Still managed to finish up for the week (0.31%) and so far for the month (0.09%). But I guess the 1st-day-of-month trend is broken. So is the steady upwards trend with only 1 to 2 day dips. Looks like volatility has returned to the market. That doesn't bother me as much as the unrest in the arab world and the effect Libya has had. What concernes me now is Saudi Arabia. What will happen when they get hit? I think it will really hit the fan!!! Yeah it will be news driven sell-offs, but the swings are going to be far greater than Libya. In fact, I bet it could trigger a real 10 - 15 % correction. OK, I'm letting my emotions get the better of me, but I think it could happen. Plus the last time I didn't act on my concerns (Iranian ships in suez) I lost out (granted due to Libya). We are past due for a real correction. Hmmm, SS is on hold for next week. I didn't like that last week. I think I will look for an exit this comming week and get out of the market for a much needed break. I'll look for a buying opportunity later in the month. This is no market for a buy and hold strategy. With this volatility it's time for Hit & Run or at most a Swing Trade strategy. Hopefully the downturn won't hit Monday. You know me and my in-the-market-a-day-too-long syndrom.
03/11/11: EOW. Well that was a disaster. My only chance was Tue but that didn't recoup last week's losses so I didn't take it. Now I sit in the S Fund with all Feb gains wiped out. What do I do now? Don't know. Keep following the SS I guess. That was my main intent this year. It has essentially been leading me back into a Buy & Hold pattern. That wasn't my intent. Looks like it's leading us right down the tubes. I hope the SS still works.
03/18/11: EOW. I don't know. I keep losing money but I feel we're at the bottom so I don't want to bail now. I guess I'll keep following the SS which keeps me in the S Fund another week.
